Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.US Paving the Way for Massive First Strike on North Korea Nuclear and Missile Infrastructure - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Trump Reset: US War With China, North Korea Nuclear Flashpoint - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Silver Junior Mining Stocks 2017 Q2 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
4.Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Bitcoin Blueprint To Your Financial Freedom - Sean Keyes
6.North Korea 'Begging for War', 'Enough is Enough', is a US Nuclear Strike Imminent? - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Hits All-Time High and Smashes Through $5,000 As Gold Shows Continued Strength - Jeff_Berwick
8.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why - EWI
9.Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process - Rambus_Chartology
10.Bitcoin Falls 20% as Mobius and Chinese Regulators Warn - GoldCore
Last 7 days
The Greatest Investing Lesson Learned from the 1987 Stock Market Crash - 20th Oct 17
Stock Market Time to Go All-in. Short, That Is - 19th Oct 17
How Gold Bullion Protects From Conflict And War - 19th Oct 17
Stock Market Super Cycle Wave C May Have Started - 19th Oct 17
Negative Expectations, Will the Stock Market Correct? - 19th Oct 17
Knowing the Factors Affect your Car Insurance Premium - 19th Oct 17
Getting Your Feet Wet In Crypto Currencies - 19th Oct 17
10 Years Ago Today a Stocks Bear Market Started - 19th Oct 17
1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned - 19th Oct 17
Virgin Media Broadband Down, Catastrophic UK Wide Failure! - 19th Oct 17
The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks - 18th Oct 17
Gold Is In A Dangerous Spot - 18th Oct 17
History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis - 18th Oct 17
Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money - 18th Oct 17
Attractive European Countries for Foreign Investors - 18th Oct 17
Financial Transcription Services – What investors should know about them - 18th Oct 17
Brexit UK Vulnerable As Gold Bar Exports Distort UK Trade Figures - 18th Oct 17
Surge in UK Race Hate Crimes, Micro-Racism, Sheffield, Millhouses Park, Black on Asian - 18th Oct 17
Comfortably Numb: Surviving the Assault on Silver - 17th Oct 17
Are Amey Street Tree Felling's Devaluing Sheffield House Prices? - 17th Oct 17
12 Real-Life Techniques That Will Make You a Better Trader Now - 17th Oct 17
Warren Buffett Predicting Dow One Million - Being Bold Or Overly Cautious? - 17th Oct 17
Globalization is Poverty - 17th Oct 17
Boomers Are Not Saving Enough for Retirement, Neither Is the Government - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory - 16th Oct 17
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs - 16th Oct 17
Why is Big Data is so Important for Casino Player Acquisition and Retention - 16th Oct 17
How Investors Can Play The Bitcoin Boom - 16th Oct 17
Who Will Be the Next Fed Chief - And Why It Matters  - 16th Oct 17
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead - 16th Oct 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 16th Oct 17
Really Bad Ideas - The Fed Should Have And Defend An Inflation Target - 16th Oct 17
The Bullish Chartology for Gold - 15th Oct 17
Wikileaks Mocking US Government Over Bitcoin Shows Why There Is No Stopping Bitcoin - 15th Oct 17
How to Wipe Out Puerto Rico's Debt Without Hurting Bondholders - 15th Oct 17
Gold And Silver – Think Prices Are Manipulated? Look In The Mirror! - 15th Oct 17
Q4 Pivot View for Stocks and Gold - 14th Oct 17
Gold Mining Stocks Q3’17 Preview - 14th Oct 17
U.S. Mint Gold Coin Sales and VIX Point To Increased Market Volatility and Higher Gold - 14th Oct 17
Yuan and Gold - 14th Oct 17
Tips for Avoiding a Debt Meltdown - 14th Oct 17
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Above $5,000 As Lagarde Concedes Defeat and Jamie Demon Shuts Up - 13th Oct 17
Golden Age for GOLD, Dark Age for the Stock Market - 13th Oct 17
The Struggle for Bolivia Is About to Begin - 13th Oct 17
3 Reasons to Take Your Invoicing Process Mobile - 13th Oct 17
What Happens When Amey Fells All of a Streets Trees (Sheffield Tree Fellings) - Video - 13th Oct 17
Stock Market Charts Show Smart Money And Dumb Money Are Moving In Opposite Directions—Here’s Why - 12th Oct 17
Your Pension Is a Lie: There’s $210 Trillion of Liabilities Our Government Can’t Fulfill - 12th Oct 17
Two Highly Recommended Books from Bob Prechter - 12th Oct 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See - Free

Gold Prices Surge Above Key 200 Day Moving Average $1270 Level

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017 Apr 12, 2017 - 04:17 PM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

– Gold price breaks above key 200-day moving average
– Gold hits 5-month high on back of investor nervousness
– Safe haven has 10% gains in 2017 after 9% gains in 2016
– Gold options signal more gains as ETF buying increases


– Geopolitical uncertainty over North Korea & Middle East
– Tensions high -World awaits US move & Russia response
– Russia says chemical attack was terrorist “false flag”
– Poor March jobs report shows US economy vulnerable
– French elections still tight and Le Pen still has chance

Gold prices surged another 2% to a five-month high above $1,270 amidst geopolitical uncertainty and weak US economic data.

The break above the 200-day moving average has cleared the way for a run towards $1,300/oz. It means that gold continues to be one of the best performing assets in 2017 with gains of 10.3% year to date building on the 9% gains in 2016.

Gold’s move was a traditional flight to safety following the US’ missile attack on Syria and Trump making aggressive sounds regarding intervention against North Korea including tweets.

The weak jobs report also prompted fears that future Fed interest rate hikes could be delayed or slowed and this has provided further support for the price of gold.

Tensions between Syria, Russia, North Korea and the US underline the serious geo-political risks. There is the real risk of a serious military confrontation. This is creating uncertainty which is an environment that serves gold best.

These risks have led to very bullish activity in the options market with a surge in call option gold buying and gold ETF buying.

As reported by Bloomberg:

Gold options are signaling there’s more room to run for bulls.

Prices and volumes surged Tuesday on calls giving holders the right to buy bullion at higher prices. As of 11:21 a.m. in New York, trading in the most-active option was 10 times Monday’s total, and price swings on options were at the highest in three months. Investors also returned to the biggest exchange-traded fund backed by the metal. 

US TV hosts, Putin and Trump – all finger pointing

Since the chemical attack in Syria last week, finger pointing over who is responsible for the attack (and why) has been going strong.

Last week U.S. Senator and ex-Presidential candidate Ron Paul questioned the logic of an Assad-instructed chemical attack. With both ISIS and Al-Qaeda in retreat, what were Assad’s motives for making such a decision, asked Paul.

“It looks like maybe somebody didn’t like that so there had to be an episode,” said Paul, asking, “who benefits?”

“It doesn’t make any sense for Assad under these conditions to all of a sudden use poison gases – I think there’s zero chance he would have done this deliberately,” said Paul.

Prior to the chemical attacks it did appear that the US would be taking a side-seat when U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said, “The longer-term status of President Assad will be decided by the Syrian people.”

But then a chemical attack followed and theories abound on why it happened.

Following the chemical attack, last week, Putin called the US missile strike against Syria “an act of aggression against a sovereign state delivered in violation of international law under a far-fetched pretext.” By Friday afternoon Russian warships were headed toward the U.S. Navy warships that launched missiles.

The FT and the Guardian report today that Putin has claimed that Russia has evidence that the chemical attack was opposition rebel or terrorist led and designed to frame Syria’s President and to entice the United States into the war.

“We have information from different sources that these provocations – I cannot call them otherwise – are being prepared in other regions of Syria, including in the southern suburbs of Damascus where there are plans to throw some substance and accuse the official Syrian authorities.”

Putin also dismissed claims by the US that they attacked a Syrian air base due to presence of weapons of mass destruction, saying that we have seen such claims already in Iraq in 2003.

Bobble heads and TV hosts

In his disgust that NATO had not ruled that the US missile attack was a breach of international law, Putin called them “bobble heads.”

Last night the White house went on to accuse Moscow of releasing “false narratives” to mislead the world about the chemical attack in Syria last week.

Elsewhere in the US, MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell told viewers a rumour he’d heard that Putin had told Assad to carry out the chemical attack in order to provoke a military reposes from Trump. Thereby, dispelling rumours that the US President and Putin are too close.

His evidence for this? He has none:

“It’s perfect, what you won’t hear is proof that that scenario that I have just outlined is impossible, because with Donald Trump anything is possible.”

Later today Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov will meet Mr Tillerson, US Secretary of State. Some hope should be taken from the fact that Tillerson is heading to Russia although he is unlikely to persuade Putin to distance himself from Assad.

Both the US and UK have failed to persuade G7 foreign ministers to impose new sanctions on Russia and Syria.

North Korean posturing and peacocking

If events in Syria means that you have missed what has been happening with North Korea then the following Trump tweets that North Korea was “looking for trouble” and that the United States would “solve the problem” with or without China’s help, will give you some indication.

Chinese government-influenced Global Times said Beijing would support stiffer UN sanctions, including “strictly limiting” oil exports to North Korea should it conduct a nuclear test. “China, too, can no longer stand the continuous escalation of the North Korean nuclear issue at its doorstep,” the newspapers editorial said. “Instead of accepting a situation that continues to worsen, putting an end to this is more in line with the wish of the Chinese public.”

For now, the world’s eyes are on Syria, with some reassurance about Trump’s upcoming conversation with China. However, it is right be nervous of macho strong men who have access to nuclear weapons.

War! What is it good for? Absolute uncertainty!

Whilst the North Korea situation is perhaps being handled with slightly more measure than the Middle East, someone is going to war and it is on everyone’s minds.

This Google Trends charts shows the ‘interest over time’ in the phrase ‘going to war’, one can clearly see the spike in interest in recent months.

Whichever theory is correct over who is provoking who in Syria (and there is probably some truth in them all) it all serves one purpose in the wider world – to build up the uncertainty felt across the globe.

We are seeing a rise in risk aversion across markets. Politicians should be working to reduce risk, however they are all working to their own agendas and, as a result, the levels of risk in the economy are growing.

In recent months we have mentioned uncertainty in relation to European elections, the Brexit vote, and the turbulent Trump Administration. We have also mentioned activity in Syria, North Korea and relations with Russia and in the last week it has all seemingly started to come to a head.

There have long been bad jobs reports or options about what the Fed may or not do. However war in the Middle East, with Russia on the opposite side, whilst the prospect of nuclear war in the background, is not something that we or governments can just push to one side or begin to predict the outcome of.

There is so much that is out of not only our hands but also politicians’ that we know more about what we don’t know than what we do. In times such as these we need to consider our portfolios and ask what we do know about investments.

What has history shown time and time again?

History has shown that in times of both peace and war, there is little we can rely on that will not be manipulated or debased in order to pay for war. However, gold and silver have long been able to hold their own in the backdrop of warring countries, posturing politicians and extreme uncertainty and conflict – indeed they tend to thrive in such conditions.

Gold is performing well and will continue to do so as investors know that it is a hedge and a safe haven when we are uncertain what lies on the horizon.

Those who began to buy gold this week are becoming increasingly aware of this, and this is why we advise you to own some physical gold in a safe jurisdiction in allocated and segregated storage.

Gold Prices (LBMA AM)

12 Apr: USD 1,272.30, GBP 1,018.22 & EUR 1,199.02 per ounce
11 Apr: USD 1,255.70, GBP 1,011.47 & EUR 1,183.75 per ounce
10 Apr: USD 1,253.60, GBP 1,011.15 & EUR 1,184.40 per ounce
07 Apr: USD 1,264.30, GBP 1,017.38 & EUR 1,188.82 per ounce
06 Apr: USD 1,253.75, GBP 1,004.88 & EUR 1,175.27 per ounce
05 Apr: USD 1,252.50, GBP 1,003.88 & EUR 1,174.47 per ounce
04 Apr: USD 1,258.65, GBP 1,011.07 & EUR 1,181.49 per ounce

Silver Prices (LBMA)

12 Apr: USD 18.31, GBP 14.65 & EUR 17.27 per ounce
11 Apr: USD 17.94, GBP 14.44 & EUR 16.91 per ounce
10 Apr: USD 17.94, GBP 14.47 & EUR 16.97 per ounce
07 Apr: USD 18.40, GBP 14.81 & EUR 17.31 per ounce
06 Apr: USD 18.22, GBP 14.63 & EUR 17.09 per ounce
05 Apr: USD 18.26, GBP 14.63 & EUR 17.11 per ounce
04 Apr: USD 18.34, GBP 14.73 & EUR 17.23 per ounce

Mark O'Byrne

Executive Director

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

IRL
63
FITZWILLIAM SQUARE
DUBLIN 2

E info@goldcore.com

UK
NO. 1 CORNHILL
LONDON 2
EC3V 3ND

IRL +353 (0)1 632 5010
UK +44 (0)203 086 9200
US +1 (302)635 1160

W http://www.goldcore.com/uk/

WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is a Multi-Agency Intermediary regulated by the Irish Financial Regulator.

GoldCore is committed to complying with the requirements of the Data Protection Act. This means that in the provision of our services, appropriate personal information is processed and kept securely. It also means that we will never sell your details to a third party. The information you provide will remain confidential and may be used for the provision of related services. Such information may be disclosed in confidence to agents or service providers, regulatory bodies and group companies. You have the right to ask for a copy of certain information held by us in our records in return for payment of a small fee. You also have the right to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information. The details you are being asked to supply may be used to provide you with information about other products and services either from GoldCore or other group companies or to provide services which any member of the group has arranged for you with a third party. If you do not wish to receive such contact, please write to the Marketing Manager GoldCore, 63 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 marking the envelope 'data protection'

GoldCore Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife