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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Housing

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Housing-Market

Saturday, July 20, 2019

US House Prices Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the final analysis in my US housing market series that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast.

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, July 05, 2019

US Home Builders Index (XHB) Analysis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, July 05, 2019

US Housing Market Demographics / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold

  • Current State
  • Momentum Analysis
  • US ECONOMY - GDP
  • Unemployment
  • Inflation
  • Producer Prices Index
  • Yield Curve
  • US Debt
  • QE4EVER!
  • DEMOGRAPHICS
  • US Home Builders Index (XHB)
  • US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
  • US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
  • Peering into the Mists of Time
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, July 04, 2019

US Housing Market Is Booming, but Investors Are Still Too Scared to Invest in It / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Stephen_McBride

The US housing market is booming.

This past month the number of Americans looking to buy a new house spiked to a three-year high. Mortgage applications jumped 40%.

And Quicken Loans, the US’s largest mortgage lender, had its best month in 30 years.

“The phone is ringing off the hook” CEO Jay Farner said in a recent interview.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, July 02, 2019

Are US Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade? Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In part I of this research post, we highlighted how the shifting landscape of the US real estate market may be setting up an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  It is our belief that the continued capital shift which has been driving foreign investment into US assets, real estate, and other investments may be shifting away from US real estate as tell-tale signs of stress are starting to show.  Foreclosures and price drops are one of the first signs that stress exists in the markets and we believe the real estate segment could be setting up for an incredible trade opportunity.

SRS, the Proshares Ultrashort Real Estate EFT has recently completed a unique “washout low” price bottom that we believe may become an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  If the US Fed pushes the market into a panic mode, sellers will become even more desperate to offload their homes and buyers will become even more discerning in terms of selecting what and when to buy.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, July 01, 2019

Are Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A subscriber recently mentioned getting into a real estate ETF so we started going over the data which may suggest the Real Estate sector could become the next big trade over the next 12+ months.  The news that the US Fed may decrease rates in an attempt to front-run global economic weakness and real estate market weakness may result in a waterfall event in local and regional real estate markets.  This type of event could become a fantastic trading opportunity for technical traders.

Recently we have been talking about the unit and very different opportunities in other physical assets like precious metals. Each metal is unique for market timing has its own personality. Our gold predictions are an eye-opener, why silver is awesome, and our most recent analysis on platinum is timely.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Monday, July 01, 2019

5 Real Estate Investment Tips to Consider / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Umer_Mahmood

If you’re looking to invest in something that will provide you with a steady amount of wealth, then the real estate market may be an option.

Investing in real estate has been around for decades and has proven to make investors quite a bit of money. Much of the success comes down to the interest rates and inflation. What you bought 20 years ago will likely bring you a hefty return in 2019.

As with any investment journey you go on, it’s essential to have a plan. We have five real estate investment tips that you’ll want to consider as you create your plan.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

US House Prices Yield Curve, Debt, QE4EVER! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Yield Curve

The yield curve (spread between 2 year and 10 year US bonds) continues to flirt with inversion, currently standing at 0.23%. Clearly the housing market is not comfortable with an inversion given the slowing trend since 0.5%.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 04, 2019

US Unemployment and Housing Market Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A stable strong economy can further be seen in the unemployment statistic of just 3.8% marginal above the low of 3.7% and off of a recent high of 4%. As long as unemployment stays stable at around 4% then this should be supportive of house prices going forward.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, May 31, 2019

US House Prices Momentum Analysis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US housing market since early 2015 had been trundling along nicely on a momentum of between 4% and 6% per annum. However as of the most recent data that trading pattern has been breached with momentum falling to +3.2% as a consequence of outright falls in US house prices over the past 3 months. Therefore given the trend trajectory it is highly probable that US house prices are now trending towards 0% house price inflation and may even briefly go negative, which I am sure will send alarm bells ringing at the Fed, as it would fear that its banking brethren are about to feel some pain, and we all know what happens when the banks start to feel pain!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, May 01, 2019

US Housing Market House Prices Bull Market Trend Current State / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's been a while since my last analysis of the US housing market, in fact a full 3 years, preceded by my original 3 year trend forecast covering November 2012 to early 2016 that forecast a strong a bull market against expectations at the time (and for many subsequent years), for it's forgotten today that in the aftermath of the financial crisis the prevailing view was that the US housing market was dead for a generation, and this not just from the usual perma doom merchants (I don't like to name names but you know who they are!) but was consensus view at the time.

So before we plunge into the analysis deep towards concluding in a trend forecast, it's good to understand the reasons why the consensus led by academics usually tend to find themselves on the WRONG side of major market trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Saturday, April 27, 2019

How to Make Money on Your House / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Rodney_Johnson

My house is in a bit of disarray. We’re spring cleaning, but it’s more than that. We’ve decided to move, so going through clutter takes on new meaning.

We don’t need to move, but as I wrote a few weeks ago, we’re looking to the future and trying to determine how best to position ourselves. Two hundred feet from open water in one of the more expensive homes in the neighborhood looks less attractive when I consider rising taxes and higher flood insurance. As many of you commented, it might be time.

But now I’m a bit anxious. Other high-end homes in my neighborhood aren’t moving. After making a tentative decision to sell, I have that nagging worry that I won’t be able to get the price I want.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Saturday, April 27, 2019

Dangers in the US Real Estate Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

There’s been a lot in the news lately about a slowing U.S. property market, with San Francisco a particular worry. According to Reuters, home sales fell more than expected last month. The National Association of Realtors said that existing home sales dropped 4.9%.

I’m, in fact, in Australia for the next two weeks – my third visit in 14 months – because real estate prices are cratering. Everyone seems shocked. I’ve been warning of this for a long time now.

While scanning headlines at 2 a.m. local time (4 p.m. Eastern – jet lag’s a *****), I saw several articles about trouble brewing in the San Francisco real estate market. Again, not surprised.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, April 12, 2019

Elliott Wave Analysis of XLRE (Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF) / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: WavePatternTraders

XLRE

This index is one of the more cleaner markets and showing a potential impulse wave (5 wave advance) from the Dec 2018 lows, whilst many other sectors and US stock markets have lagged this index, the clarity of this particular index, actually highlights a potential setup for a reversal and an opportunity for those that want to bet on a potential decline.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Here’s What You’re Not Hearing About the US - China Trade War / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

China’s been playing hardball with the U.S. over trade talks. There’s good reason: they’re gunning for the title of Top Global Economic Power, above the U.S. and other players.

They’re embracing the short-term pain to win the long-term fight.

But…

They have growing problems, with slowing growth and exports, and we’ve heard much about this lately from Main Street. But those are only symptoms.

Deep down, they have a demographic problem, an overinvestment-in-infrastructure problem, and a real estate problem. Today, let’s talk about that last one.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, March 07, 2019

Millennial Home Buyers Not as Active as Boomers Were in US Property Market / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Andrea Riquier, my favorite commentator on the housing market, grabbed my attention again with her 2018 MarketWatch article entitled “Missing Millennial Homeownership Endangers the American Dream.” You can follow her on Twitter @ARiquier.

She pointed to a report from the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center that suggests the “story of Millennials and homeownership is in many ways a story of inequality in America – and one that might be getting worse,” as she put it.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Thursday, March 07, 2019

How Will Boomers Affect US Real Estate and Nursing Homes / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Recently we talked about why Millennials aren’t buying a house at the same rate as their Boomer and Gen X parents. Today, let’s talk about how Boomers and Gen Xers are actually contributing to the housing shortage, and so driving up prices and thwarting the ability of younger people to buy.

And…

Why that could start to change rapidly just ahead.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Saturday, February 16, 2019

My Favorite Real Estate Strategies: Rent to Live, Buy to Rent / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Did you read Andrea Riquier’s two articles on Market Watch last year about real estate strategies?

Definitely worth it!

The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”

It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York.

Rent in those areas to avoid the high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes). Then use your freed-up borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky. We’re talking places with high percentages of single-family rentals, like Detroit, Las Vegas, or Kansas City and a few more listed below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, January 09, 2019

Are Changing Prices to San Francisco Starter Homes Enough? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

Bubbles ultimately die of their own extremes, although it always helps to have a trigger like the subprime crisis in 2006.

But the San Francisco area takes the cake when it come to the U.S. real-estate bubbles! (That Canadian honor goes to Vancouver and in Australia it’s Sydney and Melbourne.)

And prices have started to fall, albeit slowly, despite no slowdown in the economy and only modestly rising interest rates thus far.

Why?

Because of the insanity of home prices there! They’re massively overpriced, especially in the large and critical starter-home market.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


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