Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs - Doug_Wakefieldth
2.Tesco Meltdown Debt Default Risk Could Trigger a Financial Crisis in Early 2015 - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The Trend Every Nation on Earth Is Pouring Money Into - Keith Fitz-Gerald
4.Do Tumbling Buybacks Signal Another Stock Market Crash? - 26Mike_Whitney
5.Could Tesco Go Bust? How to Save Tesco from Debt Bankruptcy Risk - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal - Michael_Noonan
7.U.S. Economy Faltering Momentum, Debt and Asset Bubbles - Lacy Hunt
8.Bullish Silver Stealth Buying - Zeal_LLC
9.Euro, USD, Gold and Stocks According to Chartology - Rambus_Chartology
10.Evidence of Another Even More Sweeping U.S. Housing Market Bust Already Starting to Appear - EWI
Last 5 days
Pretium - Canadian Golden Elephant - 31st Oct 14
What USA Today Got Wrong About the Stock Market Fear Gauge - 31st Oct 14
Election Result - Labour Wins South Yorkshire Police and Crime Commissioner - 31st Oct 14
Gold Price Falls, Stocks Record Highs as Japan Goes ‘Weimar’ - 31st Oct 14
EUR/USD - Double Bottom Or New Lows? - 31st Oct 14
More Downside Ahead for Gold and Silver - 31st Oct 14
QE Is Dead, Now You Tell Me What You Know - 31st Oct 14
Welcome to the World of Volatility - 31st Oct 14
Stocks Bear Market Crash Towards New All Time Highs as QE3 End Awaits QE4 Start - 31st Oct 14
US Mortgages, Risky Bisiness "Easy Money" - 30th Oct 14
Gold, Silver and Currency Wars - 30th Oct 14
How to Recognize a Stock Market “Bear Raid” on Wall Street - 30th Oct 14
U.S. Midterm Elections: Would a Republican Win Be Bullish for the Stock Market? - 30th Oct 14
Stock Market S&P Index MAP Wave Analysis Forecast - 30th Oct 14
Gold Price Declines Once Again As Expected - 30th Oct 14
Depression and the Economy of a Country - 30th Oct 14
Fed Ends QE? Greenspan Says Gold “Measurably” “Higher” In 5 Years - 30th Oct 14
Apocalypse Now Or Nirvana Next Week? - 30th Oct 14
Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering - 30th Oct 14
Europe: Building a Banking Union - 30th Oct 14
The Colder War: How the Global Energy Trade Slipped From America's Grasp - 30th Oct 14
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VIII) - 29th Oct 14
Flock of Black Swans Points to Imminent Stock Market Crash - 29th Oct 14
Bank of America's Mortgage Headaches - 29th Oct 14
Risk Management - Why I Run “Ultimate Trailing Stops” on All My Investments - 29th Oct 14
As the Eurozone Economy Stalls, China Cuts the Red Tape - 29th Oct 14
Stock Market Bubble Goes Pop - 29th Oct 14
Gold's Obituary - 29th Oct 14
A Medical Breakthrough Creating Stock Profits - 29th Oct 14
Greenspan: Gold Price Will Rise - 29th Oct 14
The Most Important Stock Market Chart on the Planet - 29th Oct 14
Mysterious Death od CEO Who Went Against the Petrodollar - 29th Oct 14
Hillary Clinton Could Be One of the Best U.S. Presidents Ever - 29th Oct 14
The Worst Advice Wall Street Ever Gave - 29th Oct 14
Bitcoin Price Narrow Range, Might Not Be for Long - 29th Oct 14
UKIP South Yorkshire PCC Election Win is Just Not Going to Happen - 29th Oct 14
Evidence of New U.S. Housing Market Real Estate Bust Starting to Appear - 28th Oct 14
Principle, Rigor and Execution Matter in U.S. Foreign Policy - 28th Oct 14
This Little Piggy Bent The Market - 28th Oct 14
Global Housing Markets - Don’t Buy A Home, You’ll Get Burned! - 28th Oct 14
U.S. Economic Snapshot - Strong Dollar Eating into corporate Profits - 28th Oct 14
Oliver Gross Says Peak Gold Is Here to Stay - 28th Oct 14
The Hedge Fund Rich List Infographic - 28th Oct 14
Does Gold Price Always Respond to Real Interest Rates? - 28th Oct 14
When Will Central Bank Morons Ever Learn? asks Albert Edwards at Societe General - 28th Oct 14
Functional Economics - Getting Your House in Order - 28th Oct 14
Humanity Accelerating to What Exactly? - 27th Oct 14
A Scary Story for Emerging Markets - 27th Oct 14
Could Tesco Go Bust? How to Save Tesco from Debt Bankruptcy Risk - 27th Oct 14
Europe Redefines Bank Stress Tests - 27th Oct 14
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Underway - 27th Oct 14
Why Do Banks Want Our Deposits? Hint: It’s Not to Make Loans - 26th Oct 14
Obamacare Is Not a Revolution, It Is Mere Evolution - 26th Oct 14
Do Tumbling Buybacks Signal Another Stock Market Crash? - 26th Oct 14
Has the FTSE Stock Market Index Put in a Major Top? - 26th Oct 14
Christmas In October – Desperate Measures - 26th Oct 14
Stock Market Primary IV Continues - 26th Oct 14
Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal - 25th Oct 14
Ebola Has Nothing To Do With The Stock Market - 25th Oct 14
The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs - 25th Oct 14
Japanese Style Deflation Coming? Where? Fed Falling Behind the Curve? Which Way? - 25th Oct 14
Gold Price Rebounds but Gold Miners Struggle - 25th Oct 14
Stock Market Buy the Dip or Sell the Rally - 25th Oct 14
Get Ready for “Stupid Cheap” Stock Prices - 25th Oct 14
The Trend Every Nation on Earth Is Pouring Money Into - 25th Oct 14 - Keith Fitz-Gerald
Bitcoin Price Decline Stopped, Possibly Temporarily - 25th Oct 14

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stocks Epic Bear Market

We Are Still In The Early Stages Of Major Currency Devaluations

Currencies / Fiat Currency May 17, 2010 - 06:59 AM GMT

By: Miles_Banner

Currencies

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the year the gold price is up 10.25% in US dollars, 22.38% in Euros, and 27.85% in pounds (London PM fix). The HUI gold index is up 13.38% and the SPDR gold shares (GLD) is up 9.61%.

In the aftermath of the recent bail out by the IMF and ECB the markets are continuing to undermine the euro.


On Wednesday the Austrian Mint told Reuters that they had sold more gold in the two weeks from 26th April than in the whole first quarter of this year. They went on to say that this demand was coming exclusively from Europe.

Despite this increased demand from Europe the gold price has been held from spiking dramatically as bullion banks have rallied to short it.

The bullion banks go big on shorts

In opposition to Europe’s surge in demand, last week’s Commitment of traders (COT) report showed bullion banks are still building huge short positions, betting against a rising gold price. The producers/merchant net short positions for gold commercials are at an all time high.

Bullion banks have traditionally taken short positions in the gold futures market. This theme has been ongoing for many years. Nonetheless the size of these positions makes us cautious.

The last time they took a similar number of net short positions was back in November 2009, just before the recent correction. With gold prices today at record highs and the problems with the euro and pound driving demand it appears these prices are sustainable.

The problem is the markets seldom move as planned. This past couple of years demonstrate that.

The euro – further to fall?

There is no question that the euro, as a currency, cannot continue to operate the way it has done in the past. It is surprising that there appears to have been a complete lack of foresight and contingency planning that should have accompanied the creation of the Euro.

Argentina, Indonesia, Uruguay and the Dominican Republic are all examples where countries have defaulted after IMF ‘help’.

The new measures are attempting to pull the wool over the eyes of investors. These loans will have to be repaid. There is a day that the ECB and the IMF will demand payment and nothing from what we’re seeing so far from Greece assures us this will happen.

“You cannot make any nation that is unable to service its accumulated debts more creditworthy by extending more credit!” – Jeremy Batstone-Carr, analyst at Charles Stanley.

Hastening the end

Nationalisation of industries, the transference of private sector debt to the public sector and rising debt to GDP have put economies on the road to meltdown. The recent bailouts have sped up the process.

Holders of Greek, Spanish, Portuguese, Italian and Irish debt now have the benefit of being secured by the promise of the ECB. It’s a game changing play. Now banks and bond holders, who had previously worried about the long term security of their businesses, have fresh liquidity with which they can compete for assets. It’s a short term gain… with long term repercussions.

As more US dollars are fed into the markets to patch up the crisis the US look set to deepen their already huge trade deficit. The swap lines between the Federal Reserve and European banks that was stopped in February have now been opened. Pumping more dollars and more Euros into circulation is a last ditch effort to repair a sinking ship.

We’ve been saying for a long time that the gold price will hit new highs, and it carries on to do just that. But, as we’ve also noted before, the market is never as predictable as what it seems. With the bullion banks prepared to raise the level of short positions to record highs we could yet be in store for a short correction. But like the musicians on the Titanic, whatever they do surely cannot change the final outcome.

Regards,

Digger
Gold Price Today

P.S Digger writes a weekly email analysing the gold price and the gold industry. Visit Digger at Gold Price Today (http://goldpricetoday.co.uk).

© 2010 Copyright Gold Price Today - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014