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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Housing

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Housing-Market

Monday, November 29, 2021

Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Submissions

Investing in real estate has the capability to steadily generate income, and is a viable long-term investment option. Then again, investing in real estate is a serious undertaking, and you have to be doubly sure before coming to a decision. You can use a real estate investments API to discern whether the time is ripe for buying or selling.

In the US, the real estate sector saw a steep rise in sales even during the pandemic last year. So considering it a seller’s market, the main question is whether you should invest in real estate in 2021 or not.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Sunday, October 10, 2021

US Real Estate ETFs React To Rising Housing Market Mortgage Interest Rates / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As the Real Estate market shifts away from super-low interest rates and skyrocketing home prices throughout the COVID-19 crisis, we are starting to see the Real Estate ETFs weaken in trend and start to move lower.  The recent rising Mortgage Rates will likely continue to weaken sales trends and push home prices a bit lower over the next few months.  The Real Estate ETF, IYR, is already reflecting a roughly 10% decline in valuation since early September 2021.

In the first part of this research article, I shared a historical chart of the US Average Mortgage rate and some data suggesting the average US consumer is somewhat bound to certain home price constraints based on Average Income.  Typically, mortgage payments should stay below 50% of the borrower’s total take-home income.  Depending on the borrower and the home price, many US borrowers may already be priced out of the market – even with 3.25% interest rates.

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Housing-Market

Friday, October 08, 2021

Why a Peak in US Home Prices May Be Approaching / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

"Is it a good time to sell a house?"

Some people buy a house solely as an investment.

Others want a better place to live -- perhaps more room for a growing family. The investment part is secondary. However, even people in this category would likely hold off on a purchase if they had an indication that lower home prices were just around the corner.

Well, there is such an "indication."

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Housing-Market

Thursday, September 09, 2021

This Boom-Bust Cycle in US Home Ownership Should Give Home Shoppers Pause / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

Here's "what happens when a consumption item becomes an investment item"

On a news / talk radio station in my local area, a commercial that frequently runs goes something like this:

"I buy all kinds of houses: big houses and small houses, condemned houses, foreclosed houses, 'my tenant won't pay the rent' houses ..." and on it goes. The speaker says he's a real estate investor and provides his phone number.

Real estate speculation like this helps drive home prices up across the country.

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Housing-Market

Friday, September 03, 2021

Don’t Investing Tomahawk Yourself Just to Own a Home / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Jared_Dillian

A house is a terrible investment. But for a lot of people, it’s the best investment.

Let's unpack that…

Unless you buy a new house, you will probably spend up to 1% of the value of the house on maintenance every year.

Stuff breaks. Pipes burst, roofs leak, and occasionally the whole thing burns down. I live by the ocean, so the maintenance is relentless—constant leaks, not to mention the hurricanes. Plus, you have to pay to insure it, you have to pay the property taxes, and you have to pay for all the other stuff. And that's on top of the mortgage.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, August 14, 2021

U.S. Housing Market: Not "a Bubble This Time Around"? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

Here's what usually coincides with a big decline in real estate prices

You probably know that the U.S. housing market has been red hot.

A certified financial planner wrote a July 20 article for Kiplinger, mentioning the record price levels in many areas of the country, and then added a personal observation:

I witnessed the price rise first-hand. I recently returned from a family vacation in the North Carolina mountains, where many homes now sell for double or triple the price compared to just a couple of years ago.

Stories abound of buyers signing contracts on homes without even doing a walk through. Some real estate agents are advising buyers to forgo inspections, saying they will just slow the process.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, August 11, 2021

The Tiny House I Grew up Just Sold for $430k / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Stephen_McBride

 “$430,000 for THAT?”

My colleague nearly spat coffee on his laptop when I showed him the house my mom just sold.

It’s the white door on the right:

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Housing-Market

Saturday, July 10, 2021

US Home Buying Trends Showing Signs Of An Extreme Bubble Setup – Is It About To Burst? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to explore the recent data and setup related to the current Housing market bubble, this, Part II of our research, will continue to highlight the similarities we are seeing in the current market climate to the 2005~2008 Housing/Credit market event that crashed the markets over 15 years ago.  Additionally, we’ll also highlight some of the efforts the US Federal Reserve and global central banks have taken to support the recovering global economy over the past 15+ years.  Are they pushing the markets to extremes and will they be prepared for a reversion event if one takes place?

In the first part of this research article, we highlighted the Supply/Demand equilibrium function and the four laws of the Supply/Demand equation. It is important to understand that all price exploration/valuation functions operate within the boundaries of these Supply/Demand functions.  Buyers and Sellers are always operating within these boundaries – even if they don’t know it. 

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Housing-Market

Saturday, June 19, 2021

Here’s Why Historic US Housing Market Boom Can Continue / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Stephen_McBride

Over the past few weeks, I’ve been getting the same question. And it’s an extremely important one.

US housing prices are rising at the fastest pace since 2006. Can this possibly continue? I’ll get the short answer out of the way first—YES. In fact, my research says we’re just getting started. And it all has to do with one key metric.

I’ll explain what that is in a moment, as well as the #1 way to take advantage of it. But first, let’s look at where we are today.

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Housing-Market

Monday, June 07, 2021

Why "Trouble is Brewing" for the U.S. Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

"Home price declines follow home sales declines"

In many parts of the country, the price of homes has been skyrocketing.

Indeed, the index of home prices across 20 large cities increased at a yearly pace of 13.3% in March, according to a well-known home price index.

That statistic appears to represent a sign of health for the housing market. So, you may ask: "Why is trouble brewing?"

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Why the Demand for US Real Estate Licenses May Soon Fall into a Sinkhole / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

By this measure, the housing boom may be nearing an end

A lot of people who've lost jobs have turned to getting their real estate licenses as a path to prosperity.

Part of the mindset that selling houses is worth a try is the belief that prices go up most of the time.

As the Wall Street Journal noted on March 21:

[S]urging prices are persuading tens of thousands more Americans to try their hands at selling real estate.

There have been many other periods of time when home prices have trended higher. However, that's not always the case. As you know, home prices sank significantly following the subprime mortgage meltdown of nearly a decade-and-a-half ago.

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 30, 2021

Want To Invest In US Real Estate Market But Don’t Have The Down Payment? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As an asset class, real estate should be a part of every balanced investment portfolio. That’s because real estate investments generally have a low correlation to stocks, can offer lower risk, and provide greater diversification.

Today about 65% of Americans own a home, but that means that tens of millions of Americans have no exposure to real estate. Making matters worse, becoming a homeowner today is harder than in previous generations, with 1 in 5 millennials believing they will never be able to afford a home. Is there a way to get exposure to the real estate market for as little as $100?

Residential real estate market trend

From the chart below, we can see that the residential real estate market continues to climb and the median price of houses sold in the US is near recent all-time highs of $347,500. Even though mortgage rates remain near all-time lows, the appreciation of prices in certain pockets of the country are making many cities and areas simply unaffordable for most. Things look much the same for industrial, commercial, agricultural, and most other specialized real estate subsectors.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, April 22, 2021

Here's What to Look For When Hiring a Real Estate Agent / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Steve_Barker

The most daunting experience for an individual or family shopping for a new house or wanting to sell their property is hiring a real estate agent or firm that can represent their interest throughout the entire process.

Buying a home is a huge milestone in a person’s life, but when you lack knowledge about the real estate market, it could become a sour experience. And it is the same thing when you want to sell your home, you need realtors to help you navigate the process while holding your hand all the way.

Most people shopping for properties in the real estate market are first-time homeowners, to ensure that your lack of experience is not exploited, get the right property that suits you for the right price, it is important that you engage the services of a real estate agent.

It gets tricky here because you cannot just decide to hire a realtor on a whim; they need to tick certain ethical, professional, and psycho-analytical boxes before you make the final decision.

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Housing-Market

Friday, April 16, 2021

What Skyrocketing US Home Prices Say About Inflation / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: MoneyMetals

Anyone who says inflation isn’t a problem hasn’t tried shopping for a new home recently.

Housing costs are skyrocketing. The median sales price of existing homes has spiked 16% over the past 12 months (from $270,400 to $313,000) – the fastest pace in 15 years.

The real estate market is being pressured not only by a low inventories of houses listed for sale, but also by rising prices for construction materials.

Home builders must deal with a massive 200% increase in lumber costs since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. According to the National Association of Home Builders, lumber’s elevated price adds about $24,000 to the final quote on a typical new single-family home.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

US Housing Market House Prices Trend Forecast 2021, 2022 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Formulating a US House Prices Forecast 

Pandemics end, momentum, economic, trend and real terms prices analysis ALL point towards a US house prices boom of sorts for 2021. Targeting a bull run into the end of 2021 of about +10% on the most recent Case Shiller 10 city Index (SPCS10RNSA ) rising from 248.5 (Oct 2020 data) to about 273 for Dec 2021 data.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, March 22, 2021

US House Prices Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

What does my primary indicator on the health of the US housing market say that has proven accurate for literally decades! Catching every major bull and bear market of the past 30 years! From it's first SELL signal in 1990 to it's last BUY in 2012. What do real terms US prices say for the prospects for 2021?

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Housing-Market

Thursday, March 11, 2021

Debt and Yield Curve and US House Prices Trend 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

One of the reasons why my analysis of April 2019 was more subdued in terms of the prospects for US house prices than it would otherwise have been is because the yield curve was flirting with inversion, that I concluded that the Fed would not allow to take place and thus adopt whatever measures were necessary to PREVENT inversion that tends to foreshadow lower inflation and recessions.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, March 02, 2021

US Housing Market Trend Forecast 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Given the US governments continuing catastrophic response to the coronavirus virus resulting in severe economic contraction then one would assume that the crowing from the rooftops perma bear deflationistas would finally be proven right with their decade long perma bear messages of a US housing market crash finally being fulfilled. So is that what happened? Were the perma bears finally proven right by chance, a black swan event courtesy of a leak from a wuhan bio lab?

We'll in economic terms the US as is the case for all western nations has come under severe economic pressures following the panic lockdown responses to an out of control pandemic with further economic pain expected during Q1 2021 in a race against time to deliver vaccines into american arms.

The recovery in US employment has started to flat line as the US heads into new lockdown's as the pandemic Wave 4 starts to materialise, thus expect US unemployment to increase though to nowhere near the extent of the first wave.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, March 02, 2021

Covid-19 Vaccinations US House Prices Trend Indicator 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In my opinion one of the primary indicators for economic recovery for the US and the rest of the world is the percentage of the the adult population that has been vaccinated, and especially the segment of the population at highest risk of hospitalisation and death from covid-19 i.e. the over 50's. In which respect US vaccinations currently stand at 6.2 million with approx 1 million americans being vaccinated per day (1st dose) or about 0.3% of the population. Which frankly is just not good enough. So unless things step up a gear perhaps after Biden takes office then under the current pace the US is not going to have vaccinated 50% of the population until late May and that is just with the first dose!

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Housing-Market

Friday, February 26, 2021

US Housing Market House Prices Momentum Analysis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Houston we have Lift OFF! If it were not clear from the house prices graph then it should be clear form the momentum graph that US house prices have taken off! Rising at their fastest pace since 2012! Likely to end 2020 up about 8% on the year. Furthermore the breakout above the 2018 peak suggests further strong house prices gains to come during 2021 i.e. this sort of powerful up thrust in trend usually does not turn on a dime.

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