Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered - Barry_M_Ferguson
2.Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - Richard_Mills
3.US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - Richard_Mills
4.Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - Anika_Walayat
6.US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher - Jim_Willie_CB
7.INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Will Google AI Kill Us? Man vs Machine Intelligence - N_Walayat
9.US Prepares for Currency War with China - Richard_Mills
10.Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction - Clive Maund
Last 7 days
Trading Natural Gas As The Season Changes - 16th Sep 19
Cameco Crash, Uranium Sector Won’t Catch a break - 16th Sep 19
These Indicators Point to an Early 2020 Economic Downturn - 16th Sep 19
Gold When Global Insanity Prevails - 16th Sep 19
Stock Market Looking Toppy - 16th Sep 19
Is the Stocks Bull Market Nearing an End? - 16th Sep 19
US Stock Market Indexes Continue to Rally Within A Defined Range - 16th Sep 19
What If Gold Is NOT In A New Bull Market? - 16th Sep 19
A History Lesson For Pundits Who Don’t Believe Stocks Are Overvalued - 16th Sep 19
The Disconnect Between Millennials and Real Estate - 16th Sep 19
Tech Giants Will Crash in the Next Stock Market Downturn - 15th Sep 19
Will Draghi’s Swan Song Revive the Eurozone? And Gold? - 15th Sep 19
The Race to Depreciate Fiat Currencies Is Accelerating - 15th Sep 19
Can Crypto casino beat Hybrid casino - 15th Sep 19
British Pound GBP vs Brexit Chaos Timeline - 14th Sep 19
Recession 2020 Forecast : The New Risks & New Profits Of A Grand Experiment - 14th Sep 19
War Gaming the US-China Trade War - 14th Sep 19
Buying a Budgie, Parakeet for the First Time from a Pet Shop - Jollyes UK - 14th Sep 19
Crude Oil Price Setting Up For A Downside Price Rotation - 13th Sep 19
A “Looming” Recession Is a Gold Golden Opportunity - 13th Sep 19
Is 2019 Similar to 2007? What Does It Mean For Gold? - 13th Sep 19
How Did the Philippines Establish Itself as a World Leader in Call Centre Outsourcing? - 13th Sep 19
UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds - 13th Sep 19
Energy Sector Reaches Key Low Point – Start Looking For The Next Move - 13th Sep 19
Weakening Shale Productivity "VERY Bullish" For Oil Prices - 13th Sep 19
Stock Market Dow to 38,000 by 2022 - 13th Sep 19 - readtheticker
Gold under NIRP? | Negative Interest Rates vs Bullion - 12th Sep 19
Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads and Discs's Replace, Dealer Check and Cost - 12th Sep 19
Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? - 12th Sep 19
Increased Pension Liabilities During the Coming Stock Market Crash - 12th Sep 19
Gold at Support: the Upcoming Move - 12th Sep 19
Precious Metals, US Dollar, Stocks – How It All Relates – Part II - 12th Sep 19
Boris Johnson's "Do or Die, Dead in a Ditch" Brexit Strategy - 11th Sep 19
Precious Metals, US Dollar: How It All Relates – Part I - 11th Sep 19
Bank of England’s Carney Delivers Dollar Shocker at Jackson Hole meeting - 11th Sep 19
Gold and Silver Wounded Animals, Indeed - 11th Sep 19
Boris Johnson a Crippled Prime Minister - 11th Sep 19
Gold Significant Correction Has Started - 11th Sep 19
Reasons To Follow Experienced Traders In Automated Trading - 11th Sep 19
Silver's Sharp Reaction Back - 11th Sep 19
2020 Will Be the Most Volatile Market Year in History - 11th Sep 19
Westminister BrExit Extreme Chaos Puts Britain into a Pre-Civil War State - 10th Sep 19
Gold to Correct as Stocks Rally - 10th Sep 19
Market Decline Will Lead To Pension Collapse, USD Devaluation, And NWO - 10th Sep 19
Stock Market Sector Rotation Giving Mixed Signals About The Future - 10th Sep 19
The Online Gaming Industry is Going Up - 10th Sep 19
The Unknown Tech Stock Transforming The Internet - 10th Sep 19
More Wall Street Propaganda - 10th Sep 19
Stock Market Price Structure Still Suggests We Are Within Volatile Rotation - 9th Sep 19
Stock Market Still Treading Water - 9th Sep 19
Buying Pullbacks in Silver & Gold - 9th Sep 19
Government Spending - The High Price of a "Free Lunch" - 9th Sep 19
Don't Worry About a Recession - 9th Sep 19
Large Drop in Stocks, Big Rally in Gold and Silver - 9th Sep 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

The No1 Tech Stock for 2019

Stock Market Wealth Builder Report

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011 May 20, 2011 - 05:33 AM GMT

By: Christopher_Quigley

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe volatility which was predicted in the last quarterly brief continues apace with the markets continuing to climb a “wall of worry” as is typical.

On the basis of Dow Theory, the bull run is still in place with the Dow Transports indicating that new highs are anticipated.


Technology is going through a tricky phase. This market is patchy due to the fact that there are some specific stellar winners and many definite losers. The dynamics involved in tech product development, cloud computing, social networking fads and web marketing strategy are so rapid that “old” business models quickly become stressed and dated.  Momentum demands exceptional growth. So one must do ones research well before investing in this arena. Apple (APPL), Netflix (NFLX) and Baidu (BIDU) are all looking very strong with management well up on their game. As always we recommend that you invest only on supported pullbacks.

The big story at the moment of course is the collapse of commodity prices. This is good for the overall market in that oil and food price appreciation will hopefully be tamed somewhat. This will have a bearing on core inflation and the future ability of the FED to keep interest rates low. As long as this supportive policy is held in place the market should maintain its bullish stance. (An indication of a change in sentiment in the market will be indicated when the 20 DMA on the Advance -Decline line in the broad market averages starts collapsing below the 50 DMA and fails to recover).

Our favourite commodity instrument, the Silver Ultra ETF: AGQ, was up nearly 100% since March. Its break below the previous low of 318.44 on the 2nd. May indicated it was a sell.  Currently Silver is technically broken so it will be some time before we can be sure the worst is over. Thus I would recommend you save your profits and keep your powder dry until solid technical support is in evidence.

The social situation in Europe continues to spiral downward.  Here in Ireland economic conditions continue to deteriorate with little help being granted by Germany or France to the Irish government’s attempts to lighten its EU/IMF bailout conditions.
Greece cannot meet its rescue terms and is being given “more time” which is a default in any normal mans language. Of course it cannot be “officially” named as such given that this would kick in the credit default swap insurance militia and nobody wants to give them a free lunch, if at all possible. A recent Vanity Fair article opened the lid on the rampant corruption in Athens and it is hard to see how Greece was ever allowed to join the Euro when it was common knowledge that its taxation system was such a complete corrupt mess.

 Most interestingly the Madrid “sit down movement” is bringing a new dynamic into the Euro equation. Spanish youth have finally had enough. With 40% of under 30’s unemployed they want a change. They are educated, eager and ambitious and they do not wish to continue to live, with no income or future, in the homes of their aging parents. Should this movement adversely affect an already fragile Spanish banking complex it may bring Madrid one step closer to needing IMF assistance. That could be a potential Euro endgame.

 The one winner in all of this is Germany. It continues to benefit from the Euro arrangement in that it has access to a vast European market for its industrial produce yet benefits from a fixed Euro currency. However Berlin refuses to accept any responsibility for the “lite touch regulation” it allowed to develop at the European Central Bank. It would appear Germans are happy with representation without taxation. Under these circumstances it is hard to see how the Euro will survive over the next decade. Yes, on paper, the cracks can be glossed over and the can kicked down the road but at the end of the day Europe is not only an economy it is a society. Currently its social contract based on dignity, freedom, equality, solidarity, citizen’s rights and justice is crumbling and it would appear that Brussels, as of yet, does not “get it”. The original vision of the great men who founded the E.E.C. is being destroyed by short-sighted bankers, technocrats and bureaucrats. These mandarins are playing with fire. Monnet, Schumann and Gaspari would be ashamed of them.

Dow Transports: Weekly

Apple: Weekly

Netflix: Weekly

Baidu: Weekly

AGQ: Daily

By Christopher M. Quigley

B.Sc., M.M.I.I. Grad., M.A.

http://www.wealthbuilder.ie

Mr. Quigley was born in 1958 in Dublin and holds a Batchelor Degree in Accounting and Management from Trinity College/College of Commerce, Dublin and is a graduate of the Marketing Institute of Ireland. He commenced investing in the Stock Market in 1989. in Belmont, California where he lived for 6 years. He developed the Wealthbuilder investment and trading course over the last decade as a result of research, study, experience and successful application. This course marries Fundamental Analysis with Technical Analysis and focuses on 3 specific approaches. Namely: Momentum, Value and Pension Strategies.

Mr. Quigley is now based in Dublin, Ireland and Tampa Bay, Florida.

© 2011 Copyright Christopher M. Quigley - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Christopher M. Quigley Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules