The often volatile housing starts numbers took another dive this report, down 18.7% in November according to the Census Bureau New Residential Construction report for November 2016.

Housing starts 1959-Present

Year-Over-Year Detail Since 1994

Housing Starts Year-Over-Year Detail Since 1994

New Residential Construction Details

Permits down 4.7% from October
Permits down 6.6% from year ago
Starts down 18.7% from October
Starts down 6.9% from year ago
Completions up 15.4% in October
Completions up 25% from year ago

Mortgage Rates Soar

Average Fixed Mortgage Rates 2012-2016

Mortgage rates have risen 104 basis points (1.04 percentage points) since July 8.

As I have pointed out, this is bound to affect the housing market sooner or later. Sooner means now.

Each quarter-point hike will affect mortgage rates correspondingly until the long end of the curve refuses to rise further. At that point, we will be in recession.

Still think three hikes are coming in 2017?

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

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Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management . Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 in Vancouver.

When not writing about stocks or the economy I spends a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com .

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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