Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, September 25, 2009
Stock Market Rally Mission Accomplished / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
Now that the stock market has moved over 50% higher in the past 6 months, there are two words that would best describe where we are now: "mission accomplished". Of course, we all remember President George W. Bush in the early months of the Iraq War standing on the deck of a Navy ship with those two words emblazoned on a banner in the background. Little did we know, that "mission accomplished" really meant mission just getting started. In any case, I use those words because the Federal Reserve and Treasury have engineered a recovery and in particular, a stock market recovery, that has brought prices back to levels seen in early October, 2008 when Lehman Brothers collapsed sending the world economy into a tailspin (sic: sorry words of the "media").
Thursday, September 24, 2009
Stock Market, A Peter Pan Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Only in Never Never Land can age and gravity be defied. In the real world such ideas may be described as “escapist fantasies”.
There has been much debate in recent weeks regarding whether US Equities have entered a new Primary Bull Trend or whether we have been witnessing a bounce in a Primary Bear Trend.
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Wednesday, September 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Pattern and the Battle for Financial Sphere Hegemony / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
PROPHECY -
Or plausible consideration of cyclical relationships, and fractal repetition
If one embraces the notion that cycles exist within economies and financial markets, and that, progressions within cycles are fractal and of various size and degree, one must then conclude there is a dynamic level of general repetition continuously occurring across various timeframes. The footprints of such fractal repetitions record themselves continuously via data points plotted across the axis of price and time. They do so through recorded price chart data gathered throughout the course of history.
Monday, September 21, 2009
Stock Market Strenuously Overbought But ...? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are once again reading excellent commentary by John Hussman. Please consider Strenuously Overbought.
Monday, September 21, 2009
Ratcheting Stocks Higher Against Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
It appears our self-serving bureaucracy thinks they can keep fooling the markets indefinitely, where now they have resorted to attempting to ratchet stocks higher against precious metals. Of course the funny part of it all is as you know from our last meeting precious metals charts are telling us it will take hyperinflation to keep equities moving higher however, as the dollar ($) decline is getting stretched to say the least. Price managers don’t want stocks heading lower into October however, for fear of a panic that gets out of control. So, they come in and squeeze the shorts at every opportunity, taking advantage of the seasonal inversion characterizing the trade at the moment.
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally, What I Discovered in a Newspaper from September 1930 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: DailyWealth
Tom Dyson writes: "The economy is showing unquestionable signs of life," says Labor Secretary Davis on September 12, 1930...
The stock market collapsed 48% in the Great Crash of 1929. But by 1930, it had found a bottom and started rallying again. This rally erased all the pessimism generated by the Great Crash and enticed investors back into the stock market again.
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Stock Market Rally in 6th Inning or Top of the 12th? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Without a doubt, the strength and duration of the rally from the March low has surprised many people, me included. Inquiring minds are wondering "Is there still 1/3 more to come?"
Thursday, September 17, 2009
S&P Stocks Bear Market Rally Top Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Alistair_Gilbert
“TIME is more important than PRICE”, in the immortal words of WD Gann, is the reason why I look for TIME Cycles in the markets, because when TIME is up PRICE will fall. I have a number of TIME Cycles falling over the next week starting with yesterday which tells me that we are nearly at a top or possibly the top.
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Stock Market Bullish Stance Wears Thin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Browne
Readers familiar with my views know that I believe that the current stock market rally is a bullish chapter in an otherwise bearish novel. In the spring of this year, I had said I would not be surprised if the Dow were to hit 10,000 by the end of summer. While I was a little too optimistic on that particular forecast, it now looks as if U.S. stock markets are a bit ‘toppy' and a reversal may be in the cards. Seven factors, five tactical and two strategic, cause me to see a change in the wind.
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
The Case for a Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
Are we in a bull or bear market? That is the question many are asking with the S&P 500 up 50% from its March 9th low. Whether we are in a new bull market or just experiencing another bear market rally is important for investors to answer. Today, I will present the case for a bear market rally. In the next few days, I will offer why the bear market is over.
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Near Reversing, Awaiting Top Confirmation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - near reversing! The counter-trend rally which started in March is soon coming to an end. The price objective for a high is being reached and, to deceleration, we have now added negative divergence. But we cannot call a top until we have a confirmed reversal.
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
Neil Beers writes: So Bob Prechter is bearish again.
That may be no surprise to some, but recall that Prechter was about the only bull on February 23 of this year when he covered the short position he had recommended on July 17, 2007. That was nearly two years later and 800 points lower in the S&P. And the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI) reading for the S&P had gotten down to only 3% bulls!
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Friday, September 04, 2009
Will the Stock Market Also Defy September History? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Sy_Harding
The market has done quite a job of ignoring its history so far this year.
It experienced a sizable loss of 25% in January and February, during its usually positive winter months, not launching into a sizable rally until March (while still in its historically favorable period).
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Friday, September 04, 2009
1930's Depression Bear Market a Plausable Reality for Todays Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
Half Empty circa 1930
In similar fashion to the present wisdom held by the majority of professionals, it is with certainty that the majority of those embedded in the ’29 quagmire viewed their 48% V-shape rally in the Dow as the start of a full economic recovery, an end to the crisis, and a sure sign of a permanent return to prosperity.
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Stock Market Speculative Disaster / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_Lamont
On February 28th in Panic Selling Will Lead to a Sharp Bounce we stated, "investors should be positioning themselves for a countertrend rally…We do not expect that this is the ultimate low, merely a level that will support a multi-month bounce. This reflationary bounce will be much stronger (and possibly last longer) than any other rally we have seen since October 2007. Its purpose is to put to rest the widespread fear currently in the market…This temporary bottom will support a sharp bounce into the fall.”
Sunday, August 30, 2009
Stock Market 6 Month Counter Trend Rally Ending / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Friday, August 28, 2009
Depression Era Stocks Bear market Rallies (Dow 1929-1932) / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Submissions
Chart of the Day writes: For some perspective on the current stock market rally and how it compares the 1929-1932 bear market (which also included bank failures, bankruptcies, severe stock market declines, etc.), today's chart illustrates the duration (calendar days) and magnitude (percent gain) of all significant Dow rallies that occurred during the 1929-1932 bear market (solid blue dots).
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Friday, August 28, 2009
What Can Stop This Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Iacono
You hear a lot of talk these days about what could possibly stop the current stock market rally given that we've clearly passed the "acute" phase of the financial crisis and, quite literally, there is no place to go but up for many economic indicators.
The term "statistical recovery" is bandied about quite a bit by doubters of the recent move up for equities and for many very good reasons such as the following:
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Buying into the Stock Market Rally, Hook, Line, and Sinker / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Belief that the worst is behind is now nearly universal. Mickey Mouse, aka Ben Bernanke, even has himself fooled. He was reappointed today as grand wizard (see Bernanke's Self-Promotional Reappointment Campaign A Stunning Success) and in general people are feeling pretty good about it.
Monday, August 24, 2009
Financial Sector Distressed Issues Still To Be Dealt With / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Paul_J_Nolte
It’s getting better all the time or so says both the Beatles and the financial markets. The economic data regarding housing indicated that sales are picking up, however that is offset by the consumer data indicating that spending is not happening and jobs continue to be hard to secure. The housing (as well as car sales) data continue to be skewed by government bailout efforts. What makes the data more concerning for the long-term viability of any recovery that we may be in the middle of is much of the activity came from distressed sales, inventories of unsold homes still rose and home prices are still falling.
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