Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs - Doug_Wakefieldth
2.Tesco Meltdown Debt Default Risk Could Trigger a Financial Crisis in Early 2015 - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The Trend Every Nation on Earth Is Pouring Money Into - Keith Fitz-Gerald
4.Do Tumbling Buybacks Signal Another Stock Market Crash? - 26Mike_Whitney
5.Could Tesco Go Bust? How to Save Tesco from Debt Bankruptcy Risk - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal - Michael_Noonan
7.U.S. Economy Faltering Momentum, Debt and Asset Bubbles - Lacy Hunt
8.Bullish Silver Stealth Buying - Zeal_LLC
9.Euro, USD, Gold and Stocks According to Chartology - Rambus_Chartology
10.Evidence of Another Even More Sweeping U.S. Housing Market Bust Already Starting to Appear - EWI
Last 5 days
Stocks Bear Market Crash Towards New All Time Highs as QE3 End Awaits QE4 Start - 31st Oct 14
US Mortgages, Risky Bisiness "Easy Money" - 30th Oct 14
Gold, Silver and Currency Wars - 30th Oct 14
How to Recognize a Stock Market “Bear Raid” on Wall Street - 30th Oct 14
U.S. Midterm Elections: Would a Republican Win Be Bullish for the Stock Market? - 30th Oct 14
Stock Market S&P Index MAP Wave Analysis Forecast - 30th Oct 14
Gold Price Declines Once Again As Expected - 30th Oct 14
Depression and the Economy of a Country - 30th Oct 14
Fed Ends QE? Greenspan Says Gold “Measurably” “Higher” In 5 Years - 30th Oct 14
Apocalypse Now Or Nirvana Next Week? - 30th Oct 14
Understanding Gold's Massive Impact on Fed Maneuvering - 30th Oct 14
Europe: Building a Banking Union - 30th Oct 14
The Colder War: How the Global Energy Trade Slipped From America's Grasp - 30th Oct 14
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VIII) - 29th Oct 14
Flock of Black Swans Points to Imminent Stock Market Crash - 29th Oct 14
Bank of America's Mortgage Headaches - 29th Oct 14
Risk Management - Why I Run “Ultimate Trailing Stops” on All My Investments - 29th Oct 14
As the Eurozone Economy Stalls, China Cuts the Red Tape - 29th Oct 14
Stock Market Bubble Goes Pop - 29th Oct 14
Gold's Obituary - 29th Oct 14
A Medical Breakthrough Creating Stock Profits - 29th Oct 14
Greenspan: Gold Price Will Rise - 29th Oct 14
The Most Important Stock Market Chart on the Planet - 29th Oct 14
Mysterious Death od CEO Who Went Against the Petrodollar - 29th Oct 14
Hillary Clinton Could Be One of the Best U.S. Presidents Ever - 29th Oct 14
The Worst Advice Wall Street Ever Gave - 29th Oct 14
Bitcoin Price Narrow Range, Might Not Be for Long - 29th Oct 14
UKIP South Yorkshire PCC Election Win is Just Not Going to Happen - 29th Oct 14
Evidence of New U.S. Housing Market Real Estate Bust Starting to Appear - 28th Oct 14
Principle, Rigor and Execution Matter in U.S. Foreign Policy - 28th Oct 14
This Little Piggy Bent The Market - 28th Oct 14
Global Housing Markets - Don’t Buy A Home, You’ll Get Burned! - 28th Oct 14
U.S. Economic Snapshot - Strong Dollar Eating into corporate Profits - 28th Oct 14
Oliver Gross Says Peak Gold Is Here to Stay - 28th Oct 14
The Hedge Fund Rich List Infographic - 28th Oct 14
Does Gold Price Always Respond to Real Interest Rates? - 28th Oct 14
When Will Central Bank Morons Ever Learn? asks Albert Edwards at Societe General - 28th Oct 14
Functional Economics - Getting Your House in Order - 28th Oct 14
Humanity Accelerating to What Exactly? - 27th Oct 14
A Scary Story for Emerging Markets - 27th Oct 14
Could Tesco Go Bust? How to Save Tesco from Debt Bankruptcy Risk - 27th Oct 14
Europe Redefines Bank Stress Tests - 27th Oct 14
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Underway - 27th Oct 14
Why Do Banks Want Our Deposits? Hint: It’s Not to Make Loans - 26th Oct 14
Obamacare Is Not a Revolution, It Is Mere Evolution - 26th Oct 14
Do Tumbling Buybacks Signal Another Stock Market Crash? - 26th Oct 14
Has the FTSE Stock Market Index Put in a Major Top? - 26th Oct 14
Christmas In October – Desperate Measures - 26th Oct 14
Stock Market Primary IV Continues - 26th Oct 14
Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal - 25th Oct 14
Ebola Has Nothing To Do With The Stock Market - 25th Oct 14
The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs - 25th Oct 14
Japanese Style Deflation Coming? Where? Fed Falling Behind the Curve? Which Way? - 25th Oct 14
Gold Price Rebounds but Gold Miners Struggle - 25th Oct 14
Stock Market Buy the Dip or Sell the Rally - 25th Oct 14
Get Ready for “Stupid Cheap” Stock Prices - 25th Oct 14
The Trend Every Nation on Earth Is Pouring Money Into - 25th Oct 14 - Keith Fitz-Gerald
Bitcoin Price Decline Stopped, Possibly Temporarily - 25th Oct 14

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stocks Epic Bear Market

Commodity Stocks Risk On Rally: Rare Earth And Uranium Miners Outperforming

Commodities / Resources Investing Dec 19, 2012 - 04:02 AM GMT

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Commodities          For months, we have been highlighting to our readers that China’s economy is beginning to pick up which could positively influence commodity prices.  The fears of a slowdown were overblown.

China’s stock markets (FXI) have been rallying since early September because speculation is rising that the newly chosen Communist Party may boost the economy.  The China 25 index fund (FXI) is approaching a major 52 week high breakout.




This may be impacting iron ore and industrial metal prices which have moved higher as Chinese industries may be beginning to aggressively stockpile ahead of 2013.

Uranium and rare earth miners are outperforming gold miners by at least 13 percentage points over the past month.  This may be forecasting a risk on rally as investors speculate that China, Japan and the emerging economies are bottoming.

Uranium miners (URA) are rebounding gapping above the 50 day moving average as China starts construction on new reactors and as Japan announces a pro-nuclear party, whose goal is to use additional stimulus to weaken the Yen.  This past month they are up over 12%.

Rare earth miners (REMX) are showing increased insider buying and must be watched as the Chinese are cutting down on exports and curbing production.  Keep your eyes on the heavy rare earth miners located in favorable geopolitical settings with low costs to get into operation.  The rare earth miner ETF is up close to 9% this past month.

Graphite is another key area which must be watched as China produces over 80% of the world’s supply.   China uses a lot of graphite in steel making and may not be able to supply the world for much longer.  China produces over 80 per of the world’s graphite supply. 

There have been pundits fearing a China slowdown but the charts are showing otherwise.  China may be rapidly acquiring natural resources during the quiet end of the year market to secure commodity supply in expectation of a major state funded stimulus. 

 Attention must be paid to this renewed interest in ferro alloy, copper (COPX), rare earth (REMX) and uranium miners (URA) during a quiet Year End market dominated by Fiscal Cliff news which has diverted the focus away from these undervalued sectors which are stealthily rebounding impressively.

China is investing in infrastructure projects and has been stimulating the economy in 2012 and may increase that in 2012.  China now dominates the steel making industry and accounts for more than 60% of world demand.  They have also become a net importer of many industrial metals for their own domestic economy.

The media tends to sell doom and gloom about the global economy and especially the oversold commodity sector (DBC).  They highlight that the major commodity producers have already begun to cut production.  This may be indicating to our contrarian antennae that the bottom has been reached in these commodities as mines shutdown putting pressure on available supply.  India, the third largest exporter of iron ore has cut back considerably this past year, which may cause a near term deficit.

The global printing of money started by an open ended QE3 and culminating with unemployment targets by the Fed is beginning to cause a flight into risk on assets as investors are realizing paper currencies are losing value and are looking into real undervalued industrial metal assets such as uranium (URA), copper (JJC), graphite and rare earths (REMC) many of which are trading at a fraction of the value it was before the credit crisis in 2007.

Subscribe to my free newsletter to get up to the minute updates on rare earths, uranium, gold and silver.

By Jeb Handwerger

Disclosure: I am long GLD, SLV. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

http://goldstocktrades.com

© 2012 Copyright Jeb Handwerger- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014