Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
How to Diversify Out Of U.S. Dollars With ETFs / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ron_Rowland
Do you pay attention to the currency markets? You’d better, if you want to survive and thrive in these crazy times.
I have to tell you I am NOT a currency expert. For deeper analysis I refer you to my Money and Markets colleague Bryan Rich. I do, however, know a trend when I see one — and right now the trend in the U.S. dollar is down against every major currency.
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Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Fed Slashing the U.S. Dollar, The Economic Future is Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
The Fed has has hinted that it will launch a second round of quantitative easing (QE) sometime after its November 2 meeting. The anticipated intervention has been widely criticized, but for all the wrong reasons. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke knows that adding another $1 to $1.5 trillion to bulging bank reserves will likely have little effect on aggregate demand. Nor will it lower unemployment now hovering at 9.7%. It will, however, send a message to trading partners (re: China) that the Fed is serious about reducing destabilizing trade imbalances that siphon-off domestic stimulus, increase unemployment and keep the dollar perilously overvalued. In other words, the Fed's action is the first volley in what is likely to be a protracted currency war that leads to the final demise of Bretton Woods 2.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
U.S. Treasury's Drive to Devalue the Dollar, Fed Takes Aim at Chinese Yuan / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Gary_Dorsch
Although the United States is still the world’s #1 economy, it’s increasingly feeling the heat of the Chinese dragon, breathing down its neck. At the beginning of the twenty-first century, the US-economy was eight-times larger than China’s - a decade later the figure was down to three-times. China’s $5-trillion economy has eclipsed Japan, Germany, France and Britain, to become the second-biggest, after three decades of blistering growth, and is now within reach of overtaking the US within 10-years. With China’s economic growth rate at 10% and the US-economy struggling at +1.5% growth, - this long-term prediction doesn’t sound that far-fetched.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Fed’s Bizarre Tactics Target Weaker U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Is the Federal Reserve (Fed) experiencing a midlife crisis? Ever since Fed Chairman Bernanke gave a speech in Jackson Hole, Fed behavior can be summarized as, well, bizarre. According to Bernanke, the market’s inflation expectations may be too low. He considers three possible remedies:
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
China’s Plan to Dethrone the U.S. Dollar as Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Don Miller writes: The U.S. dollar is on the way out as the world's top reserve currency. And as Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald predicted more than a year and a half ago, the yuan could be set to replace it.
The greenback has served as the world's benchmark reserve currency since the mid-20th century, but soaring deficits and the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy have drained the dollar's value.
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
How to Profit From the Global Currency War Race to the Bottom / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Short of sitting on the sidelines, investors can't escape the global currency wars - a "race to the bottom" shootout that has countries debasing their currencies to boost overseas sales.
But here's the only thing you need to know: As the central banks of the world slug it out in the global currency markets, individual investors who understand the currency-war strategy can reap some extraordinary gains.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
USD Index Trend Forecast Into Mid 2011, U.S. Dollar Collapse (Again)? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Following the USD Index peak at 89 in early June 2010, the Dollar has been on a near relentlessly slide to the recent low of 76.90 which represents a 14% fall in just 4 months. The fall in the Dollar has again brought out the perma Dollar collapse proponents who have periodically come out to reiterate that the U.S. Dollar as measured by the USD index is destined to crash and burn which is set against the perma deflationists who continuously propose that DEFLATION will result in the Dollar rallying to new highs as a consequence of debt deleveraging, which again was most prevalent just as the U.S. Dollar peaked. Therefore this in-depth analysis will seek to conclude towards a probable trend forecast for the USD index into Mid 2011 (9 months forward).
Monday, October 11, 2010
U.S. Dollar Could Rally In Coming Weeks / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Ciovacco
When one side of any market gets crowded, it is time to prepare for a possible reversal. While there are numerous reasons to be bearish on the U.S. dollar long-term, there are some short-to-intermediate-term factors that may cause the dollar to stage a counter-trend rally in the coming weeks. As we monitor the dollar, we must also consider the possible impact on “weak dollar assets” such as gold (GLD), silver (SLV), copper (JJC), oil (USO), agricultural commodities (DBA), Australian dollar (FXA), Canadian dollar (FXC), and emerging markets (EEM).
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Monday, October 11, 2010
EUR/USD Bounce Closing in on Stronger Resistance / Currencies / Euro
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
The recovery in EUR/USD from a Jun low has turned out impressive, with a second bull leg now well underway. This has started to reach certain interesting resistance levels which the market could find tough to overcome.
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Safeguard Against the Falling Dollar with ZERO Downside Risk... Guaranteed / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Heads we win. Tails, the government loses.
Hey, if the government is willing to create investment guarantees for us (through virtual banks, for example), we'd be foolish not to take advantage of 'em. If we can get the full upside potential of the investment... and we can legally hand off all the risks to the government... then let's do it!
Saturday, October 09, 2010
China’s Currency War, the Enemy #1 for Global Economy / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Bryan_Rich
When Brazil’s finance minister said the world was in a currency war, it came as big news to many people — a surprising “new” economic threat. But there’s nothing new about a currency war. China has been waging a war — an economic war — with its currency for a long time.
Over the last 14 years, China’s economy has grown four times as fast as the U.S. economy, and it has quickly soared to become the world’s second-largest. The key to China’s success has been a weak yuan — it’s method of manipulating a sustained advantage over its competitors in global trade.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Central Bankers’ Global Race to the Currency Devaluation Bottom / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mike_Larson
Well, that pretty much seals the deal. I’m talking about the latest, lousy batch of employment data. The ADP Employer Services report out Wednesday showed the economy shedding 39,000 jobs in September — the biggest decline since January and far below the Bloomberg forecast for a gain of 20,000.
Saturday, October 09, 2010
U.S. Dollar in trouble following job’s report / Currencies / US Dollar
By: LiveCharts
An already weak US dollar took another hit early Friday (October 8) morning following the latest report on jobs. According to new Labor Department numbers, 95,000 workers were cut by US employers during the month of September.
The number of new jobless claims was far worse than analysts had predicted. Bloomberg News, for instance, forecasted just 5,000 new job cuts in its survey of economists.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
China's Currency War in the Eurozone to Devalue U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Market Manipulation
By: Pravda
The market structure of the rates of foreign currencies has been thrown into question. China has become more active in the eurozone as a result of the economic conflict with the USA. The Chinese dragon starts to determine quotations on world's basic currencies, such as the euro and the US dollar.
Thursday, October 07, 2010
U.S. Dollar At Support, Bounce Likely / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Guy_Lerner
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bull ETF (symbol: UUP).
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Pressures Mount on Bank of England (BOE) to Devalue Pound / Currencies / British Pound
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The Bank of England (BOE) is due to make a statement today at noon in London (7:00 a.m. ET U.S.). The BOE’s actions in the next 45 days may be important to investors in the U.S. and global commodity markets. All things being equal, a weak U.S. dollar tends to provide favorable headwinds to both U.S. stocks and commodities, such as oil (USL), copper (JJC), gold (GLD), and silver (SLV). With the BOE facing more bad news on the housing front today, political pressures to join the money-printing parties in the United States and Japan are mounting.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Global Currency Wars Phantom Menace / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Kieran_Osborne
The last thing the global economy needs right now is anything that would hamper or derail economic growth. Unfortunately, there appears a growing specter of this occurring. Brazil and Japan’s recent decisions to intervene in the currency markets follow a disturbing trend. If policy makers are not careful, present dynamics may precipitate a worldwide economic slowdown, brought about by protectionist pressures and exacerbated by political motivations globally.
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Currency Time Cycle's Analysis for U.S. Dollar, Euro, Yen and Swiss Franc / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Tony_Caldaro
For many a year we have spent most of our time trading the markets using OEW and not paying too much attention to time cycles. We naturally accepted the four-year presidential cycle because it was easily back-tested using OEW analysis. And, with very few exceptions it has been quite predictable and regular.
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Does a U.S. Dollar Crash Loom? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Clif_Droke
Even if you’re not one who tracks currency values, you just knew the dollar was on the ropes again if you bothered to check your mail box. Whenever the dollar shows any sustained weakness the newsletter publishers will send out bulk mail advertisements with sensational headlines like, “Dollar Crash Looms!” or “The Dollar Will Soon Be Devalued and Replaced.” After receiving two such mailings on the same day last week, it was obvious to me what the investor sentiment was like on the greenback. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 05, 2010
China Yuan Currency Manipulation, Free Trade versus Fair Trade / Currencies / Market Manipulation
By: Jim_Farrish
The fantasy of forcing China to float the yuan against the dollar is building steam. There have been attempts to persuade the Chinese government to this end, but they have not listened, nor do they really intend to act. The yuan has floated higher by 1.8% over the last five weeks, but that is a pittance compared with the destruction of the dollar by US policy, in an attempt to devalue the dollar in hopes of exporting more goods.
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