Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.US Paving the Way for Massive First Strike on North Korea Nuclear and Missile Infrastructure - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Trump Reset: US War With China, North Korea Nuclear Flashpoint - Video - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Silver Junior Mining Stocks 2017 Q2 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
4.Soaring Inflation Plunges UK Economy Into Stagflation, Triggers Government Pay Cap Panic! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.The Bitcoin Blueprint To Your Financial Freedom - Sean Keyes
6.North Korea 'Begging for War', 'Enough is Enough', is a US Nuclear Strike Imminent? - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Hits All-Time High and Smashes Through $5,000 As Gold Shows Continued Strength - Jeff_Berwick
8.2017 is NOT "Just Another Year" for the Stock Market: Here's Why - EWI
9.Gold : The Anatomy of the Bottoming Process - Rambus_Chartology
10.Bitcoin Falls 20% as Mobius and Chinese Regulators Warn - GoldCore
Last 7 days
Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis - 23rd Sep 17
How Will We Be Affected by a Series of Rate Hikes? - 23rd Sep 17
Fed Quantitative Tightening Impact on Stocks and Gold - 22nd Sep 17
Bitcoin & Blockchain: All Hype or Part of a Financial Revolution? - 22nd Sep 17
Pensions and Debt Time Bomb In UK: £1 Trillion Crisis Looms - 22nd Sep 17
Will North Korea Boost Gold Prices? Part I - 22nd Sep 17
USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback - 22nd Sep 17
Day Trading Guide for Dummies - 22nd Sep 17
Short-Term Uncertainty, As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - 21st Sep 17
4 Reasons Gold is Starting to Look Attractive as Cryptocurrencies Falter - 21st Sep 17
Should Liners Invest in Shipping Software Solutions and Benefits of Using Packaged Shipping Software - 21st Sep 17
The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today - 20th Sep 17
Infographic: The Everything Bubble Is Ready to Pop - 20th Sep 17
Americans Don’t Grasp The Magnitude Of The Looming Pension Tsunami That May Hit Us Within 10 Years - 20th Sep 17
Stock Market Waiting Game... - 20th Sep 17
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal - 20th Sep 17
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead - 20th Sep 17
Looking For the Next Big Stock? Look at Design - 20th Sep 17
Self Employed? Understanding Business Insurance - 19th Sep 17
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes - 19th Sep 17
USD/CHF – Verification of Breakout or Further Declines? - 19th Sep 17
Blockchain Tech: Don't Say You Didn't Know - 19th Sep 17
The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless - 19th Sep 17
How To Resolve the Korean Conundrum  - 19th Sep 17
A World Doomed to a Never Ending War - 19th Sep 17
What is Backtesting? And Why You Need Backtesting System? - 19th Sep 17
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media - 18th Sep 17
Bitcoin Price Crash 40% In 3 Days Underlining Gold’s Safe Haven Credentials - 18th Sep 17
The Sum of Risks – Global, Strategic, Political, and Financial - 18th Sep 17
The Netflix Of Canada’s Cannabis Boom - 18th Sep 17
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Either You Learn From The Events Of The Past Week, Or You Are Hopeless - 18th Sep 17
SPX 2500 … At Last! - 18th Sep 17
Inflation Lies, Lies and OMG More Lies - 18th Sep 17
How to Choose right Forex Trader? - 18th Sep 17
Who Has Shaped the World the Most? The Dozen Greatest Achievers - 17th Sep 17
Riding the ‘Slide’: Is This What the Next Stocks Bear Market Looks Like? - 17th Sep 17
Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over - 17th Sep 17
Predicting the Future of the U.S. and the World - 16th Sep 17
Deceit in the Financial Food Chain - 16th Sep 17
Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming - 16th Sep 17
Extreme Weather & Energy Markets: What's Next? - Video - 15th Sep 17
Trump’s Path to IP Wars - 15th Sep 17
GBP USD Approaches Fibonacci Target - 15th Sep 17
Higher US Interest Rates May Force Higher Inflation Rates - 15th Sep 17
Stock Market Investors: Taking the Road "Less Traveled" Has Its Perks - 15th Sep 17
The 3 Best P2P Lending Platforms For Investors In 2017—Detailed Analysis - 15th Sep 17
The US Debt Bubble Will Soon Warrant Serious Measures - 15th Sep 17
Why it is Often Difficult to Sell a House Fast - 15th Sep 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

3 Videos + 8 Charts = Opportunities You Need to See - Free

Debt is Financial Life – Nonsense!

Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017 May 04, 2017 - 03:22 PM GMT

By: DeviantInvestor

Interest-Rates

Examine the picture below. The global economy thrives on debt and credit. We purchase essential products using debt/credit. The U.S. dollar bill is a debt of the Federal Reserve. All debt based assets have counter-party risk.

The St. Louis Federal Reserve publishes data on “Total Debt Securities” in $ millions. Note the rapid rise since 1971 after President Nixon encouraged rapid devaluation of the dollar.


Yes, the total U.S. increases debt rapidly – about 9% per year on average since 1971. A graph of U.S. national debt looks similar and shows about the same rate of increase.

Gold bullion and coins are NOT debt and have no counter-party risk, in contrast to debt based assets. But who cares about gold?

  • Central banks profess little interest in gold, although they own a substantial quantity.
  • Wall Street makes little profit from gold – no interest there.
  • The middle class struggles to pay debts and shows little awareness of gold. (A change in attitude is coming!)

How does increasing debt affect us?

  1. Rapidly increasing total debt means more dollars in circulation and higher consumer prices.
  2. Increasing debt service for the masses. How much do you owe for mortgage debt, auto loan debt, student loan debt, credit card debt? How much interest do you pay each year?
  3. More profits for Wall Street.
  4. Debt increases every day – globally.
  5. Zimbabwe, Venezuela, Greece, and many more in the near future.

From 1934 Montgomery Ward Catalog:

Debt and Gold:

On the log scale you can see:

  • Total debt increased rapidly until about 2008, but the rate of increase has slowed since then. Regardless, debt is growing more rapidly than the economy which forces prices higher.
  • How much debt can the economy carry? Is “peak debt” or “debt saturation” the reason why central banks in the EU, Japan and the US have pushed interest rates to near and below zero? Can this end well?
  • Gold rose more rapidly than debt until 1980, fell for 20 years, and has increased since 2001.
  • On average gold increases along with debt.
  • Expect much higher prices for gold as the dollar and all fiat currencies are devalued.

Thought Experiment:

  • Which government expects to spend less and reduce debt each year?
  • Will military and Medicare expenditures decrease in the next 10 years?
  • Name the congressmen who want to spend less and balance the budget each year?
  • Does Wall Street support a reduction in spending, debt, and their profits?
  • Does the Federal Reserve want to reduce the profits of big banks?
  • Do Social Security recipients want their benefits reduced?
  • Do “Big Pharma” and the “Health Care Cartel” want their revenue and profits reduced?
  • Will the multi-decade trend of increasing debt and increasing prices reverse except as a consequence of a disastrous collapse?

Do you expect total debt to decrease in the next decade?

CONCLUSIONS:

Option A: More debt, more expenses, higher prices. Expect the same failed fiscal and monetary policies, more wars, increasingly fragile economies, accelerating consumer price inflation and an excess of “happy talk” from leaders. Gold and silver prices will rise.

Option B: Catastrophic collapse possible, global depression, nuclear war or expanded conventional war and much trauma for most people of the western world. In this hopefully unlikely collapse scenario, should you own gold and silver with no counter-party risk, or debt based paper that might be worth much less in purchasing power, or could become utterly worthless?

Given the debt policies of the western financial world, the following makes far more sense!

Gary Christenson

GE Christenson aka Deviant Investor If you would like to be updated on new blog posts, please subscribe to my RSS Feed or e-mail

© 2017 Copyright Deviant Investor - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Deviant Investor Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife