Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Best Cash ISA Savings Account for Soaring UK Inflation - February 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold Price Forecast 2018 - February Update - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Bitcoin Crypto Currencies Crash 2018, Are We Near the Bottom? - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Trump Bubble Bursts, Stock Market Panic Dow 1175 Point Crash Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Gold Corrects, Bitcoin Markets Crash, Whilst Stocks Plunge - Nadeem_Walayat
6.US Treasury Bonds: Fuse to Light the Bonfire - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Dow Falls 666 Points As Cryptocurrencies Crash And Krugman Emerges From His Van - Jeff_Berwick
8.Stock Market Roller Coaster Crash Ride Down to Dow Forecast 23,000 - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Trading the Shadows - Oil, Dollar, Stocks, Gold Trend Analysis - B.R. Hollister
10.Stock Market Analysis: Baying for Blood - Abalgorithm
Last 7 days
World Stock Market Indices: What Will Happen in 2020 – 2022 - 25th Feb 18
Will We See A Cryptocurrency Wipeout This 2018? - 25th Feb 18
Stock Market Volatility Attributed to 'Shenanigans' - 24th Feb 18
Reintroducing The Concept Of Stock Market Investing Risk - 24th Feb 18
How Global Growth and Infrastructure are Driving Commodities - 24th Feb 18
Tips to Get Financing for a New Business - 24th Feb 18
Heavy Police Presence at Resumption of Sheffield Street Tree Fellings Protests - 24th Feb 18
Why You Should NOT Sub4Sub Free Youtube Subscribers - YTpals, Subpals, SubmeNow Test Results - 23rd Feb 18
One Belt, One Road, One Direction for Precious Metals - 23rd Feb 18
Gold’s Curious Sentiment - 23rd Feb 18
Relationship Between Crude Oil and U.S. Dollar in February 2018 - 23rd Feb 18
Why The Next Oil Boom Will Be Fueled By Blockchain - 23rd Feb 18
Gold Bull and Bear Markets - 23rd Feb 18
Why Recent Lows Are Crucial for US Dollar - 23rd Feb 18
Will Bitcoin be Larger Than NEO in 2018? - 23rd Feb 18
Stock Market SPX Probable Pop-n-drop - 22nd Feb 18
Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction - 22nd Feb 18
Why We Should Buy Essay - 22nd Feb 18
The Latest US Debt Blow - 22nd Feb 18
6 Tips For Seamless Business Foreign Exchange - 22nd Feb 18
How to Anticipate Stock Market Trend Changes - 21st Feb 18
Gold Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves! - 21st Feb 18
5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead - 21st Feb 18
Goofy Indictments Divert Attention from Criminal Abuses at the FBI and DOJ - 21st Feb 18
Bitcoin or British Pound ‘Pretty Much Failed’ As Currency? - 21st Feb 18
Stock Market Waiting for the Fed - 21st Feb 18
National Identity Demands Restrictive Immigration - 21st Feb 18
Best Opportunities for Freelance Technical Writing Jobs - 21st Feb 18
4% US 10-year Treasury Note Yield Will Be a Floor Not a Ceiling - 20th Feb 18
Governments Are LYING about Their Gold Activities while Mining Companies Cower - 20th Feb 18
No Silver Lining Here - 20th Feb 18
Semi Conductor Stocks SEMI Bearish? - 20th Feb 18
The Prisoner Promised Land - 20th Feb 18
Best Car Dash Cam Review: Z-Edge S3 Dual Dash Cam - UNBOXING (1) - 20th Feb 18
How Inflation Reduces The Real Value Of Social Security Net Of Medicare Premiums - 19th Feb 18
Could Stellar Lumens be a Challenger to Bitcoin for International Payments? - 19th Feb 18
US-China Trade War Escalates As Further Measures Are Taken - 19th Feb 18
How To Trade Gold Stocks with Momentum - 19th Feb 18
Is a New Gold Bull Market on the Horizon? - 19th Feb 18
Stock Market Decision Point! - 19th Feb 18
An Inflation Indicator to Watch, Part 1 - 18th Feb 18
Get on Top Of Debt Before It Gets on Top of You - 18th Feb 18
Will the Stock Market Make a Double Bottom? - 18th Feb 18
5 Reasons Why Commodities Are the Investment Place to be in 2018 - 18th Feb 18
1 Week Later, Stock, Bond Market Risk Remains ‘On’ as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On - 17th Feb 18
Crude Oil Prices: A Case of Dueling Narratives? - 17th Feb 18
Free 1000 Youtube Subscribers Services - YTpals, Subpals, SubmeNow Test - 17th Feb 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Jul 18, 2015 - 03:59 PM GMT

By: Christopher_Quigley

Stock-Markets

The expected “oversold technical bounce” due to recent market weakness materialized this week. With the good news from Greece spurring sentiment on, the NASDAQ has just jumped to new highs with the Dow 30 and S & P 500 not too far behind. Nothing unusual here. However, just like a clay mound in the Australian desert that is being burrowed out by termites the American stock market’s apparent strength is actually being hollowed out by technical failure.


Despite a collapse in the price of oil, the Dow Transports continue to languish and if ever you needed an example of Dow Theory divergence “in the flesh” just look at the comparison chart below. This discrepancy in price behavior is not good and the longer it persists the more risky the market is going to become.

 The % of stocks below the 200 PMA (Price Moving Average) continues to consolidate below its 200 DMA (Daily Moving Average). This price action is bearish.

As I have regularly mentioned in the past there will be no significant market correction without a “warning breakdown” in the NYSE Advance/Decline line. Currently the 50 DMA line and the 100 DMA line are trending down with the 100 DMA becoming a point of resistance rather than a point of support. This is bearish price action.

Accordingly as mentioned in the last brief I would advise investors to be cautious with this market. It is my growing belief that the current strength could disappear at any moment like termite dust dissolving in a desert storm.

Chart: Dow 20 Dow 30 Comparison: Daily.


Chart: % of stocks above their 200 PMA: Daily.


Chart: NYSE Advance/Decline Line: Daily.


Chart: QQQ: Daily.



Greek crisis finally resolved, somewhat.
With Greek banks due to reopen next Monday by agreement it appears the “Grexit” crisis has finally been sorted out by the Euro partners. What a terrible three weeks it has been for Europe. I have never been so ashamed that Ireland was a member of the European Union. To observe 17 Euro-Group countries, (with the exception of France), gang up and humiliated a small nation of 12 million souls was utterly disenchanting. How did it come to this I asked myself? Poor pensioners were made to stand in line for up to 5 hours, in sweltering heat, to receive a paltry pension. Average citizens, who had many thousands of Euros in their bank accounts, were made to queue to withdraw a maximum of 60 Euros per day, whether they lived alone or had a family of 10 children to feed. Businesses were forced to close due to the lack of proper commercial import/export clearing services.  All of this ordered, not by Greek parliamentary rule, but by decree from the ECB, Berlin and the German Bundesdag. Greek citizens finally woke up to a new Euro reality. For them European democracy had been reduced to a fantasy. Greek citizens finally came to realize that their sovereignty had been stripped bare by a foreign financial oligarchy. Force had replaced agreement and consensus. Living had become survival.
Cynicism had destroyed hope.

Despite the anguish described above by no means has the fundamental problems underlying the Greek crisis been tackled. No, today Greece merely has received emergency funds to allow their banks re-open until mid-August, subject to a more comprehensive third bail-out package being negotiated. Greece will now be saddled with a new round of unsustainable debt and more crushing austerity. No country has ever repaid a debt level that is 200% of GDP. Every international banking institution knows this yet no debt leniency has been granted to the Athens government. As we speak a “civil war” of sorts has broken out between the IMF and the ECB. Last week the IMF leaked an internal report outlining the need for significant debt relief being granted to Greece to allow the Government return to the international bond market. Berlin will hear none of this. Wolfgang Schauble, the German Finance Minister, has put it on the record that he fears that granting debt forgiveness to Greece will create a precedence that will motivate requests for debt “hair-cuts by Ireland, Span, Portugal, France and Italy. This development, he believes, will lead to the collapse of the Euro-Bond market. How all this will play out is anybody’s guess.

I believe the heart and soul of the European Union was publically destroyed over the last three weeks in Athens. Accordingly I reckon it is only a matter of circumstance, probably the crises of the next major world recession, which will force the Euroland body to finally give up the ghost.

Charts: courtesy of Worden Bros.

By Christopher M. Quigley

B.Sc., M.M.I.I. Grad., M.A.
http://www.wealthbuilder.ie

Mr. Quigley was born in 1958 in Dublin, Ireland. He holds a Bachelor Degree in Accounting and Management from Trinity College Dublin and is a graduate of the Marketing Institute of Ireland. He commenced investing in the stock market in 1989 in Belmont, California where he lived for 6 years. He has developed the Wealthbuilder investment and trading course over the last two decades as a result of research, study and experience. This system marries fundamental analysis with technical analysis and focuses on momentum, value and pension strategies.

Since 2007 Mr. Quigley has written over 80 articles which have been published on popular web   sites based in California, New York, London and Dublin.

Mr. Quigley is now lives in Dublin, Ireland and Tampa Bay, Florida.

© 2015 Copyright Christopher M. Quigley - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Christopher M. Quigley Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules