Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 24, 2009
G20 Leaders Discuss Global Financial Crisis as Economies Recover / Economics / Global Economy
G20 leaders will gather in Pittsburgh today to assess their efforts to ease the impact of the global financial crisis and to consider next steps. There is no doubt that both the financial markets and global economy are on a sounder footing since the previous meeting in London five months ago, bolstered, in part, by the co-ordinated response agreed at that summit.
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Thursday, September 24, 2009
What’s a Consumer Economy Need in Order to Keep Growing? / Economics / Economic Recovery
You wanna know what is going on? David Rosenberg explains...
"US consumers are cutting back, and where they are not cutting back, they are scaling down. This new cycle is all about 'getting small' and it is deflationary. For yet another in the litany of signs pointing in the direction of social change towards thrift, have a look at what is transpiring at the upper echelons of the income strata – Now Even Millionaires See the Benefits of Budgeting on page B5 of the Saturday NYT is a must read.
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Thursday, September 24, 2009
Inflation is Our Future, Gold About to Shine? / Economics / Inflation
At present, there is a lot of confusion amongst the investment community and opinion is divided as to whether we will witness inflation or deflation.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Government Spending, Money For Nothing / Economics / Economic Theory
Someone stole all my credit cards, but I won’t be reporting it. The thief spends less than my wife — Henny Youngman
Milton Friedman was a great American economist and statistician among other admirable things. He is best known among scholars for his theoretical and empirical research.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Debt is Economic Dark Matter / Economics / Economic Stimulus
"A debt bubble, yes. But a consumption binge...?"
IT'S A COMMON-PLACE of political, investment and bar-room debate that the Anglo-Saxon economies enjoyed a debt-fuelled consumer boom over the last decade or so.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Global Trade Battle Explained / Economics / Global Economy
The Obama Administration waited until the wee hours of September 11th, 2009 to quietly inform Americans of its decision to slap new tariffs against low-end tire imports from China. Coming only days before this week's important G-20 meeting in Pittsburgh, an occasion when China will likely renew its campaign to push the world towards a post-dollar economy, the timing of the announcement seems particularly ill-advised. To be frank, it is like waving a red flag in front of a bull. It is not surprising that China instantly retaliated with their own duties on U.S. auto parts and agricultural products.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
The Coming Fed U.S. Hyperinflation / Economics / HyperInflation
Since the government and central bank are once again inflating the economy, let’s look back at what happened the last time they did this.
The Bush-Greenspan team used war, fiscal stimulus, and FED money-pumping to produce a housing bubble that drove the unbalanced economic recovery of the early 2000s. Personal saving dropped as sharply as debt rose, but the recovery was halting and anemic. While the Clinton years saw the real GDP rise 35.4 percent in 8 years, the Bush years had a 21.0 percent overall rise.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Martin Weiss Abandons Deflation for Inflation After 27 Years / Economics / Inflation
Dr. Martin Weiss has reversed course. He now thinks price inflation lies ahead.
This is the equivalent of Steve Jobs announcing: "The future of computing over the next decade is with Microsoft Windows 7."
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
The G20’s Crowded Agenda / Economics / Global Economy
Deleted.
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
UK Inflation Forecast, Will RPI Deflation Return to Inflation? / Economics / Inflation
UK RPI Inflation data of minus 1.3% for August 09 continues to show deflation moderating from the June low of -1.6%. Whilst the Governments preferred CPI inflation measure recorded a slight dip to 1.6% from 1.8% dipping further below the Bank of England's target rate of 2%.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2009
The World Has Not Ended Yet According to Joseph Stiglitz / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The now famous economic guru of our time Joseph Stiglitz has proclaimed the world economy has not crashed. BUTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT… Stiglitz has repeatedly stated that the US has failed to fix the underlying problems in the banking system. Stiglitz has stated the concept of banks ” Too big to fail” have only gotten bigger.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2009
The Economy is a Lie, too / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Americans cannot get any truth out of their government about anything, the economy included. Americans are being driven into the ground economically, with one million school children now homeless, while Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke announces that the recession is over.
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Tuesday, September 22, 2009
Bankrupt Bailed Out Banks Bankrupting Britain as Debt Soars / Economics / UK Debt
Britain's debt as a consequence of bailing out the banking sector continues to mushroom towards unprecedented levels as the amount the UK government borrowed for August 09 came in at an eye watering £16.1 billion, already at 65.3 billion for the first 5 months of the financial and heading for £185 billion for 2009 as the original analysis of November 2008 warned of (Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation?).
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Monday, September 21, 2009
If Credit is Not Created Out of Excess Reserves, What Does That Mean? / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
We've all been taught that banks first build up deposits, and then extend credit and loan out their excess reserves.
But critics of the current banking system claim that this is not true, and that the order is actually reversed.
Monday, September 21, 2009
Is the Recession Really Over? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
First things first. I’m sure you’ve heard about Bernanke’s statement last week in his speech at the Brookings Institute that the “recession is likely over.” After all, his comment is all over the news, all over the world.
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Monday, September 21, 2009
From Deflation to Inflation / Economics / Inflation
Step by step, with little fanfare and great complacency, we are witnessing a fundamental, global shift that’s rapidly transforming the investment scene:
The forces of deflation are temporarily receding; and in the meantime, the forces of inflation threaten to roar back with a vengeance.
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Monday, September 21, 2009
The Flawed Theoretical Framework of Modern Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
Economics is often referred to as the “dismal science.” This expression is traced back to Thomas Carlyle who claimed that economics “is not a gay science, I should say, like some we have heard of; no a dreary, desolate, and indeed quite an abject and distressing one; what we might call by way of eminence, the dismal science.”
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Monday, September 21, 2009
America Digs Deeper Into Debt / Economics / US Debt
It’s amazing but true. Even after all we’ve been through and all we have supposedly learned about the danger of being over leveraged and borrowing more than you can pay back, we are still piling on debt.
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Monday, September 21, 2009
Russia's Crumbling Infrastructure Needs $2 Trillion for Major Modernization / Economics / Russia
The 2009 Sayano–Shushenskaya Hydroelectric Power Station disaster once again made everyone think of modernization of the entire Russian infrastructure.
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Monday, September 21, 2009
Is Fed Money Printing About to Trigger Inflation? / Economics / Inflation
Inquiring minds are wondering about the possibility of "pent-up" inflation from the massive expansion money supply by the Fed. Our search for the truth starts with the question "Which Comes First: The Printing or The Lending?"
This is a critical question given the massive expansion of base money by the Fed as shown in the following chart.