Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Amazon AMZN Stock PRIMEDAY SALE! Trend Analysis - 20th Apr 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: You May Not Believe My 2021 Targets - 20th Apr 21
Stock Market Phase Two Projection - 20th Apr 21
Are Precious Metals & Miners Starting A New Longer-Term Bullish Trend? - 20th Apr 21
Inflation: First the Gain, Then the Pain… - 20th Apr 21
8 Stock Market Indicators in 1: Here's the Message of the Panic/Euphoria Model - 19th Apr 21
Gold - You Can Win a Battle, but Still Lose the War - 19th Apr 21
Will Interest Rates Rally Further Push Gold Price Down? - 19th Apr 21
Gold Fireworks Doubt the Official Inflation Story - 19th Apr 21
YuanPay Team Discuss The Process Of Crypto Diversification - 19th Apr 21
Central Banks May Ramp Up Gold Buying - 18th Apr 21
How to Get Rid of Driveway Weeds With Just WATER! 6 Months later NO Weeds, Ultimate Killer! - 18th Apr 21
State of the European Markets - DAX, FTSE, CAC, AEX, SMI, IBEX 35, S&P/MIB, Euro Stoxx 50, RTS - 18th Apr 21
Einvestment Fund: What You Need To Know About Investments - 18th Apr 21
Google Alphabet (GOOG) AI Deep Mind Stock Trend Analysis - 17th Apr 21
Stocks and Bonds Inflationary Slingshot - 17th Apr 21
Best Smartphone Selfie Stick Tripod Review by ATUMTEK Works with Samsung Galaxy and Iphone - 17th Apr 21
How to Give Budgie's First Bath | Easy Budgie Bathing and Water Training with Lettuce - 17th Apr 21
Record-breaking Decrease in New Passenger Vehicle Sale in Europe - 17th Apr 21
US Stocks Climb A “Wall Of Worry” To New Highs - 16th Apr 21
Gold’s Singular Role - 16th Apr 21
See what Anatomy of a Bursting Market Bubble looks like - 16th Apr 21
Many Stock Market Sectors Are Primed For Another Breakout Rally – Are You? - 16th Apr 21
What Skyrocketing US Home Prices Say About Inflation - 16th Apr 21
Still a Bullish Fever in Stocks? - 16th Apr 21
Trying to Buy Coinbase Stock on IPO Day - Institutional Investors Freeze out Retail Investors - 15th Apr 21
Stocks or Gold – Which Is in the Catbird Seat? - 15th Apr 21
Time For A Stock Market Melt-Up - 15th Apr 21
Stocks Bull Market Progression Now Shows Base Metal Strength - 15th Apr 21
AI Tech Stocks Buy Ratings, Levels and Valuations - 14th Apr 21
Easy 10% to 15% Overclock for 5600x, 5900x, 5950x Using AMD Ryzen Master Precision Boost Overdrive - 14th Apr 21
The Current Cannabis Sector Rally Is Pointing To Another Breakout - 14th Apr 21
U.S. Dollar Junk Bond Market The Easiest Money in History - 14th Apr 21
The SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410… What Is Next? - 14th Apr 21
The Curious Stock Market Staircase Rally - 14th Apr 21
Stocks are Heating Up - 14th Apr 21
Two Methods in Calculating For R&D Tax Credits - 14th Apr 21
Stock Market Minor Correction Due - 13th Apr 21
How to Feed Budgies Cucumbers - Best Vegetables Feeding for the First Time, Parakeet Care UK - 13th Apr 21
Biggest Inflation Threat in 40 Years Looms over Markets - 13th Apr 21
How to Get Rich with the Pareto Distribution - Tesco Example - 13th Apr 21
Litecoin and Bitcoin-Which Is Better? - 13th Apr 21
The Major Advantages Of Getting Your PhD Online - 12th Apr 21
Covid-19 Pandemic Current State for UK, US, Europe, Brazil Vaccinations vs Lockdown's Third Wave - 12th Apr 21
Why These Stock Market Indicators Should Grab Your Full Attention - 12th Apr 21
Rising Debt Means a Weaker US Dollar - 12th Apr 21
Another Gold Stocks Upleg - 12th Apr 21
AMD The ZEN Tech Stock - 12th Apr 21
Overclockers UK Build Quality - Why Glue Fan to CPU Heat sink Instead of Using Supplied Clips? - 12th Apr 21 -
What are the Key Capabilities You Should Look for in Fleet Management Software? - 12th Apr 21
What Is Bitcoin Gold? - 12th Apr 21
UK Covd-19 FREE Lateral Flow Self Testing Kits How Use for the First Time at Home - 10th Apr 21
NVIDIA Stock ARMED and Dangeorus! - 10th Apr 21
The History of Bitcoin Hard Forks - 10th Apr 21
Gold Mining Stocks: A House Built on Shaky Ground - 9th Apr 21
Stock Market On the Verge of a Pullback - 9th Apr 21
What Is Bitcoin Unlimited? - 9th Apr 21
Most Money Managers Gamble With Your Money - 9th Apr 21
Top 5 Evolving Trends For Mobile Casinos - 9th Apr 21
Top 5 AI Tech Stocks Investing 2021 Analysis - 8th Apr 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021 - Crash or Continuing Bull Run? - 8th Apr 21
Don’t Be Fooled by the Stock Market Rally - 8th Apr 21
Gold and Latin: Twin Pillars of Western Rejuvenation - 8th Apr 21
Stronger US Dollar Reacts To Global Market Concerns – Which ETFs Will Benefit? Part II - 8th Apr 21
You're invited: Spot the Next BIG Move in Oil, Gas, Energy ETFs - 8th Apr 21
Ladies and Gentlemen, Mr US Dollar is Back - 8th Apr 21
Stock Market New S&P 500 Highs or Metals Rising? - 8th Apr 21
Microsoft AI Azure Cloud Computing Driving Tech Giant Profits - 7th Apr 21
Amazon Tech Stock PRIMEDAY SALE- 7th Apr 21
The US has Metals Problem - Lithium, Graphite, Copper, Nickel Supplies - 7th Apr 21
Yes, the Fed Will Cover Biden’s $4 Trillion Deficit - 7th Apr 21
S&P 500 Fireworks and Gold Going Stronger - 7th Apr 21
Stock Market Perceived Vs. Actual Risks: The Key To Success - 7th Apr 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Detroit and Social Credit, Stocks Contnuing Technical Strength

Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013 Aug 05, 2013 - 06:21 PM GMT

By: Christopher_Quigley

Stock-Markets

In 2009 I wrote an essay on Social Credit which for some reason has become one of the most popular articles I have ever penned. This, I reckon, is not because it is a particularly “exceptional” essay but due, in part, to timing. Interest in this “economic concept” has recently gone “viral”.


However, it is ironic that Detroit has recently filed for bankruptcy. Research for the piece I wrote on Social Credit helped me discover that it was in the environs of Detroit that the “American Dream” was made manifest by non-other than Henry Ford. Unfortunately it would appear that the lessons that should have been learned from the perspective of Social Credit have been ignored and accordingly the “American Dream” is dying. This is a tragedy. But it is never too late to start anew. As the saying goes: “when you lose, don’t lose the lesson”. To mark this seminal event in the social and economic history of Detroit I outline below the essential essence contained in that 2009 essay. Hopefully the economic truths contained therein, originally championed by Major Clifford Douglas in 1910, will continue to gain appeal and thereby motivate some future administration to take up the baton of reform and instigate credit policies that will help pass on the “American Dream” to new generations.

“What is the main objective of Social Credit? In essence it seeks to fairly compensate citizens with real purchasing power and thus end the current "trans-national/out-sourcing" industrial policy of American and European business leaders. It seeks to replace capital investment (i.e. investment in technology) with human investment.

Why is purchasing power so important? It is fundamental because without money no exchange can take place. In order to understand what I am talking about let us look at the historical example set by Henry Ford in Detroit in 1920. He completely redefined "classical" economics through the policies undertaken by the Ford Motor Company.

Under "normal" economic theory it was assumed that a corporation could only maximise profits by ideally becoming a monopoly which meant increasing price and limiting supply. Ford did the exact opposite. He had a more holistic view of the role of the corporation in society. He understood the synergetic relationship between money and goods. He DOUBLED the wages of his workers, DECREASED the price of the Model T and in the process remade the Ford Motor Corporation and remade America. (This policy was not inflationary because he knew he could at least double production through increased efficiencies when he doubled wages. This is the essence of the enlightened policy of Social Credit for communities rather than of monopoly credit for social elites alone).

The Ford Company boomed. How did this happen? It was axiomatic. He understood the importance of money and purchasing power in society. With "high" wages Ford's workers were able to make a good living and have excess funds to save or spend. Accordingly their financial anxiety ceased and staff turnover dropped by a multiple of five in one year. This dramatically decreased management expense and increased productivity. Workers finally had peace of mind. With the increased disposable income in the Detroit area the general economy boomed. All classes of economic sectors expanded. As a result more workers, new business owners, company managers, insurance brokers, real estate brokers, bankers, salesmen, craftsmen, delivery men, builders, farmers and retailers all could afford Ford cars. Demand for the model T exploded through the increased buying power WHICH HE HAD CREATED THROUGH MONEY DISTRIBUTION.

Like Major Clifford Douglas, the mind behind Social Credit, Ford understood economics and he understood the issue of PURCHASING POWER. FOR HIM PURCHASING POWER WAS NOT CREDIT BUT CASH.  HE REASLIZED THAT WITHOUT THE MONEY TO PURCHASE HIS CARS POTENTIAL DEMAND WAS IRRELEVANT. THEREFORE HE INITIALLY REDISTRIBUTED DIVIDENDS FROM THE OWNERS TO THE WORKERS. THIS INCREASED GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY AND TURNOVER EXPONENTIALLY. THESE INCREASED SALE BOOSTED PROFITS TO SUCH A DEGREE THAT THE SAME OWNERS EVENTUALLY RECEIVED INCREASED SUSTAINABLE DIVIDENDS. EVERYBODY WON. THIS BRILLIANT POLICY MADE THE COMPANY. It built up the economy of Detroit and it helped define America as a country where a factory worker was respected and well paid, not exploited, as had been the case throughout the English industrial revolution. The "American Dream" was Ford’s vision made manifest. It was a dream brought to fruition not through political fantasy but through the hard laws of economics, accounting, finance, production, distribution and marketing.”

To reiterate, in my view the “death” of Detroit is the unmistakable sign the “The American Dream” is dying on its feet. Unless the policies of off-shoring American jobs and the systematic lowering of American working wages cease we are going to see many more U.S. cities going bankrupt.

Social Credit as a policy may not have all the solutions to our contemporary economic crises but it has a part to play. Mainly it is helping people realise that fallacy of championing the use of technology without a concomitant policy in place to distribute money to consumers. Thus as a matter of expediency without the introduction of a National Dividend to stimulate American purchasing power contemporary modernity is going to continue to experience social disintegration. However, for some reason governments cannot seem to come to terms with the “radicalness” of this solution. Radical or not, the truth of the matter is you either “adapt or die” and unfortunately the tragedy of the Detroit bankruptcy saga proves that America is opting to die.

Technical Strength Continues For Now.
The market, though over-bought, continues to show exceptional technical strength.

The strategy of going long on pullbacks and selling into highs remains in place.

How long this approach continues to provide excellent returns is anyone’s guess but one should not “fight a gift horse in the mouth”.

Of the Transports and the Industrials, the Trannies is the strongest Index of the two, despite rising oil prices. Case in point, observe the powerful bullish engulfing candlestick price action on the Transport Index last Friday. It would appear that the Industrials are keen to follow, we shall wait and see. One would have thought that since we are coming to the end of this earnings season there would be a serious pullback, but no, not as we speak.

As reported previously this market strength is not based on fundamentals but on technicals. The FED is walking a tightrope with its QE strategy. How the FED finally gets itself out of the box it has constructed around its policy remains to be seen. Rationally one would assume that when Government debt stops being monetized interest rates will explode. The Gold bear is actually indicating that interest rates could go into double digits soon. Such an event would cripple any real estate “recovery”, seriously negatively alter valuations on dividend paying equities, and push debt crippled European sovereign budgets into fresh crises. However, currently the market is not interested in such “logical consequences”. Therefore traders and investors should “soldier on” and take advantage of the “party” while it lasts, for it cannot go on forever. Reversion to the historical price-earning-ratio-mean is inevitable. Technical analysis will indicate to keen observers when this setup is unfolding. For the moment mean reversion is off the technical radar but as is the nature of this profession we will only believe what we see not what we hear.

Dow Transports: Daily


USO: United States OIL Fund ETF: Daily

Charts: Courtesy of StockCharts.Com

Ref: “Robots Don’t Buy Cars: Henry Ford and Social Credit” 2009 Christopher M. Quigley

By Christopher M. Quigley

B.Sc., M.M.I.I. Grad., M.A.
http://www.wealthbuilder.ie

Mr. Quigley was born in 1958 in Dublin, Ireland. He holds a Bachelor Degree in Accounting and Management from Trinity College Dublin and is a graduate of the Marketing Institute of Ireland. He commenced investing in the stock market in 1989 in Belmont, California where he lived for 6 years. He has developed the Wealthbuilder investment and trading course over the last two decades as a result of research, study and experience. This system marries fundamental analysis with technical analysis and focuses on momentum, value and pension strategies.

Since 2007 Mr. Quigley has written over 80 articles which have been published on popular web   sites based in California, New York, London and Dublin.

Mr. Quigley is now lives in Dublin, Ireland and Tampa Bay, Florida.

© 2013 Copyright Christopher M. Quigley - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Christopher M. Quigley Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules