Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2024 - 15th June 24
Gold Price Consolidating at High - 15th June 24
NVIDIA Stock Market: Price Prediction for the Future - 15th June 24
When Will the Boom/ Bust Rollercoaster End? - 15th June 24
Stock Market Trouble Lies Ahead. Are You Ready For It? - 15th June 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 8th June 24
S&P 494 Stocks Then & Now - 8th June 24
As Stocks Bears Begin To Hibernate, It's Now Time To Worry About A Bear Market - 8th June 24
Gold, Silver and Crypto | How Charts Look Before US Dollar Meltdown - 8th June 24
Gold & Silver Get Slammed on Positive Economic Reports - 8th June 24
Gold Summer Doldrums - 8th June 24
S&P USD Correction - 7th June 24
Israel's Smoke and Mirrors Fake War on Gaza - 7th June 24
US Banking Crisis 2024 That No One Is Paying Attention To - 7th June 24
The Fed Leads and the Market Follows? It's a Big Fat MYTH - 7th June 24
How Much Gold Is There In the World? - 7th June 24
Is There a Financial Crisis Bubbling Under the Surface? - 7th June 24
Bitcoin Trend Forecast, Crypto's Exit Strategy - 31st May 24
Zimbabwe Officials Already Looking to Inflate New Gold-Backed Currency - 31st May 24
India Silver Imports Have Already Topped 2023 Total - 31st May 24
Gold Has Done Its Job – Isn’t That Enough? - 31st May 24
Gold Stocks Catching Up - 31st May 24
Time to take the RED Pill - 28th May 24
US Economy Slowing Slipping into Recession, But Not There Yet - 28th May 24
Gold vs. Silver – Very Important Medium-term Signal - 28th May 24
Is Gold Price Heading to $2,275 - 2,280? - 28th May 24
Stocks Bull Market Smoking Gun - 25th May 24
Congress Moves against Totalitarian Central Bank Digital Currency Schemes - 25th May 24
Government Tinkering With Prices Is Like Hiding All of the Street Signs - 25th May 24
Gold Mid Tier Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 25th May 24
Why US Interest Rates are a Nothing Burger - 24th May 24
Big Banks Are Pressuring The Fed To Losen Protection For Depositors - 24th May 24
Another Bank Failure: How to Tell if Your Bank is At Risk - 24th May 24
AI Stocks Portfolio and Tesla - 23rd May 24
All That Glitters Isn't Gold: Silver Has Outperformed Gold During This Gold Bull Run - 23rd May 24
Gold and Silver Expose Stock Market’s Phony Gains - 23rd May 24
S&P 500 Cyclical Relative Performance: Stocks Nearing Fully Valued - 23rd May 24
Nvidia NVDA Stock Earnings Rumble After Hours - 22nd May 24
Stock Market Trend Forecasts for 2024 and 2025 - 21st May 24
Silver Price Forecast: Trumpeting the Jubilee | Sovereign Debt Defaults - 21st May 24
Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pulls 2024! - 19th May 24
Important Economic And Geopolitical Questions And Their Answers! - 19th May 24
Pakistan UN Ambassador Grows Some Balls Accuses Israel of Being Like Nazi Germany - 19th May 24
Could We See $27,000 Gold? - 19th May 24
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 19th May 24
The Gold and Silver Ship Will Set Sail! - 19th May 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Bulls Driving Prices Higher

Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets Jul 22, 2009 - 05:41 AM GMT

By: Frederic_Simons

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe week is beginning as it ended in equities, with stock prices moving higher and bulls seemingly buying every dip during the day. The short term picture thus remains bullish even if the S&P 500 has been moving higher without looking back from about 865 on 7/13 to almost 950 on 7/21. 


So, is a pullback of significant magnitude more likely than a further advance ? That is what can be read here and there if you look at various newsletters and market opinions, claiming it would be time "for a healthy pullback", or asserting that "stock prices moved too high too fast", or that "after long winning streaks, the likelihood of a pullback was increasing". These comments may turn out to be at least misleading, if they are not plain wrong. 

In fact, for those not in a long position and waiting for pullback to jump aboard, any further increase in prices adds to the existing psychological pressure to join the party. This could be a reason why every little pullback during the day is bought, pushing prices to new highs every day. Secondly, there may well be several consecutive weeks of  rising equity prices. Rising prices tend to result in a positive feedback that leads to prices climbing even higher.

And even if there was a little pullback to shake out some weak hands, the following 10000 Tick chart would remain bullish as long as prices stay above the red line that is currently at about 927, 20 points below where the S&P trades right now.


[Please click here for additional information about the trading system and how to read the charts]


The 480min chart that turned bullish at around 917 would even allow a deeper retracement, if it should actually occur, as prices would have to move below 875 to turn the chart bearish:


On the 180min chart (not shown here), prices would have to go below 912 to have a reason to sell existing long positions.


As a conclusion, the S&P 500 is still in its uptrend, with bulls in control. The line of least resistance is pointing to more upside in prices. Prices below 927 would be a first sign that a phase of consolidation might occur. The S&P would have to go below 912 to make a first serious warning shot at bulls, while one should not become a furious bear unless prices are trading below 875.

If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact us by writing an email to

New: Discounted subscription fees for retail (non-professional) investors. 3 Month subscription for only 75 USD !

By Frederic Simons

http://www.crossroadsfx.hostoi.com

© 2009 Copyright Frederic Simons - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in