Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Covid and Democrat Blue Wave Beats Gold - 15th Jan 21
On Regime Change, Reputations, the Markets, and Gold and Silver - 15th Jan 21
US Coronavirus Pandemic Final Catastrophe 2021 - 15th Jan 21
The World’s Next Great Onshore Oil Discovery Could Be Here - 15th Jan 21
UK Coronavirus Final Pandemic Catastrophe 2021 - 14th Jan 21
Here's Why Blind Contrarianism Investing Failed in 2020 - 14th Jan 21
US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle - 14th Jan 21
NEW UK MOT Extensions or has my Car Plate Been Cloned? - 14th Jan 21
How to Save Money While Decorating Your First House - 14th Jan 21
Car Number Plate Cloned Detective Work - PY16 JXV - 14th Jan 21
Big Oil Missed This, Now It Could Be Worth Billions - 14th Jan 21
Are you a Forex trader who needs a bank account? We have the solution! - 14th Jan 21
Finetero Review – Accurate and Efficient Stock Trading Services? - 14th Jan 21
Gold Price Big Picture Trend Forecast 2021 - 13th Jan 21
Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus - 13th Jan 21
CONgress "Insurrection" Is Just the Latest False Flag Event from the Globalists - 13th Jan 21
Reflation Trade Heating Up - 13th Jan 21
The Most Important Oil Find Of The Next Decade Could Be Here - 13th Jan 21
Work From Home £10,000 Office Tour – Workspace + Desk Setup 2021 Top Tips - 12th Jan 21
Collect a Bitcoin Dividend Without Owning the King of Cryptos - 12th Jan 21
The BAN Hotlist trade setups show incredible success at the start of 2021, learn how you can too! - 12th Jan 21
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth? - 12th Jan 21
SPX Short-term Top Imminent - 12th Jan 21
Is This The Most Exciting Oil Play Of 2021? - 12th Jan 21
Why 2021 Will Be the Year Self-Driving Cars Go Mainstream - 11th Jan 21
Gold Began 2021 With a Bang, Only to Plunge - 11th Jan 21
How to Test Your GPU Temperatures - Running Too Hot - GTX 1650 - Overclockers UK - 11th Jan 21
Life Lesson - The Early Bird Catches the Worm - 11th Jan 21
Precious Metals rally early in 2021 - 11th Jan 21
The Most Exciting Oil Stock For 2021 - 11th Jan 21
Financial Market Forecasts 2021: Navigation in Uncharted Waters - 10th Jan 21
An Urgent Message to All Conservatives, Right-Wingers and Patriots - 10th Jan 21
Despite Signs to the Contrary, Gold Price at or Near Top - 10th Jan 21 -
Ultimate Guide On The 6 Basic Types Of Index Funds - 10th Jan 21
Getting Vaccinated at TESCO - Covid-19 Vaccinations at UK Supermarket Pharmacies and Chemists - 10th Jan 21
Cheers for the 2021 Stock Market and These "Great Expectations" - 9th Jan 21
How to Plan Your Child With Better Education - 9th Jan 21
How To Find The Best Casino - 9th Jan 21
Gold Is Still a Bargain Buy - 8th Jan 20
Gold Price Set to Soar as Hyperinflation Looms - 8th Jan 21
Have Big Dreams? Here's How to Pay for Them - 8th Jan 21
Will the Fed Support Gold Prices in 2021? - 8th Jan 21
Stocks trading strategies for beginners - 8th Jan 21
Who is Buying and Selling Stocks in 2021 - 8th Jan 21
Clap for NHS Heroes 2021 as Incompetent Government Loses Control of Virus Again! - 8th Jan 21
Ultimate Gaming and Home Working PC System Build 2021 - 5950X, RTX 3080, Asus MB - Scan Computers UK - 7th Jan 21
Inflation the bug-bear looking forward through 2021 - 7th Jan 21
ESG ETF Investing Flows Drive Clean Energy to Fresh Highs - 7th Jan 21
5 Financial Market Surprises in 2021 - 7th Jan 21
Time to ‘Reset’ Your Investment Portfolio in 2021? - 7th Jan 21
Bitcoin Price Collapses almost 20% at the start 2021 - 7th Jan 21
Fed Taper Nervous Breakdown - 6th Jan 21
What Will the U.S. Dollar Ring in for 2021? - 6th Jan 21
Stock market frenzy- Ride the bandwagon but be sure to take along some gold coins - 6th Jan 21
Overclockers UK Custom Build Gaming System Review Heat Test and Final Conclusion - 6th Jan 21
Precious Metals Resuming Bull Market, Gold, Silver, GDX Trend Forecasts 2021 - 5th Jan 21
Trump’s Iran-COVID-Gate Anniversary  - 5th Jan 21
2021 May Be A Good Year For The Cannabis / Marijuana Sector - 5th Jan 21
Stock Market Approaching an Important Target - 5th Jan 21
Consumer Prices Are Not Reflecting Higher Inflation; Neither Is The CRB - 5th Jan 21
NEW UK Coronavirus PANIC FULL Lockdown Imminent, All Schools to Close! GCSE Exams Cancelled! - 4th Jan 21
The Year the World Fell Down the Rabbit Hole - 4th Jan 21
A Year Like No Other for Precious Metals… and Everything Else - 4th Jan 21
The Stocks Bull Market is Only Half Completed - 4th Jan 21
An In- Depth Look At Gold Price Trend - 4th Jan 21
Building America Back After a Dark Covid Winter - 4th Jan 21
America's Dark Covid Winter Ahead - 4th Jan 21
Buy a Landrover Discovery Sport in 2021? 3 Year Driving Review - 3rd Jan 21
Stock Market Major Peak in Early April 2021 - 3rd Jan 21
Travel and Holidays 2021 - Flight Knight Cabin Bag Review - 3rd Jan 21
�� Happy New Year 2021 Fireworks and Drone Light Show from London and Sheffied - BBC�� - 2nd Jan 2
The Next IMMINENT Global Catastrophe After Coronavirus - 1st Jan 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Stealth Bail-ins and a Weak Market Confirmed by Dow Theory

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Oct 08, 2013 - 04:02 PM GMT

By: Christopher_Quigley

Stock-Markets

You might think now following Angela Merkel’s electoral success last month all was now stable in Euroland but nothing could be further from the truth. I have it from reliable sources that Euros continue to flood out of Europe, so much so the Mario Draghi the president of the European Central Bank stated publically immediately after the German Elections that “unlimited” amounts of “money” will be available to support the Euro.


However, more worryingly, the specter of being “Cyprused” continues to haunt Euro citizens. Every month the “bail-in” model, placed into law during the Irish presidency, becomes the option of choice to save troubled banks. This phenomenon is not being widely reported yet its use is utterly destroying the faith ordinary Europeans have in their banks. General banking liquidity levels have become so low in England that the policy has now seeped into the sterling area. As reported by The Telegraph last week:

“Bail-in of Sterling Banking System Officially Begins As UK’s Co-Operative Bank to Bail-in £1.5bn With 100% Losses!”

“In the wake of the Cyprus Popular Bank’s depositor bail-in, we alerted Telegraph readers on April 2nd to the fact that bail-ins were coming to the US and UK, as The Fed and BOE had quietly created a resolution authority for unlimited bail-ins for TBTF banks.
Less than 3 months later, the bail-in of the western banking system has officially begun, as the UK’s Co-Operative Bank is seeking a £1.5bn bail-in recapitalization with junior bond holders and investors (including pension funds) facing a complete-100% wipe-out on £370m of permanent interest bearing shares (PIBS) issued by the Co-op.

Co-operative Bank faces nationalisation if junior bondholders reject ‘haircut”.
The Co-operative Bank’s rescue recapitalisation needs the support of £1.05bn – or around 80pc – of the holders of £1.3bn of its junior debt or the lender could end up being nationalised.

Evan Sutherland, the chief executive of the Co-operative Group, called the rescue plan “good news for The Cooperative Group, The Cooperative Bank, its customers and our members.”

He said it meant both investors and the group would make “a joint contribution” to the bank’s recapitalisation, without any help from taxpayers.

However, a group of pensioners and other retail investors in the Cooperative Bank are facing massive losses under the rescue.

 Astonishingly, the banksters are taking the theft to an extreme not even seen in the Cyprus bail-in: 100% losses!:

Holders of £370m of permanent interest bearing shares (PIBS) issued by the Co-op and Britannia Building Society before its takeover are expected to have their coupons cancelled, making them effectively worthless. Roughly 7,000 retail investors will be affected and the bank said that, on average, they held less than £1,000 in these bonds.

As Diesel BOOM let out of the bag a touch early, the Cyprus bail-in was indeed a template, as bond holders will be bought out with devalued or possibly worthless equity shares:

The Co-operative Group will issue a new £500m bond, paying about 6.5pc annually, to buy out the junior creditors. They will also be given equity in the group as the bank prepares to float up to 50pc of its shares on the stock market later this year. It is the first time that bondholders have been asked to take a haircut to keep a British bank afloat.

 While some bond holders suffer 100% losses on the PIBS, Co-Operative Bank won’t have to sell any assets to raise capital:

The arrangement will spare the Co-op the pain of having to sell any of its crown jewels, such as the funerals or pharmacy business, to plug the capital hole.

 We are not the only ones apparently who can realize that bailing-in a UK bank could have drastic long term consequences on confidence in the banking system:

Andre Spicer, Professor of Organisational Behaviour at Cass Business School, said the £1.5bn bail might be a good short term solution to keep the bank afloat, but it could create longer term problems for the bank and the UK finance sector.

“The bail in represents a profound change in the business model of the Co-op bank – from being an institution owned by members, to a bank which has shareholders. This change is likely to clash with the cooperative ethos of the bank and, in the longer term, this might undermine what has made the Co-op attractive to its staff and customers,” he said.

The bail in also represents a longer term challenge for the UK banking sector.”

Dow Theory Market Weakness:

Market weakness continues with no end in sight.

From a Dow Theory perspective the technical weakness is profound. The Dow Industrials are far weaker than the Transports. It was not until the market open last Thursday that the Trannies rolled over and joined the downtrend. Until then the indices were divergent. Both indices are now in congruence and are quite bearish.

Key technical levels on both the Dow 30 and the Dow 20 are the June lows. If these are significantly breached it will take a great deal of market strength to prevent a short term bear correction turning into a powerful bear trend.

Comparison Chart: Dow Industrials & Dow Transports: Daily

This weakness is confirmed by the Advance/Decline line. There has been one 20/50 DMA cross-over in August and it looks like we are about to get a second. This is not a sign of momentum, on the contrary it is a clear indication of market weakness.

Advance/ Decline Line: Daily

Charts Courtesy of Worden Bros.

By Christopher M. Quigley

B.Sc., M.M.I.I. Grad., M.A.
http://www.wealthbuilder.ie

Mr. Quigley was born in 1958 in Dublin, Ireland. He holds a Bachelor Degree in Accounting and Management from Trinity College Dublin and is a graduate of the Marketing Institute of Ireland. He commenced investing in the stock market in 1989 in Belmont, California where he lived for 6 years. He has developed the Wealthbuilder investment and trading course over the last two decades as a result of research, study and experience. This system marries fundamental analysis with technical analysis and focuses on momentum, value and pension strategies.

Since 2007 Mr. Quigley has written over 80 articles which have been published on popular web   sites based in California, New York, London and Dublin.

Mr. Quigley is now lives in Dublin, Ireland and Tampa Bay, Florida.

© 2013 Copyright Christopher M. Quigley - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Christopher M. Quigley Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules