Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, December 02, 2017
A Stock Market Reset May be Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I had a chance to compare my long-term charts with a couple other analysts’ charts of the DJIA and SPX over the past 8 years. While there are some differences in interpretation, we all seem to agree that the rally may be over.
The big curve ball was the errant Wave (B) in 2011 that threw off the analysis for a long while. The second curve ball was this year’s Wave structure. It turned out that Wave (4) bottomed in August instead of March, as I had been suggesting. The corrected pattern makes much more sense and appears complete.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Is a Stock Market Tax Bill Surprise Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures declined to 2631.25 in the overnight session, but appears to have recovered the majority of its decline. We may have seen the completion of an a-b-c correction that may probe the upper trendline or go to 2650.00 before reversing back down.
ZeroHedge reports, “Markets were thrown for a loop in the past 24 hours, with the Dow first soaring nearly 400 points on Thursday on expectations that tax reform was a done deal, when drama emerged just after the close when the Senate tax bill came this close to falling apart when the proposed "Trigger" was ruled as invalid, pushing a Thursday tax vote to this morning, and as of this moment the bill appears in limbo with the GOP scrambling to find ways to appease the sudden loud opposition among budget hawks.”
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Stock Market Parabolic Beginning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
The price action in the Dow and S&P suggest the parabolic phase may have begun.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Capital Repositioning Driving Stock Market Volatility Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent moves in the FANG stocks shows that capital is starting to reposition within the global market. As the end of the year approaches, expect more of this type of capital control to drive greater volatility within the markets. At this time of year, especially after such a fantastic bullish run, it is not uncommon to see capital move out of high flying equities and into cash or other investments.
Thursday, November 30, 2017
SPX Giving Back its Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX went parabolic this morning, nearly undoing my Wave analysis. The current Wave structure is invalidated at 2660.13. That was a close call. By 1:00 pm it was over.
Equities are at a spike high which makes it hard to go short, especially after this terrific short squeeze.
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Thursday, November 30, 2017
S&P 500 Fluctuates As Technology Stocks Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 index lost 0.03%, following slightly higher opening of the trading session. The market broke above its short-term consolidation on Tuesday. We still can see negative technical divergences along with medium-term overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
Stock Market Bull Channel Trend Line / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
The S&P is rapidly approaching its first test of the bull market channel trend line.
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Wednesday, November 29, 2017
SPX in Throw-over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made a throw-over of its Ending Diagonal formation starting on February 12, 2016. A reversal back inside the Diagonal tells us the rally is over. All indices participated in this rally, which suggests this may be the final blow-off. The initial decline [Wave (1)] will usually go to the Daily Cycle Bottom at 2306.25. It is due during the week of 12-11. A very likely scenario may be an 8.6 day decline ending on mid-day December 11.
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
How to Forecast the Stock Market… from a Desert Island / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
"Sometimes a [price] pattern will clear up on a particular day and you must act…"
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Monday, November 27, 2017
How to Know When a Stocks Bull Market Is About to End – Part I / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Knowing when a bull market is about to end is critical for both traders and investors. Why? Because once a bull market ends the price movement characteristics of stocks and indexes change dramatically and require different strategies to be used in order to profit from falling prices and increased volatility.
Over the next couple of weeks, we will be expanding on this topic to add several more parts because there are some really exciting things you should know as we move towards 2018.
So, let’s kick things off with the first few data points that tell us that the bull market is about to end.
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Monday, November 27, 2017
S&P 500 At New Record High, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 index lost 0.1%, following neutral opening of the trading session. The market broke above its short-term consolidation last week. We still can see negative technical divergences along with medium-term overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook is neutral today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
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Monday, November 27, 2017
The Insanity Of Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
As I read articles in early 2016, the debate centered around how deep the “crash” is going to take us, and much of it was event-focused. As I now read articles as 2017 comes to an end, they are still discussing how deep the “crash” is going to take us, and it still remains event-focused. But, while many are debating that issue, I now see much debate on how high this market will take us.
When investors begin to turn towards the “how high” debate is the point in time where one must become truly worried about how high this market can take us. You see, market sentiment is a funny market driver. When the great majority of market participants speak in terms of inevitable crash, you should be looking for an imminent bottom. However, when the great majority are speaking in terms of “new paradigm,” or how the market will “certainly continue in its current trend,” then its time to begin to look towards a market top.
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Monday, November 27, 2017
Stock Market Bulls Beware - We Are Finally Closing In On A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
When former bears call for a “New Golden Age” of the stock market, with targets of the DOW set at 100,000, well, it is clearly time for bulls to beware.
In fact, the Dow 100,000 prediction of this former bear is explained as follows:
“This is not some pie in the sky prediction.
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Sunday, November 26, 2017
Stock Market Minor Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end – 2 wks?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Friday, November 24, 2017
Stock Market Lemmings Are Heading Towards The Cliff… Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
Did we learn nothing from the tech bubble?
The real estate bubble?
The energy bubble?
Apparently not, as here we go again. The next series of bubbles is now in progress (Bitcoin is the first).
Let me go over again the signs of a bubble. Price will usually rally at least 100% or more in a year or less. A clear sign of out of control human emotions.
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Thursday, November 23, 2017
Stocks Are At The End Of The Line – Prepare Yourself Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
I pay as much attention to anecdotal evidence from the actions of market actors as I do to the actual price action on a daily basis!
Well heres another new all time high for you,
The NYSE margin debt figures were released a few days ago for September last.
NYSE margin debt was up 1.59% on the August figure.
And now stands at a new all time high of $559,641.
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
Stock Market High May be Nearby... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has hit the first of its targets. While it may go higher, this may warn that there may not be much left in this rally. The European markets close at 11:30 and this fits well with the chance of a reversal within this time frame.
Monday, November 20, 2017
Many Stock Market Investors Are Waiting for the New Tax Plan to Hit the Sell Button / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : Congress is deciding your portfolio’s future right now—so you might want to pay attention.
In Connecting the Dots six months ago, I said, “There will be no tax cut this year, and likely not in 2018, either.” I still see almost no chance that anything will pass.
Saying the parties are divided would be an understatement. It’s a chasm that separates not just Democrats and Republicans, but Republicans internally as well.
Add the lobbying firepower brought in by those who stand to lose and any significant changes are almost impossible. So we’re probably stuck with the present system.
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Sunday, November 19, 2017
Stock Market More Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Saturday, November 18, 2017
SPX Cycle Concern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: SurfCity
I have the SPX on just day two of a new short term Trading Cycle but many of the technical indicators I watch are showing signs that the momentum of the SPX’s longer 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle (IC) are starting to stall near the 3 month mark of the current IC Uptrend. My first Daily chart shows volatility has returned and we often see this at cycle turns. Yes we are on day 2 out of a TCL/DCL but my second chart also shows 3 key TA indicators that may be signaling a top forming on the SPX’s longer Intermediate Cycle.
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