Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
The AI Mega-trend Stocks Investing - When to Sell? - 28th May 20
Trump vs. Biden: What’s at Stake for Precious Metals Investors? - 28th May 20
Stocks: What to Make of the Day-Trading Frenzy - 28th May 20
Why You’ll Never Get Another Stimulus Check - 28th May 20
Implications for Gold – 2007-9 Great Recession vs. 2020 Coronavirus Crisis - 28th May 20
Ray Dalio Suggests USA Is Entering A Period Of Economic Decline And New World Order - 28th May 20
Europe’s Coronavirus Pandemic Dilemma - 28th May 20
I Can't Pay My Payday Loans What Will Happen - 28th May 20
Predictive Modeling Suggests US Stock Markets 12% Over Valued - 27th May 20
Why Stocks Bear Market Rallies Are So Tricky - 27th May 20
Precious Metals Hit Resistance - 27th May 20
Crude Oil Cuts Get Another Saudi Boost as Oil Demand Begins to Show Signs of Life - 27th May 20
Where the Markets are heading after COVID-19? - 27th May 20
Silver Springboards Higher – What’s Next? - 26th May 20
Stock Market Key Resistance Breakout Is Where the Rubber Meets the Road - 26th May 20
5 Ways To Amp Up Your CFD Trading Today - 26th May 20
The Anatomy of a Gold Stock Bull Market - 26th May 20
Stock Market Critical Price Level Could Soon Prompt A Big Move - 25th May 20
Will Powell Decouple Gold from the Stock Market? - 25th May 20
How Muslims Celebrated EID in Lockdown Britain 2020 - UK - 25th May 20
Stock Market Topping Behavior - 24th May 20
Fed Action Accelerates Boom-Bust Cycle; Not A Virus Crisis - 23rd May 20
Gold Silver Miners and Stocks (after a quick drop) Ready to Explode - 23rd May 20
3 Ways to Prepare Financially for Retirement - 23rd May 20
4 Essential Car Trade-In Tips To Get The Best Value - 23rd May 20
Budgie Heaven at Bird Land - 23rd May 20
China’s ‘Two Sessions’ herald Rebound of Economy - 22nd May 20
Signs Of Long Term Devaluation US Real Estate - 22nd May 20
Reading the Tea Leaves of Gold’s Upcoming Move - 22nd May 20
Gold, Silver, Mining Stocks Teeter On The Brink Of A Breakout - 21st May 20
Another Bank Bailout Under Cover of a Virus - 21st May 20
Do No Credit Check Loans Online Instant Approval Options Actually Exist? - 21st May 20
An Eye-Opening Perspective: Emerging Markets and Epidemics - 21st May 20
US Housing Market Covid-19 Crisis - 21st May 20
The Coronavirus Just Hit the “Fast-Forward” Button on These Three Industries - 21st May 20
AMD Zen 3 Ryzen 9 4950x Intel Destroying 24 core 48 thread Processor? - 21st May 20
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - 20th May 20
The Credit Markets Gave Their Nod to the S&P 500 Upswing - 20th May 20
Where to get proper HGH treatment in USA - 20th May 20
Silver Is Ensured A Prosperous 2020 Thanks To The Fed - 20th May 20
It’s Not Only Palladium That You Better Listen To - 20th May 20
DJIA Stock Market Technical Trend Analysis - 19th May 20
US Real Estate Showing Signs Of Covid19 Collateral Damage - 19th May 20
Gold Stocks Fundamental Indicators - 19th May 20
Why This Wave is Usually a Market Downturn's Most Wicked - 19th May 20
Gold Mining Stocks Flip from Losses to 5x Leveraged Gains! - 19th May 20
Silver Price Begins To Accelerate Higher Faster Than Gold - 19th May 20
Gold Will Soar Soon; World Now Faces 'Monetary Armageddon' - 19th May 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Coronavirus-stocks-bear-market-2020-analysis

Investors Protect Yourself From Gold

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Apr 21, 2013 - 11:09 AM GMT

By: Investment_U

Commodities

Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Gold is supposed to act as a safe haven from crisis and a hedge against inflation. But lately, it hasn’t been either.

You would think with the bombastic manchild leader in North Korea threatening nuclear Armageddon and the usual problems in the Middle East, investors would flock to gold. But gold fell 10% in two days.


Even after the news of the bombing at the Boston Marathon broke, gold continued to slide. That was the most surprising twist in the plot. An attack on American soil should send investors scurrying to gold. Instead they sold it.

This isn’t what’s “supposed” to happen.

Just the Facts, Ma’am
Gold may make investors feel better in times of crisis and financial uncertainty, but it’s hard to argue with the fact that it’s a volatile asset. Since hitting a high in October, the precious metal is down 23%.

That’s why I say if you really want to be sure you’re keeping pace with inflation and own assets that can survive a crisis… forget gold.

You should be looking at Perpetual Dividend Raisers – the stocks that raise their dividends every year.

I’m sure many of you are thinking, stocks safer than gold? That’s ridiculous.

But look at the numbers over the last 40 years, starting right after the U.S. dollar left the gold standard:

Since 1973, long-term investors who went with dividend-paying stocks outperformed the folks piling into gold. An investor who held the S&P 500 for 10 years made an average of 159.3%, while those holding gold earned 86.7%.

What do these numbers tell us? They tell us that over long periods of time, investors are better off holding stocks than gold.

(This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t have any gold in your portfolio. The Oxford Club‘s Investment Director Alexander Green recommends you keep 5% of your portfolio in precious metals. I agree. It’s important to be diversified.)

Best Way to Beat Inflation? Crisis?
Over the past 40 years, inflation has pushed prices higher.

Something that cost $100 in 1973 will cost $524 today. In contrast, $100 worth of gold in 1973 is now worth $1,481. However, $100 worth of the S&P 500 is now worth $1,931 (including dividends received).

So stocks win that battle. They have done a better job outpacing inflation.

As far as which asset is the best hedge against crisis, there are lots of data to test against. We’ve certainly had our share of rough times over the past 40 years.

Think about how many times the spit has hit the fan since the early ’70s – Vietnam, Watergate, high inflation, gas shortages, the Cold War, Iran-Contra, 9/11, the dot-com collapse, the war in Iraq, the financial crisis, etc.

And through it all… stocks have performed better than gold.

The good news for gold bugs is that during the years gold rose in value, the shiny metal was a better performer than stocks. And during gold’s down years, it lost less value. But, as the table shows, gold had almost as many down years as positive years.

That’s a problem, particularly if you’re using it as a hedge.

So what’s an investor to do?

Simple. Buy stocks that raise their dividends every year. These solid companies, such as Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB), not only have been paying dividends every year, but have raised them every year for decades.

Johnson & Johnson, which has boosted its dividend for 50 years in a row, raised it an average of 11.7% per year over the past 10 years. That kind of boost is more than enough to outpace inflation and increase your buying power.

And just as appealing, Kimberly-Clark’s average dividend hike was 9.5% per year over the past 10 years.

These are well-established companies that have been doing their thing for generations. Could they have a bad year or two in the future? Of course.

But I’ll side with history here and assume the companies will continue to grow their businesses over the next decade – and every year deliver more cash back to shareholders than they did the previous year.

And as we’ve seen, these types of stocks more than weather the storm if you have a long-term view.

Gold has made a lot of money for investors over the years. But stocks have made a whole lot more.

Remember that the next time there’s a crisis.

Good investing,

Marc

Editor’s Note: History may not repeat itself, but it rhymes. And many investors forget why gold tanked in the early 1980s – as inflation was rising.

The answer? Interest rates.

As rates were pushed into double-digits by the Fed to fight rising inflation, investors and traders fled en masse into government-backed, double-digit-yielding bonds, CDs and savings accounts. Why hold a ton of gold when you can earn double digits in a liquid savings account?

Sure, gold eventually rebounded – explosively. But that was decades later… Do you have that much time?

The other thing many people are missing is that in our new digital age, any big rate fluctuations are going to transpire much sooner (in a matter of minutes) and faster (as soon as June 12) than most people (and their portfolios) are ready for.

That’s why Marc has spent almost two years researching the best way to handle this game-changing shift in the markets. And he’s convinced it’s going to make or break millions of people’s retirement lives.

The perpetual dividend-raising stocks he mentions above are part of his unique strategy. But there’s another special kind of income investment that Marc predicts will reap rewards as high as 164% when rates begin to tick up. These same “spread banks,” as he calls them, will also pay out thousands of dollars in extra income each month.

To see all of Marc’s work, click here.

Source: http://www.investmentu.com/2013/April/protect-yourself-from-gold.html

http://www.investmentu.com

Copyright © 1999 - 2011 by The Oxford Club, L.L.C All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), of content from this website, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Investment U, Attn: Member Services , 105 West Monument Street, Baltimore, MD 21201 Email: CustomerService@InvestmentU.com

Disclaimer: Investment U Disclaimer: Nothing published by Investment U should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by Investment U should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Investment U Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules