Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, November 23, 2017
Stocks Are At The End Of The Line – Prepare Yourself Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I pay as much attention to anecdotal evidence from the actions of market actors as I do to the actual price action on a daily basis!
Well heres another new all time high for you,
The NYSE margin debt figures were released a few days ago for September last.
NYSE margin debt was up 1.59% on the August figure.
And now stands at a new all time high of $559,641.
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
Stock Market High May be Nearby... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX has hit the first of its targets. While it may go higher, this may warn that there may not be much left in this rally. The European markets close at 11:30 and this fits well with the chance of a reversal within this time frame.
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Monday, November 20, 2017
Many Stock Market Investors Are Waiting for the New Tax Plan to Hit the Sell Button / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
BY PATRICK WATSON : Congress is deciding your portfolio’s future right now—so you might want to pay attention.
In Connecting the Dots six months ago, I said, “There will be no tax cut this year, and likely not in 2018, either.” I still see almost no chance that anything will pass.
Saying the parties are divided would be an understatement. It’s a chasm that separates not just Democrats and Republicans, but Republicans internally as well.
Add the lobbying firepower brought in by those who stand to lose and any significant changes are almost impossible. So we’re probably stuck with the present system.
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Sunday, November 19, 2017
Stock Market More Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Saturday, November 18, 2017
SPX Cycle Concern / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
I have the SPX on just day two of a new short term Trading Cycle but many of the technical indicators I watch are showing signs that the momentum of the SPX’s longer 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle (IC) are starting to stall near the 3 month mark of the current IC Uptrend. My first Daily chart shows volatility has returned and we often see this at cycle turns. Yes we are on day 2 out of a TCL/DCL but my second chart also shows 3 key TA indicators that may be signaling a top forming on the SPX’s longer Intermediate Cycle.
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Friday, November 17, 2017
Stock Market Ready To Pull The Rug Out From Under You! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
This week we got the news that the fed has finally reached its 2% inflation goal!
This is after 9 years of interest rates pinned on the floor,
And,
About 4.5 trillion in cheap credit flooded into government and wall st.
That is all it takes!
Now the central bank can rest easy as the target has been met and all is well with the world.
Right?
Thursday, November 16, 2017
Stock Market Crash Omens & Predictions: Another Day Another Lie / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Never argue with an idiot. They will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience. Mark TwainOver the past several years the Naysayers have predicted the Market would crash and burn; we blatantly disagreed and opted instead to state that the market would continue to soar higher and higher. Despite the severe beating these naysayers have taken, they insist on regurgitating the same trash over and over again in the blind hope that by some miracle their insane ramblings come to pass. As soon as October was upon us, these experts started screaming at the top of their lungs. What was their latest prediction; a repeat of the 1987 Stock Market Crash. We immediately repudiated these predictions. Here is a brief excerpt from the article we posted in October.
Thursday, November 16, 2017
Stock Market Last Time This Happened - Consumers Are Both Confident And Broke / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Elliott Wave International recently put together a chart (click here or on the chart to watch the accompanying video) that illustrates a recurring theme of financial bubbles: When good times have gone on for a sufficiently long time, people forget that it can be any other way and start behaving as if they’re bulletproof. They stop saving, for instance, because they’ll always have their job and their stocks will always go up.
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Wednesday, November 15, 2017
What "Too Confident to Save" Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
What "Too Confident to Save" Means for Stocks
Tuesday, November 14, 2017
Harry Dent’s Fourth Cycle: More Evidence of Stock Market Downturn / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
One of the hardest things I’ve had to stake my name to was the concept of how sunspot cycles ebb and flow about every 10 years and the effect they have on our economy and stock markets…I’ve already got the label of “crackpot,” so giving skeptics more meat to chew on was tough. I did it anyway because I’d done my research (as I always do) and knew that we’ve had major or minor recessions about every 10 years!
They occurred in the early 1960s, early-to-mid 1970s, early 1980s, early 1990s, early 2000s, and between 2008/2009.
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Monday, November 13, 2017
Has the Stock Market’s Topping Process Begun? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the last update I sent a while back, I was looking for either a top by mid- to late October or the beginning of a topping process into December or January. By the looks of things, it seems that second scenario is unfolding.My co-author on the new book, Zero Hour (out next Tuesday), Andrew Pancholi, also identified the largest ever turn point in his markettimingreport.com newsletter. He pinned that turn point to mid-October.
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Monday, November 13, 2017
Stock Market Critical Supports are Being Challenged / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX futures appear to be challenging the Ending Diagonal trendline near 2575.00 and Short-term support at 2578.41. The decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2540.61 may be considered underway once those supports are broken. A break of the 50-day Moving Average in European stocks may trigger the same response in US stocks.
ZeroHedge reports, “S&P futures gave up early gains and were trading down -0.2%, as Donald Trump completes his first Asian tour and as pressure mounts on U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May, sending the pound plunging. European stocks fell, tracking many Asian shares as the Nikkei plunge accelerated.
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Monday, November 13, 2017
Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Rally, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index lost 0.1% (neutral), following slightly lower opening of the trading session. The market remained within relatively narrow intraday trading range. We still can see technical overbought conditions along with negative divergences. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,600 and potential profit target is at 2,555 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Anyone Else Want To Call For A Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Hindenburg omens. Market valuations. Record low volatility. And, I am only scratching the surface of all the reasons paraded before investors as to why this market is, in their opinion, “too high.”
So, is this time different? Have we finally conquered the business cycle and the stock market will rally on forever?
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Stock Market Correction Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, November 11, 2017
Unemployment Rate Reaches Record Low, Positive for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The U.S. Unemployment rate has just reached a level not seen in over forty years.
In early November, the seasonally adjusted claims was 239,000. The 4-week moving average sat at 231,250 which is the lowest level since March 31, 1973 when it was 227,750.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
Can Stocks and Bonds go Down at the Same Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
TNX gapped up this morning in a possible Wave [iii] of 3 of (5). I spent a considerable amount of time evaluating the Waves and Cycles to arrive at this construction of the Wave pattern. The fact that the Wave had become very oversold alerted me to the possibility of stocks and bonds both in decline. An index may often rally an average of 3 weeks after a Master Cycle low.
The view that bonds go higher as stocks go down is only a recent phenomenon. What if both go down in a liquidity crisis? For example, Japan or China may sell their treasuries to forestall their stock market declines.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
STOCKS HIT AN AIR POCKET……AGAIN! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Stocks got their fist little taste of pain yesterday as we close out this half cycle.
Full cycle losses in the coming bearmarket will extend to at least 60% in my estimation.
But it remains to be seen if this new decline is the beginning of something greater.
The DOW was down more than 250 points today in a possible series of 1,2 waves.
It is too early to say just yet,
But If I were a bull,
I might ask this question:
why do stocks nose dive, when everything is supposedly so great?
It has got to be a head sctratcher!
Friday, November 10, 2017
Stock Market Indexes Are in a Retracement Mode After Giving Their Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The formation we see here is most likely a Leading Diagonal Wave (i). At the 2-hour scale we see a complete trip from top to bottom of the Cycle. A normal retracement would take Wave (ii) to the mid-Cycle resistance at 2584.39, which is a 58% retracement. The Fibonacci 61.8%, retracement is above the mid-Cycle resistance at 2585.29. It may not make it.
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Thursday, November 09, 2017
Stock Market Decline May have Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The VIX has given its buy signal at the 50-day Moving Average and appears capable of rising above its compressed Cycle Top, as well. Note the redrawn Elliott Wave structure which finally became clear at Friday’s Wave (2) low. No rules were violated in this pattern, just stretched to the limit. The EW structure now says we are in Wave 1 of (3), which should be a magnitude larger than Wave (1). Wave 1 should rise to the trendline at 16.66 or possibly to 17.28, which is the high in the Daily chart. The Head & Shoulders pattern which gives the Wave 3 target is still valid. It is possible that Wave 5 of (3) may rise to the mid-30’s.
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