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U.S. House Prices Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021

A Few Facts about Silver and Gold

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009 Sep 28, 2009 - 01:32 PM GMT

By: Mark_B_Rasmussen

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSilver is less than 1/4 of its 1980 cost (nominal prices, not inflation adjusted).  Is there anything else on the planet you can think of that is currently 1/4 of its 1980 price?  Oh, and do they have the following   attributes?

Silver is an industrial metal and a monetary metal.  5,000 years of sound history as a measure of value and store of wealth, portable, fungible, divisible and unique.


Aristotle 384 - 322 BC - Qualities of good money

  • Durable: Money must stand the test of time and the elements. It must not fade, corrode, or change through time;
  • Portable: Good money needs to hold a high amount of 'worth' relative to its weight and size;
  • Divisible: Money should be relatively easy to separate and re-combine without affecting its fundamental characteristics. An extension of this idea is that the item should be "fungible", defined as "being freely exchangeable or replaceable, in whole or in part, for another of like nature or kind."
  • Intrinsically Valuable: This value of money should be independent of any other object and contained in the money itself, starting with rarity.  

Known as “the poor mans gold”, Silver is more affordable and useful in smaller units, as real money, than Gold.

Silver has had more patents issued with its use than all other metals combined.

Silver is a very good natural biocide and is now being used in clothing and food storage containers like Tupperware because of that property.

Silver is the second most malleable metal next to gold, the most reflective and the best electrical conductor of all metals.

Silver is widely used in industrial applications as a conductor, RFID (radio frequency identification chips) for inventory and tracking, nano technology and surgical equipment where the biocide and super conductivity qualities are needed.  Photography was the largest industrial use but is declining due to digital photography.

Silver has replaced lead in solder for both Europe and the U.S.

Most industrially used silver is used and effectively destroyed because it is not recovered and ends up in landfills….Permanently lost.

There is an estimated 20 billion oz. of above ground silver that can be accounted for by coinage, bullion in storage, flatware, jewelry, religious and artistic objects.  There is an estimated 9.2 billion oz. of gold above ground (an estimated 90% of all gold ever mined is still in existence). 2.17 : 1 ratio.

The 800 year price ratio of silver to gold is apx. 16:1 (1980 $50/$825), in 1913 18:1. Today the current price ratio of silver to gold is 59.1 (3.75 X the historical average).   The Gold/Dow ratio is now 9.6:1 (was 44:1 in 2000)…..yes, the Dow is down 78% in gold terms, over the past 9 yrs.  Do you think precious metals are a risky and dangerous investment?   Gold is up 33% and Silver up 57% over the past year….what else is?  Incidentally, in 1933 and 1980 1 oz. of gold equaled 1 share of the Dow (825 Dow, $825 gold in 1980).  A regression to the historical mean sounds just right to me.  You see, gold and silver are resuming their historical role as real money and wealth and still have a long way to go….particularly silver.  Precious metals cannot be printed or digitally produced.  You have probably noticed the obscene amounts of un-money being created for our Special Olympic economic model “no one loses and no one fails”, with bailouts and monetary stimulus to and from the ends of the earth.

Oil is up 700% from 1999 (after a recent 73% decline).  Uranium +500% in 6 years.  Molybdenum +400% in 5 years.  Gold +294% over 9 years and Silver +317% over 7.5 yrs..  You see, gold and silver are way behind and as fiat currency of all kinds becomes inflated into oblivion these laggards will become what they have always been….a measure of value and store of wealth – real money.

If the current volume of fiat dollars was converted to gold it would exceed $50,000 per oz.

There was a 17 consecutive year shortage of silver production until 2007.

1971 when Nixon closed the gold window and abandoned the gold standard, the U.S. had in excess of 2 billion oz. of silver reserves.  The U.S. Treasury now has none and the U.S. Mint has to purchase the silver in the open market to mint their silver eagles.

Most of the world lives in countries that have experienced unstable, volatile and unpredictable governments.  The rule of law and sanctity of personal and private property are not observed as they are in the U.S. (<4% of world population).  As a result, many people in the world have experienced and observed confiscation, seizures, hyperinflation (currency devaluations), closed banks and accounts and don’t trust their government, currency or financial institutions.  A very large number of these people recognize and appreciate the intrinsic value and eternal nature of “real” money….precious metals.  China alone is expected to purchases 40% of total annual world gold production this year with India at 10+%.  In 2008 China not only made it easier for their population to purchase it, they have encouraged it.

As global equity markets and real estate have been declining lately, gold (+33% YOY) and silver (+57% YOY) have performed much better.  Some people are losing their confidence in fiat money (un-money created in infinite quantities, out of thin air and backed by nothing), the global financial system, leverage, debt and paper assets….for good reason.  The bible doesn’t mention fiat money and the men that wrote the constitution had revulsion for it (Article 1 Section 8).

There is very little interest in precious metals among our general public.  To test this theory you could find most investment advisor’s portfolio allocation recommendations.  I believe you will find precious metals just a little ahead of cabbage patch dolls.  This is beginning to change.

Play man on the street.  Ask people what they think of silver and gold as an investment, how or where do you buy it and how much do they have?  I am speaking or real metal not paper.

Fully 70% of silver is produced as a result of mining other metals, mostly base metals.  Copper mining, for example, is responsible for 28% of the silver mined in 2007.  Lead/Zinc mining yielded 32% of the silver mined in 2007.  Finally, gold mining brought about 10% of the silver market. 

Gold sales by central banks are at their lowest levels since 1994 and several central banks (Russia and China the most notable) are buying gold for reserves.

Total global gold production has contracted over the past 10 years (down 4% 2008) in spite of a 294% price increase over that time.  Last year, many companies announced curtailing production and delaying projects, and all companies are at lease reviewing their spending plans.  Randlgold Resources (Amex: GOLD) expects global gold production to decline by between 15% and 20% in the next two to three years, as unprofitable operations are squeezed out and difficult market conditions delay the development of new mines.

You will not get this information from the “drive by” media, pundits, talking heads, government and other masters of the universe.

The best value for silver is to take delivery on a futures mini contract (1,000 oz.).  You would need a commodity broker.  Junk silver (U.S. quarters before 1965) are the best retail value.  Much of the time, the silver content actually sells for less than the spot market silver price.  Have you ever heard of someone counterfeiting an old, worn, discolored and almost universally recognized U.S. quarter (Washington in circulation 75 yrs.)?  I haven’t either.  They are self certifying.

The following websites are of the largest global retail market place for precious metals and can help you keep track of reality as compared to managed fraud (manipulated paper markets COMEX).  You will notice a significant premium for real metal as compared to prices quoted on the COMEX “CRIMEX” every day.  They are about the best performing assets on the planet over the past year and decade….safe haven and disaster insurance.  They have never become worthless and have a 5,000 history of being the “go to” assets in time of crises and uncertainty.  The “Ministry of Truth” wouldn’t want you to think of Gold and Silver as a safe alternative to fiat paper dollars, stocks, bonds and other forms of paper wealth in the mainstream financial world order.

http:www.24hgold.com/english/buy_sell_gold_coins.aspx?co_id=0

http:www.24hgold.com/English/buy_sell_silver_coins.aspx?co_id=0

Here are a few of the most notable bullion dealers.  Some store in vaults overseas (London, Canada & Switzerland)  there are thousands of dealers and shops.

http://www.kitco.com/

http://goldmoney.com/

http://www.bullionvault.com/

http://www.apmex.com/gclid=CM-UvcT-nJYCFQkiagodu3KK7Q

http://www.blanchardonline.com/content-18668274314&gclid-COO1_tX-nJYCFRs-awody06W7Q

http://bullion.nwtmint.com/

http://www.firstmajestic.com/s/OrderForm.asp - Silver mine with sales direct to the public.

There is only ONE thing to remember, the mantra/battle cry of the Federal Reserve and all central banks is “INFLATE OR DIE”.

“The best way to destroy the capitalist system is to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security but [also] at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth”. - Vladimir Lenin

“There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose”. – Maynard Keynes

-97%.

Hi Ho Silver Away!!!  To the moon Alice.

Now, go do the right thing.

By Mark B. Rasmussen

Mark is a real estate appraiser/broker by profession

Copyright © 2008 Mark B. Rasmussen

Mark B Rasmussen Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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