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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, November 06, 2008

British Pound Weakens Ahead of Interest Rate Cut / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Sterling weakened from yesterdays level of £/$1.61 trading down to £/$1.59 ahead of today's anticipated rate cut which earlier analysis suggested could be as much as 1%. However the Pound is extremely oversold following its 25% crash from the high of £/$2.11 all the way to £/$1.53, this suggests that even a 1% cut would result in limited downside action until sterling has managed to work out its oversold state.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 01, 2008

Toxic Emerging Economies Boost U.S. Dollar Safe-haven Demand / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Jack Crooks writes: Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn advance report of third-quarter U.S. GDP showed a decline of 0.3%. That's awfully pathetic, right? But not quite as pathetic as the 0.5% that was anticipated …

Still, there's no denying that a GDP contraction of any amount is unappealing. And when it comes to many of the recent U.S. economic indicators, most everything's been unappealing … if not downright ugly.

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Currencies

Friday, October 31, 2008

Bankrupt United States Will Reverse Recent Dollar Trend / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen inexplicable events perplexed our early forbears, village wise men concocted elaborate and colorful explanations to soothe the populace. Earthquakes, hailstorms, and solar eclipses were all ascribed to root causes that made sense to the villagers and increased the esteem of the story tellers. The recent, unexpected surge of the U.S. dollar has led many Wall Street witch doctors to conjure a series of logic-defying tales to give reason to what is surely the random scramble of a confused herd. Wall Street spun similar yarns during the dot.com and real estate bubbles as investors groped for reasons to justify sky high prices.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Crooked Central Bank Plumbing the Depths of Depravity / Currencies / Central Banks

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst, for a bit of historical context, a little bit of fact-finding pertaining to Henry Paulson, complements of my friend, Jesse :

“I didn't know he was a member of the Nixon White House as his first 'real job.'

In 1970, fresh from the Masters program of the Harvard Business School , Paulson entered the Nixon administration, working first as staff assistant to the assistant secretary of defense.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Chinese Yuan the Worlds New Reserve Currency? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Mike_Whitney

Things are getting worse. On Friday morning, futures trading was halted for the first time ever after futures plunged more than 5 percent. The sell-off came after another 500-plus down day on the Dow followed by steep declines in equities markets across Europe and Asia. Japan's benchmark index, the Nikkei, slipped more than 9.5 percent after Toyota and Samsung reported disappointing earnings. The news was equally bad in Europe where shares were battered across the continent on fears of a global recession.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

U.S. Dollar Has Entered a Multi-year Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Jack Crooks writes: Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's a popular notion when the financial winds are blowing unfavorably:

Money is being printed uncontrollably … inflation is the only option … fiat currencies are doomed.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Why Gold Price Rise Will Trigger U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

For the last few years, the dollar has been in a bear market due to the horrible fundamentals backing the currency (the huge debt mountain, unfunded liabilities in the tens of trillions, rampant money printing by the central bank, and the huge federal budget deficit). However, in the last three months the US dollar has diverged from its fundamentals and rallied due to investors fears about deflation.

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Currencies

Sunday, October 26, 2008

U.S. Dollar Bull Market Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe role of the U.S. Dollar as the worlds reserve currency kicked into gear this past week which accelerated the up trend of the US Dollar towards its initial forecast target of USD 90 as per the analysis of mid August 08 which was made against the overwhelming consensuses at the time that basically viewed an imminent collapse of n the US Dollar. Which despite the exceptionally strong rally to date that consensus more or less remains in tact today, where still the vast majority of views remain that the Dollar's rally as temporary in advance of a much greater and near imminent collapse.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 25, 2008

U.S. Dollar and the Flying Bankers / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joe_Gelet

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe heart of the crisis is very simple: banks won't lend.  Why they won't lend is irrelevant, the solution is so simple it seems too good to be true:  force banks to lend.  The modern economy functions on credit; exporters sell to foreign buyers using complex Letters of Credit packed with shipping insurance, small businesses depend on rotating credit lines to purchase inventory they sell to the consumer.  Mostly working on small margins, these businesses depend heavily on credit to stay afloat; even a short disruption in their lending activities would literally bankrupt them.  This has already started happening, and the banks are sitting on the sidelines.  The simple, clear solution is to force banks to lend, by any means.  Giving banks more money is not helping, they already have plenty of money, the problem is not that banks are undercapitalized it is that they will not lend. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

Exploding Debt Dynamics: Argentia and the U.S. Dollar's Fate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhither the dollar and gold? To answer that long-awaited inquiry – which will take some time to cover in full – let's start by getting a handle on “exploding debt dynamics.” Cartoonish as it sounds, it's a real term that IMF economists use.

If, like me, the phrase gives you visions of Wile E. Coyote blowing himself up with a box of ACME brand dynamite, you aren't too far off.

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Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

British Pound Crashes on GDP 0.5% Contraction / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Pound Crashed following the worse than expected GDP data that showed that the UK economy contracted by 0.5% in the third quarter which was against consensus forecasts of 0.2% and the Market Oracle forecast for a 0.3% drop. Anything worse than 0.3% was expected to lead to panic selling of sterling which is what transpired. The British Pound fell from an already depressed level of £/$1.61 all the way to £/$ 1.5250 a drop of more than 8 cents which represents the largest intra-day drop since exchange rates started to float freely following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 due to trade imbalance strains.

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Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

British Pound Biggest Crash Since 1971 and USD/JPY Cycles / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling collapses by over 800 points (8 cents) to $1.5260, posting its biggest intraday decline since exchange rates became freely floated in 1971, reinforced by a bigger than expected 0.5% q/q decline in UK Q3 GDP, and a 0.3% y/y rise, versus expectations of a 0.2% q/q decline and below expectations. EURs decline vs USD is not as pronounced as GBP, hence the prolonged spike in EURGBP to a 2-month high of 81.00 pence from Wednesdays 77.5 pence. World equity markets are in virtual free fall, with trading on S&P500 mini contracts suspended for reaching limit down.

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Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

U.S. Dollar Currency Collapse Within 30 Days / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt appears that there is a common refrain going around the investment community. It goes something like this:

"Gold should be doing better, and, since it isn't, I am not going to buy it"

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Currencies

Thursday, October 23, 2008

The U.S. Dollar Death Dance / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar rally in the last several weeks has been remarkable. At closer examination, it highly resembles a spurt prior to death. Imagine an old man who just had a heart attack, lost feeling in certain body parts, his mind not working right, plenty of nonsense gibberish coming from his mouth, and now he is dancing hard on some last gasps. The vast liquidation movement is akin to the old man going through an embalming process while dancing atop the tables at the funeral parlor, as bidding proceeds for his cadaver.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 23, 2008

The Strong U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We're for a Strong Dollar" "There are more tears shed over answered prayers than over unanswered prayers..." – Teresa of Ávila, patron saint of headache sufferers

SO HANK PAULSON , Ben Bernanke and George W.Bush got their wish. The US Dollar is now the world's strongest currency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Europe Seeks to Implement New Bretton Woods Fiat Currency System / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. It looks like Europe wants to re-invent the wheel and soundings are being made to introduce a "new Bretton Woods".

Bretton Woods was effectively an exchange rate mechanism, were gold backed the new kid on the world block, namely the post war US dollar and all other currencies floated around the dollar in a fixed range. If a currency moved too far either way of the range then the respective Central Bank stepped in and delivered the appropriate medicine.

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Currencies

Monday, October 20, 2008

Central Banks Scramble to Buy Dollars to Bolster Banking Systems / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe G-7 countries now have what amounts to access to the US Fed's window for dollars for their banks. But what of the rest of the world? Brad Setser, an analyst who writes a blog for the Council on Foreign Relations, ask some very interesting questions and points out some big holes in the world economic landscape. If you can't get dollars what does that do to your currency? This contributes to the rise in the dollar against some emerging market currencies. Setser asks: "Where is my swap line? And will the diffusion of financial power Balkanize the global response to a broadening crisis?"

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Currencies

Sunday, October 19, 2008

U.S. Highly Inflationary Monetary Growth Will Lead to Dollar Implosion / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn previous Dollar Death Ray we saw how size of U.S. Federal Reserve balance had exploded. That financial frenzy continues. In most recent report, Federal Reserves balance sheet, after appropriate adjustment, was 46% larger than a year ago. Most of that growth has come recently during bank bailout scheme. Rarely, if ever, has central bank of a major economy so lost control of its balance sheet, or monetary policy. That expansion of reserve bank credit is now feeding the growth of U.S. money supply, M-2.

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Currencies

Friday, October 17, 2008

USD/JPY Strategy and Yield Curve Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleViolent volatility maintains its daily routine of aggressive swings, as US equities close 5% higher after more than a 9% decline yesterday, dragging risk appetite and currencies along with them. Wednesday's trading session saw a short-lived attempt for economic reports to reassert their dominance on financial markets before risk took over on Thursday. Market players were astounded by the fact that neither the 34-year lows in US industrial production, nor 18-year lows in the Philadelphia Fed index nor the record lows in the US National Association of Homebuilders' index dipping managed to bring down US stocks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Financial Crisis is the Birth Pains of a New Currency / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2008

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat can we say?

We are experiencing the most severe financial crisis since 1929. It hurts. There appears to be no relief in site. What began with mortgage defaults has now spread to the derivative markets.

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