Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Whilst the probability continues to strongly favour Obama being re-elected as illustrated by InTrade that allows market participants to trade the US election, which is showing a 71.3% probability for an Obama Win. However reports are coming in that at least some voting machines are miss recording votes made for Barack Obama that are being registered as votes for Mitt Romney as the below photo's of a voting machine in the tight swing state of Pennsylvania illustrates.

I am sure this will feed the conspiracy theories of Mitt Romney's son's equity firm having an interest in voting machine firms as I discussed recently in - U.S. Presidential Election Forecasts From Academics, Market Analysts and Mainstream Press

If the election were not complicated enough we also have a string of conspiracy theories to contend with such as centring around voting machines. With stories along the lines of the 2000 election of the hanging shads. Specifically that Mitt Romney son's private equity firm has a stake in the provider of Ohio's voting machines as illustrated by comments by MSNBC's Jennifer Brunner "It doesn’t look good for a presidential candidate’s son to be an investor in a voting machine company.”, if true (and I doubt it), it would put a new spin on the rich buying votes.

It remains to be seen if these are just mere glitches in the system or of something more ominous, but clearly in the case of a close election outcome, this and other instances of election glitches will be a factor that lawyers on both sides will call on to dispute the election outcome, especially if the margin of wins in the swing states comes down to a less than a couple of hundred thousand votes.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of three ebook's - The Inflation Mega-Trend; The Interest Rate Mega-Trend and The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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