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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Theory

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Worker Productivity and Modern-Day Horse Manure / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

“They just use your mind and they never give you credit. It’s enough to drive you crazy if you let it.”

– Dolly Parton, “Working 9 to 5”

Almost everyone wants to be more productive. I include myself in that group – there are lots of ways I could be more productive. When I have conversations with people I think are very productive, they almost always tell me they wish they were more productive. What more could anyone expect from them?

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Economics

Friday, July 10, 2015

Labour Productivity Misconceptions / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Alasdair_Macleod

In the media warm-up for Wednesday's UK budget, we were told of Britain's poor productivity and Chancellor Osborne subsequently confirmed that his priority is to address it. Comparative figures for Europe quoted by the BBC were sourced from the OECD and are replicated in the chart below.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

The Uber Economy / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Rodney_Johnson

On a recent trip to the D.C. area, I needed a ride to the Baltimore airport. I dreaded calling a cab, since I knew the ride would be over $100 and the cab itself might make the 30-minute ride less than pleasant. So I took the occasion to hail an Uber car.

The car arrived at 6:10am, and I had a very pleasant ride to the airport in a recent model Volvo S60.

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Economics

Thursday, June 18, 2015

Gold and Economic Inequality / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Inequality is a top news items for 2015 driven largely by the Baltimore riots, the minimum wage debate, Thomas Piketty’s book Capital in the Twenty-First Century, and now the entry of socialist Bernie Sanders into the race for US president.

The Left wants more welfare, better schools, free college, enhanced job training, and more. The Right, in contrast, wants welfare reform, charter schools, tax reform — not to be confused with tax cuts — and use of the negative income tax.

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Economics

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Fact Checking Paul Krugman's Claim To Be "Right About Everything", Krugtron the Invincible! / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Andrew Syrios writes: But can the debate really be as one-sided as I portray it? Well, look at the results: again and again, people on the opposite side prove to have used bad logic, bad data, the wrong historical analogies, or all of the above. I’m Krugtron the Invincible!

Thus wrote the great Paul Krugman. A man so modest as to proclaim that “I think I can say without false modesty, a huge win; I (and those of like mind) have been right about everything.”

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Economics

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

A Six-Point Plan to Restore Economic Growth and Prosperity / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Three weeks ago I co-authored an op-ed for the Investor’s Business Daily with Stephen Moore, founder of the Club for Growth and former Wall Street Journal editorial board member, currently working with the Heritage Foundation. Our goal was to present a simple outline of the policies we need to pursue as a country in order to get us back to 3–4% annual GDP growth. As we note in the op-ed, Stephen and I have been engaging with a number of presidential candidates and with other economists around the topic of growth.

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Economics

Monday, June 08, 2015

Technology Needs Capital To Produce Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

In his article “The Big Meh” Paul Krugman complains that despite all the information technology advances the effect so far has been negligible as far as economic growth is concerned.

Krugman writes “That the whole digital era, spanning more than four decades, is looking like a disappointment. New technologies have yielded great headlines but modest economic results. Why? ... The answer is that I don’t know — but neither does anyone else.”

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Economics

Monday, June 01, 2015

The Meaning of Financial Repression / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Mark Thornton writes: We live in a world of massive monetary inflation and extremely low interest rates. Mortgage rates are near historic lows and yet it seems that people cannot get loans. Home sales are up, but with a near record percentage of sales made with cash, rather than a mortgage. The unemployment rate is nearing “full employment” and yet a record number of people do not have jobs.

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Economics

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Austerity, Economics and Religion / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Raul_I_Meijer

There are many things going on in the Greece vs Institutions+Germany negotiations, and many more on the fringe of the talks, with opinions being vented left and right, not least of all in the media, often driven more by a particular agenda than by facts or know-how.

What most fail to acknowledge is to what extent the position of the creditor institutions is powered by economic religion, and that is a shame, because it makes it very difficult for the average reader and viewer to understand what happens, and why.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Why Economic Growth Is Impossible / Economics / Economic Theory

By: BATR

The quandary of the economic dilemma continues. A globe suffering from a deflationary financial impact, while consumer prices rise well above the reported cost of living increases, does not bode well that prospects of commercial growth can rescue the world economy. What changes can overcome this predicament? Well, some academic scholar’s offers serious concern that a long term rebound towards prosperity is no longer possible.

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Politics

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

The Bait-and-Switch Behind Economic Populism / Politics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Nicolás Cachanosky writes: Argentina will hold elections this year, and a number of provinces will be electing governors. Buenos Aires, the capital city, is holding elections for mayor, and Mauricio Macri, who is stepping down as mayor, is a favorite to become the next president. Toward the end of the year, a presidential election will be held and Cristina Kirchner, after two consecutive mandates, will have to step down because she cannot be re-elected.

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Economics

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Is the Keynesian Output Multiplier a Real Thing? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

It is accepted by most economists that initial increases in consumer spending or other outlays tend to set in motion a reinforcing process which supposedly strengthens the economic growth by a multiple of initial spending.

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Economics

Monday, April 27, 2015

Economic Stagnation - Let's Blame The Savers / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Michael_Pento

Just like in the world of fashion, economic terminologies come in and out of vogue. One such economic term trending recently is Secular Stagnation. First proposed by Keynesian economist Alvin Hansen back in the 1930s, Secular Stagnation was coined to explain America's dismal economic performance -- in which sluggish growth and employment levels were well below potential.

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Economics

Sunday, April 19, 2015

Michel Chevalier’s Case Against the Patent System / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Louis Rouanet writes: Michel Chevalier (1806–1879) was a very influential French economist during the second half of the nineteenth century. He is still widely known in France for being the architect of the Cobden-Chevalier Treaty of 1860 which was the free-trade agreement between France and Great Britain. Michel Chevalier is, however, less known for his major contribution to the intellectual property debate.1 Contrary to Jean Baptiste Say, Gustave de Molinari, and many other French economists, Chevalier fiercely opposed the patent system. As Fritz Machlup remarked: “Among French economists, Michel Chevalier was probably the most emphatic in the joint antagonism to tariffs and patents, declaring that both ‘stem from the same doctrine and result in the same abuses.’”

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Economics

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Inflation, Central Banks, and Business Cycles / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Jonathan Newman writes: The word “inflation” means different things to different people. One popular conception of inflation focuses on prices  —  all prices, actually. For these people, including some economists, “inflation” means a rise in the general price level, i.e., the goods and services we buy have higher price tags.

The other conception of inflation focuses on the money supply. Economists with this focus think of inflation as an increase in the amount of money in the economy. We’ll see that viewing inflation as a rise in prices can be misleading and ambiguous especially compared to viewing inflation as an increase in the money supply.

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Economics

Friday, April 10, 2015

How an Artificial Economy Collapses Organically  / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

One of the biggest news stories, almost too perfect not to be timed, was released on a day when markets closed early: Good Friday. 

Conveniently not factored into major world markets was last week's horrible jobs report.

From the timing of the news, to the revisions and the real story, these numbers tell about the underlying economy. It says everything one needs to know about the broken monetary system. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 09, 2015

How Easy Money Drives the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

In a market economy a major service that money provides is that of the medium of exchange. Producers exchange their goods for money and then exchange money for other goods.

As production of goods and services increase this results in a greater demand for the services of the medium of exchange (the service that money provides).

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Economics

Wednesday, April 08, 2015

Economists in Glass Houses / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

For many economists, the chicken and egg question is, which came first, consumption or production? What drives growth? Let’s continue with our series on debt, in which I have been contrasting my views with those of Paul Krugman.

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Economics

Monday, March 23, 2015

U.S. Economy and the Illusion of Prosperity / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

President Obama and Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen have recently been crowing about improving economic conditions in the U.S.  Unemployment is down to 5.5% and economic growth in 2014 hit 2.4%.

Journalists and economists point to this improvement as proof that quantitative easing was effective. They seem to have political blinders on. The boom is artificial and has been built by adding debt on top of excessive debt.  Total household debt increased 2.5 % in 2014 – the highest level since 2010. Mortgage loans increased 1.5%, student loans jumped by 6.6%, and auto loans swelled a hefty 9.6%.  The improving auto sales are based on a bubble of sub- prime borrowers. Auto sales have been brisk because of a surge in loans to individuals with credit scores below 640. Auto loans to individuals with strong credit scores, above 720, have barely budged.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 22, 2015

The "Natural Interest Rate" Is Always Positive and Cannot Be Negative / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Some economists have been arguing that the “equilibrium real interest rate” (that is the “natural interest rate” or the “originary interest rate”) has become negative, as a “secular stagnation” has allegedly caused a “savings glut.”1

The idea is that savings exceed investment, and that a negative real interest rate is required for bringing savings in line with investment. From the viewpoint of the Austrian school, the notion of a “negative equilibrium real interest rate” doesn’t make sense at all.2

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