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5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Nicole Foss And Max Keiser Talk Greed, Fear, Downward Spirals And Risk Divisions

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012 Oct 29, 2012 - 12:25 PM GMT

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Automatic Earth's Senior Editor Nicole Foss talks to Max Keiser again, this time on PressTV's On The Edge with Max Keiser.

Nicole and Max discuss Europe's shrinking pie, Canada's bursting bubble, the ongoing global debt deflation, the eternal tug of war between greed and fear, the greater fool, and the similarities the demise of the banking system in 14th century Venice has with Washington DC today.


Interestingly, Max ticks off a whole list of points that came up in his previous conversations with Nicole over the past few years, and where she has now been proven right. A convergence of opinions looks to be taking shape.

The world at large may not yet be ready to embrace the entire picture we have been painting at The Automatic Earth, and that would perhaps be too much to expect given that our picture is substantially different from the one offered by the vast majority of "opinion makers", but step by step we do seem to be getting through.

"What we're seeing is that the pie is shrinking; there's not enough to go around. When the pie shrinks, when you have economic contraction, you also have a contraction of the trust horizon. What that means is that national and international institutions become stranded assets from a trust perspective. They lose political legitimacy; this leads to a great deal of social polarization. [..] People are more tightly defining what constitutes "us", and defining "them" as some kind of threat."

"This is really only the beginning of austerity; the beginning in terms of what's going to happen in places in the European periphery, but also the beginning in terms of the number of countries that are affected. This dynamic is going to spread from the periphery, increasingly into the core of Europe and is going to cause bigger and bigger problems for the fabric of society. "

"Money is flooding into places that have huge problems, but their problems are less immediate than the European periphery. We're going to start to see enormous divisions between different degrees of risk: within the European Union it'll be the periphery vs the center, but for some people that’s not enough risk avoidance, it has to be inside the eurozone vs outside the eurozone entirely. I think we're going to see all those risk divisions, maybe long term vs short term as well, all these risk divisions are going to blow out in terms of spreads over the next while.

And we're really going to see attempts at very large movements of capital, flight to safety, but the governments will try and prevent that with capital flight controls of all kinds, as they're already doing in parts of the periphery. It won't work, it will only feed the cycle of fear, the stability mechanism is not enough.

They can't get ahead of the curve; everything they're doing is too little too late, and when fear is in control then you have a downward spiral and it won't stop until deleveraging has run its course. Until the small amount of remaining debt is acceptably collateralized to the few remaining creditors, and we're absolutely nowhere near that point at the moment, we're far closer to a top than a bottom."

Update: I know this ain't the 4th of July, but here's still wishing anyway that all them Jersey girls will be safe and sound tonight and beyond; this one goes out to you.

By Raul Ilargi Meijer
Website: http://theautomaticearth.com (provides unique analysis of economics, finance, politics and social dynamics in the context of Complexity Theory)

© 2012 Copyright Raul I Meijer - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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