Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Will the U.S. Treasury Defend the Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Dorsch
“Everything depends on proper listening. Of ten people who listen to the same speech or story, each person may well understand it differently. Perhaps, only one of them will understand it correctly.” How should traders interpret the latest remarks by US Treasury chief Timothy Geithner, who shocked the currency markets on October 18th, citing his determination to defend the value of the US-dollar?
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Currency Wars, Gresham’s Law and Digital Gold Currency (DGC) / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: David_Knox_Barker
Introducing the Chronicles of Atticus McShrugg: Instead of typical article format, I've created a fictional character and will chronicle his interaction with the President of the United States during these trying times of global crisis. Atticus McShrugg, a staff member in the National Security Council (NSC), is making his debut in order to speak into the fast-paced developments in the international political economy and global financial markets.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Geithner, China Currency War and Foreclosure-gate / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Dian_L_Chu
Global markets freaked out on Tuesday primarily due to the following events:
- U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner’s speech on Monday pledging “The United States and no country around the world can devalue its way to prosperity."
- Within hours after Geithner’s statement, China made a surprise interest rate hike—its first since 2007--raised fears that Chinese growth will slow with global implications.
- The unraveling of the “foreclosure-gate” could mean banking crisis 2.0
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Currency Wars, Market Manipulation and Quantitative Easing / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Bob_Chapman
As we write the US dollar is in the process of trying to find at least a temporary bottom at 76.50 and to launch a countertrend rally. We would think a rally back to 80 is achievable, but we do not believe it’s sustainable - only some stabilization through the election. Japan drew a line in the sand at 82 and finished last Friday trading at 81.37. That does not smack of success, but we see improvement over the next two weeks.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
The Aussie Dollar Gets the High-low Treatment / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Dan_Denning
--Ouch both times. Aussie stocks got hit by the old “high-low” overnight. The “high-low” is a gridiron technique where one man tackles you high and the other tackles you low. The net result is that you get smashed. Granted, a four percent decline in the Aussie dollar versus the greenback doesn’t quite constitute a smashing. How bad, then, is the double-helping of unsettling news?
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
A Rising U.S. Dollar Amidst a Currency War? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Marty_Chenard
Wall Street has been pointing out how a falling Dollar is good for stocks ... especially for international companies. What happens if the Dollar rises now?
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Monday, October 18, 2010
U.S. Dollar Devaluation, The Greatest Bet of All Time / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Larry_Edelson
No doubt you watched the U.S. dollar plunge almost out of control last week.
And no doubt you heard about the massive currency wars that are bearing down on the world, as each major country tries to put itself on sale, to boost exports, to inflate debts, and to compete in a world where both consumers and investors are running for cover.
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Sunday, October 17, 2010
Look at the U.S. Dollar USD Index / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Steven_Vincent
At this time sentiment on the US Dollar Index is about as bearish as ever and at least equivalent to that at the bottom in December 2009. Expectations for a meltdown to all time lows in the context of rampant devaluation via Quantitative Easing by the Fed are nearly universal. While these expectations may, of course, be met in the market, it's worth asking what the implications may be if the setup renders a contrarian result.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
Winning The Currency War By Unleasing Financial Nuclear War / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Matthias_Chang
Let us be very clear about the impact of the coming massive Quantitative Easing (QEII) by the FED, the financial bully of Wall Street. It is the unleashing of a financial nuclear weapon!
The financial media is portraying this process as "a war of survival" between America and the rest of the world. This is a war waged by Wall Street. Its main instrument is a Global Ponzi Scheme.
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Saturday, October 16, 2010
U.S. Dollar USD Index ZERO Bound / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Joseph_Russo
Who is fooling whom?"
It is with sheer disbelief, and utter amazement that the real world accepts such an empty unit of exchange to start with. To fathom a plausible reason for such collective behavior, one need not go any further than studying the classic conditioning experiment of Pavlov and his dogs.
Friday, October 15, 2010
Federal Reserve Policy Pushes the U.S. Dollar Ever Closer to Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Peter D. Schiff writes: Much of the content of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve statement, released on Sept. 21, echoes the central bank's previous post-credit-crunch pronouncements: There is still too much slack in the economy, interest rates are still going to be near-zero for an "extended period," and the Fed will continue to use payments from its Treasury purchases to buy yet more Treasuries.
Friday, October 15, 2010
Global Currency Meltdown / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Peter_Schiff
As the recession and resultant stimulus packages add to higher unemployment and increasing public-sector deficits, the government is seeking to boost the value of overseas earnings that are accrued by US corporations. To aid in this effort, the Fed is being pressured to erode the value of the US dollar, thereby making foreign sales more lucrative in nominal terms. But this form of stealth protectionism will fail just as surely as more overt trade barriers.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 14, 2010
British Pound vs Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) Trend Forecast into Mid 2011 / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Andrea asks : We are traveling to Perth in March 2011, are we best changing our money now? Or is there a chance the exchange rate will be better in the new year? Please help.
In answer to Andrea and others who have posted similar comments requesting an analysis of GBP/AUD, this analysis seeks to extrapolate recent in depth analysis on the Dollar and British Pound with regards to the Aussie Dollar.
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Thursday, October 14, 2010
U.S. Dollar Cannot Even Hold 5 Day Moving Average / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Trader_Mark
Dollar bulls are now showing in the 3% range which is a similar reading to Euro bulls in late spring during the Greece crisis ... the euro was roughly 1.18 to the dollar, and people were talking par (1.00). Now the euro just broke over 1.40.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 14, 2010
How to Diversify Out Of U.S. Dollars With ETFs / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ron_Rowland
Do you pay attention to the currency markets? You’d better, if you want to survive and thrive in these crazy times.
I have to tell you I am NOT a currency expert. For deeper analysis I refer you to my Money and Markets colleague Bryan Rich. I do, however, know a trend when I see one — and right now the trend in the U.S. dollar is down against every major currency.
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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Fed Slashing the U.S. Dollar, The Economic Future is Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
The Fed has has hinted that it will launch a second round of quantitative easing (QE) sometime after its November 2 meeting. The anticipated intervention has been widely criticized, but for all the wrong reasons. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke knows that adding another $1 to $1.5 trillion to bulging bank reserves will likely have little effect on aggregate demand. Nor will it lower unemployment now hovering at 9.7%. It will, however, send a message to trading partners (re: China) that the Fed is serious about reducing destabilizing trade imbalances that siphon-off domestic stimulus, increase unemployment and keep the dollar perilously overvalued. In other words, the Fed's action is the first volley in what is likely to be a protracted currency war that leads to the final demise of Bretton Woods 2.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
U.S. Treasury's Drive to Devalue the Dollar, Fed Takes Aim at Chinese Yuan / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Gary_Dorsch
Although the United States is still the world’s #1 economy, it’s increasingly feeling the heat of the Chinese dragon, breathing down its neck. At the beginning of the twenty-first century, the US-economy was eight-times larger than China’s - a decade later the figure was down to three-times. China’s $5-trillion economy has eclipsed Japan, Germany, France and Britain, to become the second-biggest, after three decades of blistering growth, and is now within reach of overtaking the US within 10-years. With China’s economic growth rate at 10% and the US-economy struggling at +1.5% growth, - this long-term prediction doesn’t sound that far-fetched.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Fed’s Bizarre Tactics Target Weaker U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Is the Federal Reserve (Fed) experiencing a midlife crisis? Ever since Fed Chairman Bernanke gave a speech in Jackson Hole, Fed behavior can be summarized as, well, bizarre. According to Bernanke, the market’s inflation expectations may be too low. He considers three possible remedies:
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
China’s Plan to Dethrone the U.S. Dollar as Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Don Miller writes: The U.S. dollar is on the way out as the world's top reserve currency. And as Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald predicted more than a year and a half ago, the yuan could be set to replace it.
The greenback has served as the world's benchmark reserve currency since the mid-20th century, but soaring deficits and the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy have drained the dollar's value.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
How to Profit From the Global Currency War Race to the Bottom / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Short of sitting on the sidelines, investors can't escape the global currency wars - a "race to the bottom" shootout that has countries debasing their currencies to boost overseas sales.
But here's the only thing you need to know: As the central banks of the world slug it out in the global currency markets, individual investors who understand the currency-war strategy can reap some extraordinary gains.
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