Category: Financial Markets 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, November 16, 2009
Financial Markets Full Steam Ahead on Near Zero Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead! At least that seems to be the reaction of the financial markets to not only the good news, but the bad as well. The G20 over the past weekend reiterated the comments from the US Federal Reserve that low (or zero) interest rates will be the order of the day until further notice – meaning it will not pay to keep money in short-term instruments and in order to get any return, investors will need to accept risk.
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Market Trends for Gold, Crude Oil, and the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Financial Markets 2009
By: John_Winston
 In this world we are faced with an ever changing landscape. Nowhere is it   truer as soon as you learn the game, the rules are changed. For instance, we are   told that gold is signaling an inflationary future coming for the USA, yet its   long term interest rates are below the 4% level and short term rates are   basically zero. How can this be? Who would lend money to a nation whose currency   depreciates and pays almost no return on its debt?
In this world we are faced with an ever changing landscape. Nowhere is it   truer as soon as you learn the game, the rules are changed. For instance, we are   told that gold is signaling an inflationary future coming for the USA, yet its   long term interest rates are below the 4% level and short term rates are   basically zero. How can this be? Who would lend money to a nation whose currency   depreciates and pays almost no return on its debt?
Monday, November 16, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter November 15th, 2009 Issue #86 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Financial System Designed Almost Exclusively to Benefit the Rich / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Bob_Chapman
 The American journey that began on 8/15/71 is going to end over the next several years. The problems that have manifested themselves over the past few years signal the final stages of a destructive process that has stifled production and innovation and encouraged fraud in Wall Street and banking. The injection of money and credit into the financial system via the Fed and the Treasury has almost exclusively benefited the wealthy financial sector and has spread only crumbs to American citizens.
The American journey that began on 8/15/71 is going to end over the next several years. The problems that have manifested themselves over the past few years signal the final stages of a destructive process that has stifled production and innovation and encouraged fraud in Wall Street and banking. The injection of money and credit into the financial system via the Fed and the Treasury has almost exclusively benefited the wealthy financial sector and has spread only crumbs to American citizens. 
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Manic-depressive Stock Market Inviting a Black Swan Event? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
 Guess Where  Our Economic Stimulus Money is Going
Guess Where  Our Economic Stimulus Money is Going 
The trade deficit in the U.S. widened in September by the most in a decade,  reflecting rising demand for imported oil and automobiles as the economy  rebounded from the worst recession since the 1930s. 
Thursday, November 12, 2009
U.S. China Trade War Underway Signals Inflation and Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Tony_Sagami
 What would you do before you go   visit someone whose help you desperately need? Would you give him a one-fingered   salute with your middle finger?
What would you do before you go   visit someone whose help you desperately need? Would you give him a one-fingered   salute with your middle finger?
Well, President Obama is about to make his first visit to China, and that is exactly what he has done to the Chinese leaders.
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Thursday, November 12, 2009
The Problem With Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Kevin_George
 As the U.S. dollar carry trade continues unabated, it would  be wise to look at the last instances of such biased positioning. The price of  ‘risk’ assets, which include currencies, commodities and stocks, continue to rise  inversely to the dollar’s decline almost tick for tick. The flood of cheap  money taking advantage of near-zero interest rates continues to chase positive  returns in any risky asset class, which is rising in the honeymoon period of  stimulus and quantitative easing.
As the U.S. dollar carry trade continues unabated, it would  be wise to look at the last instances of such biased positioning. The price of  ‘risk’ assets, which include currencies, commodities and stocks, continue to rise  inversely to the dollar’s decline almost tick for tick. The flood of cheap  money taking advantage of near-zero interest rates continues to chase positive  returns in any risky asset class, which is rising in the honeymoon period of  stimulus and quantitative easing.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Testing Time for the USD and Aging Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Garry_Abeshouse
 No one alive has probably experienced a time when so much highly  geared money has been controlled by so few large corporations, who with their  accumulated power, have governments all over the world running  scared. This power has been magnified with the continued availability of  government handouts and cheap funding from the USD Carry Trade. This  has created an "Open Sesame" to a monetary wish list that has no  limits for those involved. It makes for a deceptive market, with a  bought out and manipulative mainstream media, who constantly refuse to provide cogent  introspection and analysis of the high risk and highly geared trading  activities of the major banks. Don’t forget that Goldman Sachs has a debt to  capital ratio of over 1000:1.
No one alive has probably experienced a time when so much highly  geared money has been controlled by so few large corporations, who with their  accumulated power, have governments all over the world running  scared. This power has been magnified with the continued availability of  government handouts and cheap funding from the USD Carry Trade. This  has created an "Open Sesame" to a monetary wish list that has no  limits for those involved. It makes for a deceptive market, with a  bought out and manipulative mainstream media, who constantly refuse to provide cogent  introspection and analysis of the high risk and highly geared trading  activities of the major banks. Don’t forget that Goldman Sachs has a debt to  capital ratio of over 1000:1.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Marc Faber Says Bernanke is Mugabe's Hyperinflation Apprentice / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Submissions
 Market Morning's Pat Bolland is joined by special guest host Marc Faber, editor and publisher, "The Gloom, Boom, & Doom Report"
Market Morning's Pat Bolland is joined by special guest host Marc Faber, editor and publisher, "The Gloom, Boom, & Doom Report" 
Marc Faber says the US Dollar is going to zero in the long-run but a bounce is overdue which will hit asset prices.
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Monday, November 09, 2009
Stock Market Investors Needn’t Fear a Double-Dip Economic Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_Morning
 Jon D. Markman writes: A new report contains some very good news for investors: Double-dip   recessions are very rare.
Jon D. Markman writes: A new report contains some very good news for investors: Double-dip   recessions are very rare.
That means that a drop back into recessionary conditions looks less and less likely even as unemployment creeps higher and has crossed the 10% threshold for the first time in a quarter century.
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Sunday, November 08, 2009
What Happened to the Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle Newsletter November 7th, 2009 Issue #85 Vol. 3Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 08, 2009
Easy Money Continues to Boost Risky Financial Asset Prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained its   extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy following its meeting on   Wednesday. The communiqué had no surprises and said that the committee   expected to keep the fed funds rate target in the 0-0.25% range “for an extended   period”. As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England   (BoE) also kept interest rates unchanged at 1% and 0.5% respectively.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained its   extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy following its meeting on   Wednesday. The communiqué had no surprises and said that the committee   expected to keep the fed funds rate target in the 0-0.25% range “for an extended   period”. As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England   (BoE) also kept interest rates unchanged at 1% and 0.5% respectively.
Saturday, November 07, 2009
Bucking Bronco Stock Market Rising With Few Bulls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
 We now have the highest 
jobless rate since 1983 - The unemployment   rate in the U.S. soared to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in   October and employers cut more jobs than forecast, underscoring why Federal   Reserve policy makers say interest rates will remain near zero.
We now have the highest 
jobless rate since 1983 - The unemployment   rate in the U.S. soared to a 26-year high of 10.2 percent in   October and employers cut more jobs than forecast, underscoring why Federal   Reserve policy makers say interest rates will remain near zero. 
Payrolls fell by 190,000 workers last month, compared with a 175,000 drop anticipated by the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, figures from the Labor Department showed today in Washington. The jobless rate gained from 9.8 percent in September and exceeded 10 percent for the first time since 1983.
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Saturday, November 07, 2009
U.S. Economy, Investors Say No Worries Mate / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Brian_Bloom
 The only way that this analyst can reconcile the (apparently   optimistic) behavior of US investors with the (neutral to negative) underlying   facts is that investors are emotionally “comfortable” with what the   Bernanke/Geithner team is doing.
The only way that this analyst can reconcile the (apparently   optimistic) behavior of US investors with the (neutral to negative) underlying   facts is that investors are emotionally “comfortable” with what the   Bernanke/Geithner team is doing. 
Saturday, November 07, 2009
What Happened to the Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Nadeem_Walayat
 Dear Reader
Dear Reader
The big news of the week was the U.S. unemployment rate breaking above 10% to the highest rate in 26 years with all the expectations of the jobless recovery continuing well into 2010. Other news out of the U.S. came from the Fed confirming the view that U.S. Interest rates would be kept low for sometime.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
Financial Markets Profit Opportunity Thresholds Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: DeepCaster_LLC
 “One of the great current myths that is being propounded by those   in charge is that they are going to magically withdraw, at the appropriate time,   the stimulus which is currently preventing the world economy from imploding.
“One of the great current myths that is being propounded by those   in charge is that they are going to magically withdraw, at the appropriate time,   the stimulus which is currently preventing the world economy from imploding.
What a bad joke, that is! Tim Geithner, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, may have given the whole ruse away when he said recently that it was important that the authorities publically discuss the subject of withdrawing the stimulus because it was important in sustaining the confidence of financial markets. Very simply, that’s what this is all about. It is a large con job to keep financial markets elevated so the average citizen will ignore the rot which is eating away at the foundation of the economy and the financial system.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
October Unemployment Report to Spark Financial Market / Economics / Financial Markets 2009
By: LiveCharts
Friday (November 6), the Labor Department is expected to release date on   October unemployment. Forecasts call for 175,000 job cuts during the month,   according to a poll of analysts by Reuters.
  
Experts predict that unemployment climbed to 9.9 per   cent in October as it sits just on the fringe of an inevitable surge past ten   per cent in the coming months. If the October estimate holds true, this would   mark the 22nd month in a row of job losses, though the pace of losses has slowed   significantly.
Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Robert Prechter Latest Financial Market Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: EWI
 Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains   exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has   gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were   from March through August. By comparison, September and October were   sluggish.
Eight months ago, the stock market began a very large rally -- the gains   exceeded 60% in the S&P 500. Everyone knows this. But here's a fact that has   gone virtually unreported: The vast majority of those gains (about 90%) were   from March through August. By comparison, September and October were   sluggish. 
Monday, November 02, 2009
Stocks, Dollar and Gold Bull Markets Inter-market Analysis / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2009
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterNovember 2nd, 2009 Issue #83 Vol. 3
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Monday, November 02, 2009
Gold, Silver and Stocks Analysis, Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo
 The S&P 500 was down over 4% for the week. This  was the second week in a row that the market closed down. A short term  correction is underway. It remains to be seen if the short term correction  turns into a medium term move down.
The S&P 500 was down over 4% for the week. This  was the second week in a row that the market closed down. A short term  correction is underway. It remains to be seen if the short term correction  turns into a medium term move down. 
Up first is the daily chart of the SPX. It shows lower diagonal support broken below. If the October low marked by the blue horizontal line is broken below it would raise the possibility that an intermediate term move is unfolding.
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