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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Russia

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Friday, May 02, 2014

Russia’s Counterstrike: Currency and Palladium / Politics / Russia

By: Submissions

Georgi Ivanov writes: The ongoing tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine have already been expressed in mutual sanctions, the expulsion of diplomats and the suspension of cooperation in nearly all forums – from NATO to the Arctic Council. Yet further sanctions are possible on Russia if an understanding on Ukraine is not reached soon, but Moscow’s reaction can have equally reverberating effects.

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Politics

Monday, April 28, 2014

Putin’s Ukraine Dilemma / Politics / Russia

By: Mike_Whitney

“The last decade of the twentieth century has witnessed a tectonic shift in world affairs. For the first time ever, a non-Eurasian power has emerged not only as a key arbiter of Eurasian power relations but also as the world’s paramount power.” (p. xiii)

“Now a non-Eurasian power is preeminent in Eurasia — and America’s global primacy is directly dependent on how long and how effectively its preponderance on the Eurasian continent is sustained.” (p.30)

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Economics

Thursday, April 10, 2014

Economic Sanctions Not Key Cause of Russia’s Next Recession / Economics / Russia

By: Frank_Shostak

According to commentators, sanctions imposed by the US and the European Union are pushing Russia toward a recession. However, we hold that some key Russian economic data have been displaying a weakening prior to the annexation of the Crimea to Russia. This raises the likelihood that sanctions might not be the key factor for an emerging recession.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Russia Looks East as Relations with Europe Deteriorate / Politics / Russia

By: OilPrice_Com

The standoff between the U.S. and the EU on one hand, and Russia on the other, intensified pretty quickly late last week. The U.S. quickly slapped heavier sanctions on Russia after its annexation of Crimea, leading to a mutual escalation of retaliatory measures. However, it appears that the West gained a bit of leverage at the moment, as the Russian economy has shown some cracks amid uncertainty over how bad this is going to get.

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Currencies

Friday, March 21, 2014

Cold War “Lite” - the Battle over the Russian Rouble / Currencies / Russia

By: Gary_Dorsch

The confrontation over Ukraine has the potential for spiraling out of control and could lead to "serious problems in the heart of Europe," warned former Secretary of State James Baker on March 9th. "It is clearly the most serious East-West confrontation since the end of the Cold War," Baker said on "Meet the Press." "For someone who was the last US-Secretary of State during the Cold War, it's very disappointing to me to see that we're moving now from cooperation with Russia to confrontation again. The risks are very substantial. I think we are pretty much in a "Cold War Lite," right now." Baker said he hopes a diplomatic solution can be reached because he thinks there's no good endgame for the Russian Federation.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Russia Examines Its Options for Responding to Ukraine / Politics / Russia

By: STRATFOR

The fall of the Ukrainian government and its replacement with one that appears to be oriented toward the West represents a major defeat for the Russian Federation. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia accepted the reality that the former Eastern European satellite states would be absorbed into the Western economic and political systems. Moscow claims to have been assured that former Soviet republics would be left as a neutral buffer zone and not absorbed. Washington and others have disputed that this was promised. In any case, it was rendered meaningless when the Baltic states were admitted to NATO and the European Union. The result was that NATO, which had been almost 1,600 kilometers (1,000 miles) from St. Petersburg, was now less than approximately 160 kilometers away.

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Politics

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Crimea, Ukraine War, Czar Putin Tightening Grip Over Police State Russia for New Dynasty / Politics / Russia

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Crimean referendum at the point of several thousand Russian guns is typical of what to expect from a totalitarian police state as those that oppose don't vote out of fear whilst those that do vote have no choice but to vote for Russian annexation also out of fear of being labeled as un-patriotic based on propaganda of a mythical 'great' past under the Soviet Union when the truth is that the Soviet Union was a police state of the worst kind that held 99.9% of its population in the grip of perpetual terror of what the state could do to them if they did not obey.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Putin Plays for Keeps in Crimea / Politics / Russia

By: Peter_Schiff

For those investors who have grown used to the relatively minor geo-political crises of the past few years, the developing situation in the Ukraine and the Crimea must come as an unexpected communiqué from the early 20th Century.There can be little doubt that the drama will impact financial markets.

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Politics

Monday, March 10, 2014

Ron Paul - Can We Afford Ukraine? / Politics / Russia

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Officially, US debt stands at more than $17 trillion. In reality, it is many times more. The cost of the US invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq may be more than six trillion dollars. President Obama's illegal invasion of Libya cost at least a billion dollars and left that country devastated. The costs of US regime change efforts in Syria are likely thus far enormous, both in dollars and lives. That's still a secret.

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Politics

Sunday, March 09, 2014

Russia and Crimea, Vlad the Bad Advances his Knight / Politics / Russia

By: LewRockwell

Eric Margolis writes: Soviet leader Josef Stalin used to shrug off critics by his favorite Central Asian saying: “The dogs bark; the caravan moves on.”

Russia’s hard-eyed president, Vladimir Putin, is following the same strategy over Ukraine and Crimea.

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Politics

Saturday, March 08, 2014

EU And American War-Jaw Will Not Faze Putin / Politics / Russia

By: Andrew_McKillop

War-War or Jaw-Jaw?
The Ukrainian crisis, to date, throws up endless examples – and proof – of European and US political and economic, military and ideological weakness built on the shifting sands of longstanding fads, foibles and obsessions about “the world as we want it”. Each day brings more examples and proof that neither Europe nor the USA are capable of thinking and acting straight, while each part of the “Western camp” incites the other to greater idiocy.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Ukraine Crisis: RTS Russia Stock Market What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: EWI

Social mood is another term for the shared inclination of a society. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a dramatic example of social mood in action.

Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this article below the video.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Will Russia Go to War Over Ukraine? Don’t Bet on It / Politics / Russia

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

It is hard for me to see a full-blown war between Russia and Ukraine. There are so few cultural differences between these two countries. Ukraine has its own language, but almost everyone (outside of small villages) speaks flawless Russian. If there is a war between these two countries, it will be a civil war.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 04, 2014

Ukraine and the 'Little Cold War' / Politics / Russia

By: STRATFOR

We must consider the future of Eurasia after the fall of the Soviet Union. Since 1991, the region has fragmented and decayed. The successor state to the Soviet Union, Russia, is emerging from this period with renewed self-confidence. Yet Russia is also in an untenable geopolitical position. Unless Russia exerts itself to create a sphere of influence, the Russian Federation could itself fragment.

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Politics

Saturday, March 01, 2014

Putin and the Central Asia Black Hole / Politics / Russia

By: Andrew_McKillop

From Black Hole to Nuclear Singularity

The former United States National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski in his 1997 book “The Grand Chessboard”, called the wide sweep of post-Soviet Eastern Europe and Central Asia the "Black Hole" and "Eurasian Balkans." The area is what geopoliticians as far back as the USA's Alfred Thayer Mahan, in 1900, called a Debated and Debatable region – meaning a disputed ethnic cauldron prone to instability and constant conflict, with only restricted, or even totally absent national identities, riven with religious, historical, political, ethnic and cultural influences, often organized into tribal or clan systems of power, nearly always poor - and always unpredictable. Despite or because of this, also due to resource and market search, and for self-defence, outside powers have continuously sought control or at least prime influence in this region. Past and present powers engaged in what the British called The Great Game, and the Soviets called The Struggle of the Shadows feature Russia, Turkey, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, Pakistan, India, the US and the EU.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Putin And The Flash Mob Empire / Politics / Russia

By: Andrew_McKillop

Going For Gold

Writing in 'Wall Street Journal' 14 February, Walter Russel Mead, a former senior adviser on US foreign policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, claimed that Vladimir Putin is engaged in a “death-defying geopolitical gamble (that) is the hottest game in town”. Mead said Putin's gamble  “has more twists and turns than a bobsled race, more fancy footwork than a figure-skating final, and more dips and flips than a mogul run”.

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Politics

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

The Putin Interlude Draws To A Close, Russia's Terror War Psychosis / Politics / Russia

By: Andrew_McKillop

The Would-Be Empire
Vladimir Putin's presidency is likely soon to end. Putin himself has several times given hints that he is not interested in another term. Other signs and signals point the same way – even the Sochi Games and their financial fallout. Planned as a festival of profit for handpicked, Kremlin vetted-vested interests its circus of waste, fraud, abuse and double dealing has dismayed several powerful Oligarchs close to power, who are now increasingly far from Putin.

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Politics

Sunday, February 09, 2014

Russia Sochi Olympic's Terrorist Attack Threat, Who is Behind the Caucasus Terrorists? / Politics / Russia

By: Michel_Chossudovsky

In the weeks leading up to the Sochi Winter Olympics, the Western Media has released a dribble of “trustworthy reports” examining “the likelihood” of a terrorist attack at the height of the Olympic games.

In late January, the British government warned “that more terrorist attacks in Russia (following the Volgograd attack in December) are “very likely to occur before or during the Winter Olympics in Sochi”. (BBC, January 27, 2014).

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Politics

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Russia's Growing Military Power / Politics / Russia

By: Pravda

Today, there is practically nothing left from the military-industrial complex of the USSR, which still strikes imagination of many historians around the world. The collapse of the Soviet military complex occurred after conversion and separation of the republics, where Soviet defense industry companies were located. Will Russia be able to bring back its erstwhile defense power?

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Economics

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Russia's Growing Regional Debts Threaten Economic Stability / Economics / Russia

By: STRATFOR

Editor's Note: The following is the first installment of a three-part series on growing debt for Russia's regional governments.

Since the 2009 financial crisis, the Kremlin has allowed Russia's regions to take the brunt of the country's economic decline in order to keep the federal government seemingly healthy, with a nominally small budget deficit and large currency reserves. But now most of Russia's regional governments' debt is so high, it is becoming dangerous for the federal government and big banks and could soon become unmanageable.

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