Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21
Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets - 26th Nov 21
SILVER Price Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 21
Federal Reserve Asks Americans to Eat Soy “Meat” for Thanksgiving - 26th Nov 21
Is the S&P 500 Topping or Just Consolidating? - 26th Nov 21
Is a Bigger Drop in Gold Price Just Around the Corner? - 26th Nov 21
Financial Stocks ETF Sector XLF Pullback Sets Up A New $43.60 Upside Target - 26th Nov 21
A Couple of Things to Think About Before Buying Shares - 25th Nov 21
UK Best Fixed Rate Tariff Deal is to NOT FIX Gas and Electric Energy Tariffs During Winter 2021-22 - 25th Nov 21
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally - 24th Nov 21
How Silver Can Conquer $50+ in 2022 - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Betting on Hawkish Fed - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 21
Your once-a-year All-Access Financial Markets Analysis Pass - 24th Nov 21
Did Zillow’s $300 million flop prove me wrong? - 24th Nov 21
Now Malaysian Drivers Renew Their Kurnia Car Insurance Online With Fincrew.my - 24th Nov 21
Gold / Silver Ratio - 23rd Nov 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Can We Get To 5500SPX In 2022? But 4440SPX Comes First - 23rd Nov 21
A Month-to-month breakdown of how Much Money Individuals are Spending on Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
Like the Latest Bond Flick, the US Dollar Has No Time to Die - 23rd Nov 21
Why BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING! - 22nd Nov 21
Cannabis ETF MJ Basing & Volatility Patterns - 22nd Nov 21
The Most Important Lesson Learned from this COVID Pandemic - 22nd Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis - 22nd Nov 21
UK Covid-19 Booster Jabs Moderna, Pfizer Are They Worth the Risk of Side effects, Illness? - 22nd Nov 21
US Dollar vs Yields vs Stock Market Trends - 20th Nov 21
Inflation Risk: Milton Friedman Would Buy Gold Right Now - 20th Nov 21
How to Determine if It’s Time for You to Outsource Your Packaging Requirements to a Contract Packer - 20th Nov 21
2 easy ways to play Facebook’s Metaverse Spending Spree - 20th Nov 21
Stock Market Margin Debt WARNING! - 19th Nov 21
Gold Mid-Tier Stocks Q3’21 Fundamentals - 19th Nov 21
Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation - 19th Nov 21
Investors Expect High Inflation. Golden Inquisition Ahead? - 19th Nov 21
Will the Senate Confirm a Marxist to Oversee the U.S. Currency System? - 19th Nov 21
When Even Stock Market Bears Act Bullishly (What It May Mean) - 19th Nov 21
Chinese People do NOT Eat Dogs Newspeak - 18th Nov 21
CHINOBLE! Evergrande Reality Exposes China Fiction! - 18th Nov 21
Kondratieff Full-Season Stock Market Sector Rotation - 18th Nov 21
What Stock Market Trends Will Drive Through To 2022? - 18th Nov 21
How to Jump Start Your Motherboard Without a Power Button With Just a Screwdriver - 18th Nov 21
Bitcoin & Ethereum 2021 Trend - 18th Nov 21
FREE TRADE How to Get 2 FREE SHARES Fractional Investing Platform and ISA Specs - 18th Nov 21
Inflation Ain’t Transitory – But the Fed’s Credibility Is - 18th Nov 21
The real reason Facebook just went “all in” on the metaverse - 18th Nov 21
Biden Signs a Bill to Revive Infrastructure… and Gold! - 18th Nov 21
Silver vs US Dollar - 17th Nov 21
Silver Supply and Demand Balance - 17th Nov 21
Sentiment Speaks: This Stock Market Makes Absolutely No Sense - 17th Nov 21
Biden Spending to Build Back Stagflation - 17th Nov 21
Meshing Cryptocurrency Wealth Generation With Global Fiat Money Demise - 17th Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 - 16th Nov 21
Stock Market Minor Cycle Correcting - 16th Nov 21
The INFLATION MEGA-TREND - Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation! - 16th Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

May The Investment Force Be With You

InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest Jun 30, 2009 - 07:54 AM GMT

By: Steve_Selengut

InvestorEducation

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestment markets got you down, Bunkie? Been blown away by derivative stun guns? When will portfolio market values move back to 2007 levels--- and then what will you do about it?


It's time to overthrow the evil Masters of the Universe and deactivate their weapons of financial destruction. Let's outlaw the brainwashing that has changed how average investors look at and value their investment portfolios.

It's time to exorcize the Wall Street demons and return to stocks and bonds--- and to QDI, "the Force" for long-term investment portfolio security.

Speculating is complicated, even for financial rocket scientists. What most of us want (or would certainly settle for) is simplicity, stability, and reasonable growth in our productive working capital.

A return to plain vanilla investing strategies with operating procedures that minimize risk and encourage understanding of the financial markets needs to become part of our financial force field.

As bad as things have been since this black hole appeared, investment models true to fundamental concepts, simple strategies, and disciplined operating rules have probably bettered the market numbers in at least six important ways:

One - Higher lows during market downturns: Equity portfolios managed using basic principles of quality, diversification, and income (the QDI) and disciplined profit taking rules should not fall as much in market value as most mutual funds or poorly diversified portfolios.

Constant cash flow, even if not reinvested, places a floor under market values, and investors feel better when their values fall less than the market averages. In soundly managed programs, buying activity slows as prices rise--- increasing "smart cash" for buying at lower levels later.

Two - Moves to cash or other sectors before bubbles burst: Disciplined profit taking automatically moves dollars from overheated sectors to cash or undervalued sectors during rising markets. This process creates capital that can be used to lower the average cost of remaining positions or to take advantage of new opportunities.

Investors feel better when no profits have been left on the table.

Three - Maintenance of planned income streams during financial crises: Most financial plans focus so strongly on growing market values that they lose touch with the need for planning a dependable retirement income. They rely on selling equity fund units or inflated indices for cash flow, instead of generating stable income with less exciting cash producing staples.

Steadily increasing annual income can be placed on "cruise control" through the use of the cost basis asset allocation methods contained in the WCM (Working Capital Model). How many would-be retirees are searching for jobs because of improper income planning?

Four - Faster movement to new all time market value highs: When investors have a reasonable understanding of the various cycles impacting their investment portfolios, they develop valid expectations about the market value "performance" of their portfolios.

They are less likely to initiate knee-jerk or panic driven transactions and more likely to take advantage of the new opportunities that lower security prices always create. Additionally, higher quality securities invariably are in the first group to regain popularity with investors as good news reports begin to dominate.

Five - Steady growth in working capital in all market environments: Working capital is measured in terms of cost basis instead of market price. As a result, all income generated from interest, dividends, and realized gains grow working capital regardless of the direction of market prices.

A treasury bond generates the same income at $85 as at $115. Most closed-end municipal bond funds (CEFs) maintained their 5% to 7% tax-free cash flow throughout the financial crisis--- in spite of their reduced market values. Similarly, short-term profits on high quality securities have been growing working capital since the current rally took hold in March.

Six - Annual growth in realized "base income" in standard portfolios: WCM portfolios are income machines by design. No security is ever purchased if it does not produce regular dividend or interest payments; at least 30% of all base income should be reallocated to income-objective securities.

Similarly, every dollar of capital gains income, and net portfolio additions are partially allocated to income producers--- and the use of a cost based asset allocation formula insures annual income growth.

Few financial professionals begin their careers with any encouragement to become comfortable with individual equity securities and the surprisingly large variety of individual, relatively uncomplicated, and generally safe(r) income producers available for their clients.

Financial products are far more lucrative for their institutional employers and, as a result, the incentives for brokers and advisors to sell products is pretty much irresistible. Few pros can afford to be one with "The Force".

The Dark Side of investing beckons like a Siren's song, luring the majority of professional advisors away from the safety and simplicity of QDI. Institutional propaganda, projections, predictions, and hype have the same affect on unsuspecting boatloads of speculators who most often become shipwrecked on the derivative rocks.

Investors and their professionals need to re-evaluate their product orientation and plot a global escape from the Dark Side of investing.

Contact the "Skywalker" foundation for emotional and financial support while making the transition--- and may the force be with you.

By Steve Selengut
800-245-0494
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.investmentmanagemen tbooks.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979
Author of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"

Disclaimer : Anything presented here is simply the opinion of Steve Selengut and should not be construed as anything else. One of the fascinating things about investing is that there are so many differing approaches, theories, and strategies. We encourage you to do your homework.

Steve Selengut Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in