Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks Correct into Bitcoin Happy Thanks Halving - Earnings Season Buying Opps - 4th July 24
24 Hours Until Clown Rishi Sunak is Booted Out of Number 10 - UIK General Election 2024 - 4th July 24
Clown Rishi Delivers Tory Election Bloodbath, Labour 400+ Seat Landslide - 1st July 24
Bitcoin Happy Thanks Halving - Crypto's Exist Strategy - 30th June 24
Is a China-Taiwan Conflict Likely? Watch the Region's Stock Market Indexes - 30th June 24
Gold Mining Stocks Record Quarter - 30th June 24
Could Low PCE Inflation Take Gold to the Moon? - 30th June 24
UK General Election 2024 Result Forecast - 26th June 24
AI Stocks Portfolio Accumulate and Distribute - 26th June 24
Gold Stocks Reloading - 26th June 24
Gold Price Completely Unsurprising Reversal and Next Steps - 26th June 24
Inflation – How It Started And Where We Are Now - 26th June 24
Can Stock Market Bad Breadth Be Good? - 26th June 24
How to Capitalise on the Robots - 20th June 24
Bitcoin, Gold, and Copper Paint a Coherent Picture - 20th June 24
Why a Dow Stock Market Peak Will Boost Silver - 20th June 24
QI Group: Leading With Integrity and Impactful Initiatives - 20th June 24
Tesla Robo Taxis are Coming THIS YEAR! - 16th June 24
Will NVDA Crash the Market? - 16th June 24
Inflation Is Dead! Or Is It? - 16th June 24
Investors Are Forever Blowing Bubbles - 16th June 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 8th June 24
S&P 494 Stocks Then & Now - 8th June 24
As Stocks Bears Begin To Hibernate, It's Now Time To Worry About A Bear Market - 8th June 24
Gold, Silver and Crypto | How Charts Look Before US Dollar Meltdown - 8th June 24
Gold & Silver Get Slammed on Positive Economic Reports - 8th June 24
Gold Summer Doldrums - 8th June 24
S&P USD Correction - 7th June 24
Israel's Smoke and Mirrors Fake War on Gaza - 7th June 24
US Banking Crisis 2024 That No One Is Paying Attention To - 7th June 24
The Fed Leads and the Market Follows? It's a Big Fat MYTH - 7th June 24
How Much Gold Is There In the World? - 7th June 24
Is There a Financial Crisis Bubbling Under the Surface? - 7th June 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Crude Oil and the US Dollar Elliott Wave Analysis

Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory May 28, 2009 - 04:11 PM GMT

By: Dan_Stinson

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is in wave b down, currently in wave 5 of (C). We should see further downside before a strong rally in wave c up. Crude is in wave b up, currently in wave 5 of (C). Crude is an excellent example of a bear market correction, since we would want to see at least 3 waves (an abc) complete from the peak. If you are not familiar with Elliott Wave, you can examine the completed decline on any chart that has had a parabolic advance in a so called bubble. The decline completes as 3 waves, with wave b up, as the bear market rally. This rally also coincides with the other markets.


The charts are aligning for a reversal similar to last July before the commodities and markets crashed. Its deja vu before history repeats itself. We still need to see further upside for the DOW, but the next decline should take out the March lows. We still need to see the USD and Euro (not shown) hit their targets before the reversal. The metals still have further upside as well, but we should see a strong correction similar to the one last year, before the bull advance resumes. Many of our charts illustrate triangles or ending diagonals patterns, which indicates a top is near and we could see a reversal as early as next week. The reversal could extend a bit longer, so keep an eye on the USD, when it hits the target and bounces above the top trendline, we expect all of the markets to roll over at the same time.

USD

Crude Oil




We have been extremely busy and it has almost been almost a year since our last free newsletter. The last newsletter covered the USD and Crude as well and also mentioned the forecast for the pending decline in the markets and commodities that occurred in July 2008. We called the top for Crude on the day that it rolled over, with the first downside target of $55.

Since the decline in the markets, we have been too busy to distribute the free newsletters, but I wanted to get this one out, so that you would be aware of the current market condition. Be careful, it is a bear market rally and its close to completing.

These charts are only a guide so that you can follow the action and watch the expected action. The action could play out exactly as illustrated or it may need minor adjustments as we follow it through.

If you are interested in viewing these updated charts and other detailed charts with targets on a daily basis, please see the registration details below.

Elliott Wave Chart Site - IntraDay Market Updates on the DOW, Nasdaq, S&P500, Gold, Silver, HUI and the USD.

By Dan Stinson
http://www.e-wavecharts.com

Copyright© 2001-2009

The indices covered include the NASDAQ, DOW, S&P 500, Nikkei, and DOW Transports. Commodity charts include the CRB Index, Copper, Crude, Gold, Silver, HUI and the XAU (Gold and Silver index) . Additional Elliott Wave charts cover the US Dollar (USD),CAD, Euro, 10 Year Treasury Note Yield (TNX), Nortel, Ballard Power, EBay, Encana (ECA), North American Palladium, Gold Corp, Pan American Silver, Central Fund (CEF), Couer D Alene Mines (CDE), Newmont Mining (NEM), Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) and Denison Mines.

Dan Stinson Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in