Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Ethereum EIP 1559 and Raven Coin - 21st Apr 21
Gold, USDX: The Board is Set, the Pieces are Moving - 21st Apr 21
World Economies Need to Find a Lot More COPPER! - 21st Apr 21
DogeCoin CRASH! Time to Start Mining BOODGIE Coin! Crypto Mania 2021 - 21st Apr 21
Pausing Stocks and Gold Fireworks - 21st Apr 21
Precious Metals and Miners Start of New Longer-Term Bullish Trend - P2 - 21st Apr 21
Looking For A Mortgage Broker? Here Is How To Hire One - 21st Apr 21
Amazon AMZN Stock PRIMEDAY SALE! Trend Analysis - 20th Apr 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: You May Not Believe My 2021 Targets - 20th Apr 21
Stock Market Phase Two Projection - 20th Apr 21
Are Precious Metals & Miners Starting A New Longer-Term Bullish Trend? - 20th Apr 21
Inflation: First the Gain, Then the Pain… - 20th Apr 21
8 Stock Market Indicators in 1: Here's the Message of the Panic/Euphoria Model - 19th Apr 21
Gold - You Can Win a Battle, but Still Lose the War - 19th Apr 21
Will Interest Rates Rally Further Push Gold Price Down? - 19th Apr 21
Gold Fireworks Doubt the Official Inflation Story - 19th Apr 21
YuanPay Team Discuss The Process Of Crypto Diversification - 19th Apr 21
Central Banks May Ramp Up Gold Buying - 18th Apr 21
How to Get Rid of Driveway Weeds With Just WATER! 6 Months later NO Weeds, Ultimate Killer! - 18th Apr 21
State of the European Markets - DAX, FTSE, CAC, AEX, SMI, IBEX 35, S&P/MIB, Euro Stoxx 50, RTS - 18th Apr 21
Einvestment Fund: What You Need To Know About Investments - 18th Apr 21
Google Alphabet (GOOG) AI Deep Mind Stock Trend Analysis - 17th Apr 21
Stocks and Bonds Inflationary Slingshot - 17th Apr 21
Best Smartphone Selfie Stick Tripod Review by ATUMTEK Works with Samsung Galaxy and Iphone - 17th Apr 21
How to Give Budgie's First Bath | Easy Budgie Bathing and Water Training with Lettuce - 17th Apr 21
Record-breaking Decrease in New Passenger Vehicle Sale in Europe - 17th Apr 21
US Stocks Climb A “Wall Of Worry” To New Highs - 16th Apr 21
Gold’s Singular Role - 16th Apr 21
See what Anatomy of a Bursting Market Bubble looks like - 16th Apr 21
Many Stock Market Sectors Are Primed For Another Breakout Rally – Are You? - 16th Apr 21
What Skyrocketing US Home Prices Say About Inflation - 16th Apr 21
Still a Bullish Fever in Stocks? - 16th Apr 21
Trying to Buy Coinbase Stock on IPO Day - Institutional Investors Freeze out Retail Investors - 15th Apr 21
Stocks or Gold – Which Is in the Catbird Seat? - 15th Apr 21
Time For A Stock Market Melt-Up - 15th Apr 21
Stocks Bull Market Progression Now Shows Base Metal Strength - 15th Apr 21
AI Tech Stocks Buy Ratings, Levels and Valuations - 14th Apr 21
Easy 10% to 15% Overclock for 5600x, 5900x, 5950x Using AMD Ryzen Master Precision Boost Overdrive - 14th Apr 21
The Current Cannabis Sector Rally Is Pointing To Another Breakout - 14th Apr 21
U.S. Dollar Junk Bond Market The Easiest Money in History - 14th Apr 21
The SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410… What Is Next? - 14th Apr 21
The Curious Stock Market Staircase Rally - 14th Apr 21
Stocks are Heating Up - 14th Apr 21
Two Methods in Calculating For R&D Tax Credits - 14th Apr 21
Stock Market Minor Correction Due - 13th Apr 21
How to Feed Budgies Cucumbers - Best Vegetables Feeding for the First Time, Parakeet Care UK - 13th Apr 21
Biggest Inflation Threat in 40 Years Looms over Markets - 13th Apr 21
How to Get Rich with the Pareto Distribution - Tesco Example - 13th Apr 21
Litecoin and Bitcoin-Which Is Better? - 13th Apr 21
The Major Advantages Of Getting Your PhD Online - 12th Apr 21
Covid-19 Pandemic Current State for UK, US, Europe, Brazil Vaccinations vs Lockdown's Third Wave - 12th Apr 21
Why These Stock Market Indicators Should Grab Your Full Attention - 12th Apr 21
Rising Debt Means a Weaker US Dollar - 12th Apr 21
Another Gold Stocks Upleg - 12th Apr 21
AMD The ZEN Tech Stock - 12th Apr 21
Overclockers UK Build Quality - Why Glue Fan to CPU Heat sink Instead of Using Supplied Clips? - 12th Apr 21 -
What are the Key Capabilities You Should Look for in Fleet Management Software? - 12th Apr 21
What Is Bitcoin Gold? - 12th Apr 21
UK Covd-19 FREE Lateral Flow Self Testing Kits How Use for the First Time at Home - 10th Apr 21
NVIDIA Stock ARMED and Dangeorus! - 10th Apr 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Gold Maintains Value Despite Oil and Stock Market Crash

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 Jan 22, 2016 - 10:51 AM GMT

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Commodities

Investors should analyze 2016 year to date action as it is generally a good predictor of how the year will look.

Major capitulation in oil and global market rout sends investors to the sidelines seeking out capital preservation.

Volatility is soaring and precious metals are holding their values in January.


Lithium is the one commodity outperforming by a wide margin.

Stick to already deflated, deeply discounted sectors like the uranium and rare earths.

It is important to study the beginning of trading in January as major pools of capital tend to re-position around this time for the new year 2016. So far this year it has been ugly, one of the worst starts in history. Oil (NYSEARCA:XLE) is crashing below $30 down over 20% year to date. The Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ) and Russell 2000 are already down more than 10% year to date. Mostly all markets are in the red except precious metals and treasuries (NYSEARCA:TLT).

China's stock markets started falling followed by the US. Europe is already in a bear market and the US may be near that zone soon on a few more down days like last Friday. The fear of a global financial crisis is beginning. The US Central banks may once again have to step in.

Be careful as this could be a challenging quarter for earnings in the US as the strong US dollar may weigh on sales growth. This is the second major correction in six months for US equities which may signal the four year bull market is in need of a more significant downturn.

For weeks I didn't like this rally in general equities in the US while commodities such as oil and copper fell off a cliff. Eventually the losses in the commodity sector will be felt by the banks as they are sitting on a lot of debt.

The 30 year US bond is near record highs at 160 which could be a near term top. The US dollar (NYSEARCA:UUP) which has already broken out into new 5 year high territory could also be on the verge of turning over. Investors want liquidity and are moving capital out of junk bonds and equities into precious metals and US treasuries.

The Dow (NYSEARCA:DIA) has plunged below August support at 16,000 and the four year rally in general equities could be ending as this is the second correction in six months. Capital is searching for safe havens as investors may be realizing the global economy could be on a downswing. Investors are flocking to what they believe are the most liquid assets in US Bonds and precious metals which are continuing to hold value.

The strong dollar has made other currencies such as the Canadian, Australian Dollar and British Pound look very weak. However, the rising dollar is going to start making a drag effect on the US markets and the ability of the US to attract foreign investment. The US is getting expensive to foreign investors. They can no longer afford US stocks and real estate and may soon look into the historically discounted precious metals arena and junior mining sector.

The opportunity could be in gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) and silver (NYSEARCA:SLV) as capital flows from stocks to precious metals as a safe haven. If the US markets continue to follow the Chinese markets lower I expect a whole new round of global quantitative easing which would create more demand for real assets.

One market that is soaring in price despite this carnage is lithium (NYSEARCA:LIT). Watch some of the high quality junior lithium miners in Argentina and Nevada. Argentina appears to be turning positive to mining development and exploration after the recent election.

Also keep a close eye on uranium (NYSEARCA:URA) especially after the recent Chinese deal with a Canadian Junior in the Athabasca Basin. Grassroots uranium exploration may soon get more interest as the financing markets has been dormant in the Athabasca Basin. Watch for companies that may be on the verge of publishing an updated Preliminary Economic Assessment on their projects.

Don't be surprised to see a major rotation into the beaten down juniors (NYSEARCA:GDXJ) which are already way oversold in my opinion. The TSX Venture is below 500 a historic low yet there are many companies coming out with exciting news. Be careful of the naysayer who tell you the junior sector is dead. These are the sort of words that are mentioned at major bottoms.

Despite the supposed death of the sector many of the stocks we follow continue to make progress with significant news. The Chinese major $80+million dollar deal and off-take with a Canadian Junior is a huge deal for the uranium sector and the Athabasca Basin.

By Jeb Handwerger

Disclosure: Author owns no stocks mentioned.

http://goldstocktrades.com

© 2016 Copyright Jeb Handwerger - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules