Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into China

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014 Nov 28, 2014 - 04:28 PM GMT

By: Submissions

Commodities

David Smith writes: For over two thousand years, China practiced what came to be known as the “tributary system,” reflecting the view that it alone was the center of the civilized world. All who wished to do business with the Chinese were considered tributary states. Rulers and travelers from other lands had to follow certain procedures, including gift giving, in order to associate or do business with them.

When Japan ignored this policy, it brought about two invasion attempts by the Mongols under Kublai Khan.


Now, that line of thinking has morphed into something quite interesting, which may one of these days come to be known as “The Great Gold and Silver Migration,” the transfer of massive amounts of true wealth – precious metals – from West to East.

Streams of Gold Flowing East, Emptying Western Vaults

In nature, a tributary is a smaller stream flowing into and feeding a larger stream or river. Around the globe, several “tributary trends” are coming together in order to feed the Chinese (and Indian) precious metals’ demand river, with major supply-side implications in the near to intermediate future.

The Chinese gold accumulation “river” has feeder supply streams from a variety of sources swelling its in-country gold tonnage. Quite a bit is imported legally through Hong Kong. Until this year, this statistical source was a reasonably accurate representation of publicly-accounted for gold coming into China.

However, Beijing and Shanghai are now ports of entry for a considerable volume of bullion, so annual import totals have become much more difficult to quantify.

For 2013, several sources have estimated total Chinese gold imports at 2,000 to 2,200 tons. If this was indeed the case, then it would be the equivalent of over 80% of global gold production for the year!

In an official Chinese Press Release about the China Gold Yearbook 2014, the Chinese Gold Congress (CGC) in Beijing stated that gold demand in 2013 was 2,199 tonnes, and 2014’s numbers continue apace.


China encourages its citizens to buy gold – jewelry, numismatic coins, or bullion. Another tactic – though extremely difficult to quantify – is the effort by Chinese business and government entities to purchase gold and silver properties for their future production capabilities.

Over the last few years, Bolivia, Argentina and Chile (also copper deposits) have seen considerable activity of this nature. Not long ago, China approached Barrick Gold about a partnership in its cost over-run plagued Pascua Lama project, a massive gold-silver property which straddles the Argentine-Chilean border.

Will Leased Gold from Central Bank Vaults Ever Be Returned?

In an interview with King World News, Dr. Keith Barron, the man who made one of the largest gold deposit discoveries of the last 25 years, had this to say:

"I believe that most of the Western world’s gold, which is supposed to be in central bank vaults, has been leased out. Much of it is now in private hands in India, and what remains continues going East to China and other Asian vaults. So most of the Western gold has vanished from the vaults, and it’s now just a book entry."


One thing both precious metals’ bears and bulls agree upon is that for uncertain times, holding gold and silver can make a lot of sense. The saying that “silver can feed your family and gold will save your life” has the ring of truth – fully borne out by history.

But the larger rationale for holding precious metals is even better – when times are good and people have more disposable income, as literally hundreds of millions of “Chindians” are in the process of achieving right now – the buy-and-hold demand for precious metals looks destined to rise in a big way and continue doing so in the foreseeable future.

Below is a chart showing electricity production in India. This core measure of economic activity demonstrates a well-entrenched trend showing no signs of abating. Add the surprising election win earlier this year by reputed free-market advocate Narendra Modi as India’s new Prime Minister, and you have the ingredients for stronger economic growth, concomitant with continued robust domestic demand for gold and silver.


In closing, let me leave you with two more considered perspectives as to why gold and silver are destined to move much higher over time – the first, a position statement from Sprott Asset Management:

"We are gold investors because we have made a specific and calculated bet against paper money. Simply put, we are betting against paper money as a store of value. We believe its supply will continue to increase. We do not believe that the world’s major governments have any stake left in protecting it. Gold bull markets are unique in that buying becomes driven by both fear and greed. Gold is quickly moving into the hands of those who are unwilling to gamble on fiat currencies or bonds as a store a value. The new owners of gold are unconcerned with its lack of yield but instead are focused on its historic ability to preserve wealth and its unquestionable value."


Second is this quote from Frank Giustra, one of Canada’s wealthiest and most successful businessmen. Though by his own admission, he has been a bit early in calling for a resumption of the upward move in the metals, he still maintains that “All the reasons gold went from $250 to $1,900 are still intact. In fact, they’ve been amplified ten­fold .”

Buy the physical gold and silver you anticipate wanting to acquire in the future… Now!

Money Metals Exchange

© 2014 David Smith - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in