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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Local

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Sheffield City Council Deploys Private Security Against Street Tree Fellings Protestors / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Sheffield City Council's contractor Amey appears to have upped the anti in the council / Amey's long running dispute with thousands of residents opposed to the felling of thousands of 'healthy' street trees, as this week saw the deployment of private security patrols operating more aggressively than has been seen in the past in support of Amey's felling crews as they roam Sheffield's streets attempting to fell large trees before the end of this year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 27, 2017

How to Know When a Stocks Bull Market Is About to End – Part I / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Knowing when a bull market is about to end is critical for both traders and investors. Why? Because once a bull market ends the price movement characteristics of stocks and indexes change dramatically and require different strategies to be used in order to profit from falling prices and increased volatility.

Over the next couple of weeks, we will be expanding on this topic to add several more parts because there are some really exciting things you should know as we move towards 2018.

So, let’s kick things off with the first few data points that tell us that the bull market is about to end.

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Economics

Monday, November 27, 2017

8 Charts That Show How Insane the Economy Is Today / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Since the 2008 financial crisis, there’s been a growing number of ridiculous, inane, and otherwise nonsensical economic interventions from our central bankers that fill the daily economic headlines.

I have gone from the occasional smile to scratching my head now and then to "WTF" moments.

All that said, the economists who designed these interventions had their reasons. They thought lower interest rates and liquidity injections would create jobs, spur investment, and eventually produce inflation.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 27, 2017

S&P 500 At New Record High, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was neutral. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 index lost 0.1%, following neutral opening of the trading session. The market broke above its short-term consolidation last week. We still can see negative technical divergences along with medium-term overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Our intraday outlook is neutral today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:

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Housing-Market

Monday, November 27, 2017

UK Cashback Mortgage Deals Rise by 27% in Just a Year / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Buying a new home or getting a new mortgage can often be an expensive process. Cashback can be a great way for cash-strapped borrowers to reduce any costs that may occur, especially as the latest research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of cashback deals has increased by 27% over the past year.

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Commodities

Monday, November 27, 2017

OPEC Will Extend The Production Cut / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

There will be an OPEC deal extension—no matter the public tussling between opposing forces in the industry cartel—if the world's largest oil producers are really determined to end the supply glut.

A failure to agree on the market remediation would cause oil prices to plummet immediately, forfeiting any gains that have been made in the last year.

Saudi Arabia needs $60 per barrel for its Aramco initial public offering to be a success in the second half of next year. It plans to sell just five percent of its prized company in the largest IPO in financial history, but a low price could force the country to sell a larger share, siphoning off government revenues at a time of strained budgets.

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Economics

Monday, November 27, 2017

Overcoming Decades of Missed Foreign Direct Investment in the Philippines / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

Since the 1980s, economic success in Asia has often relied on foreign investment, at least initially. Last week, President Duterte took a decisive step toward that direction. Why has the change taken so long? And why is the devil in the details?

In the third quarter, the Philippine economy grew 6.9%, which made it Asia’s second fastest-growing economy after Vietnam. But unlike Vietnam, which has reaped many benefits of foreign direct investment (FDI), the Philippines has not.

Again and again, former President Benigno Aquino III acknowledged the need to boost FDI during his reign. Yet, the main challenge to attract FDI has been the 60/40 foreign ownership law, which Aquino neglected to confront between 2010 and 2016.

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Companies

Monday, November 27, 2017

The Global Rise of Chinese Corporate Giants / Companies / China Stocks

By: Dan_Steinbock

Only a decade ago, Chinese companies accounted for barely 1 percent of the world’s largest companies and multinationals. Today, their share has grown by more than tenfold.

After mid-November, Alibaba again won the highest ecommerce sales day in history on China’s Singles’ Day beating last year’s record by almost 40 percent – hitting some $25.4 billion. 

In the United States, the 2016 combined Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales amounted to $6.5 billion, while Amazon’s 2017 Prime Day sales rose to $600 million to $1 billion range. Even combined, all of these revenues account for less than one-third of Alibaba’s Singles’ Day sales.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 27, 2017

The Insanity Of Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

As I read articles in early 2016, the debate centered around how deep the “crash” is going to take us, and much of it was event-focused. As I now read articles as 2017 comes to an end, they are still discussing how deep the “crash” is going to take us, and it still remains event-focused. But, while many are debating that issue, I now see much debate on how high this market will take us.

When investors begin to turn towards the “how high” debate is the point in time where one must become truly worried about how high this market can take us. You see, market sentiment is a funny market driver. When the great majority of market participants speak in terms of inevitable crash, you should be looking for an imminent bottom. However, when the great majority are speaking in terms of “new paradigm,” or how the market will “certainly continue in its current trend,” then its time to begin to look towards a market top.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 27, 2017

Stock Market Bulls Beware - We Are Finally Closing In On A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

When former bears call for a “New Golden Age” of the stock market, with targets of the DOW set at 100,000, well, it is clearly time for bulls to beware.

In fact, the Dow 100,000 prediction of this former bear is explained as follows:

“This is not some pie in the sky prediction.

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Politics

Sunday, November 26, 2017

ISIS Last Stand; End Times for the Caliphate / Politics / ISIS Islamic State

By: Mike_Whitney

Hezbollah, recaptured the city of Abu Kamal in Deir Ezzor province. The city was the last bastion for the terrorist group, ISIS, which, at one time, controlled a vast swathe of land stretching from northern Iraq to central Syria. Now the group has been chased from its last urban hideaway and scattered across the arid wastelands like a nomadic tribe wandering the dessert. Abu Kamal was ISIS’s “last stand”, the final chance to fend off the advancing loyalist forces and reverse the course of the war. But the three-pronged attack proved to be too much for the demoralized jihadists who fled the city northward or surrendered to Syrian troops on the perimeter. Thus, ISIS no longer occupies any of the major towns or cities that once comprised the emerging Wahhabi proto-state. The group has been soundly defeated, its leadership is in tatters and the star-crossed Caliphate has met its end.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 26, 2017

Stock Market Minor Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
 
 Intermediate trend –  Soon coming to an end – 2 wks?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

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Currencies

Sunday, November 26, 2017

Bitcoin Soars To Nearly $9,000 As Cryptos Continue Massive Surge / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Another day, another $20 billion rise in the value of the cryptocurrency space.

Ethereum and Bitcoin Cash played a big role in the rise of the space as a whole over the last few weeks and most cryptos were heavily in the green again today. But, today’s big rise in the overall market cap of the crypto space is mainly attributed to bitcoin rising another 8% today.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 26, 2017

EURUSD Weekly Analysis / Currencies / Euro

By: Franco_Shao

EURUSD extended its bounce from 1.1554 to as high as 1.1944, breaking above 1.1879 resistance. Further rise to test test 1.2092 resistance would likely be seen in the coming days, a breakout of this level will confirm that the uptrend from 1.0340 (Jan 3 low) has resumed, then next target would be at 1.2500 area.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 26, 2017

The Big Three Commodities : Copper, Oil and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to show you some long term charts for the big three, Copper, Oil and Gold. There are a lot of similarities between them which is strongly suggesting all three should be in new bull markets. The laggard is gold which has still not confirmed its new bull market but is getting closer as you will see. The key will be what the US dollar has up its sleeves so lets start with a daily chart for the US dollar.

The US dollar still hasn’t totally broken down yet, but it did have a failed inverse H&S bottom. It was a very beautiful and symmetrical H&S bottom that looked like it was going to reverse the downtrend that is right at a year old now. It had a nice clean breakout above the neckline with a clean backtest from above. All looked good. After a brief rally the US dollar declined once more to the neckline, but this time the neckline failed to hold support, strongly suggesting the H&S bottom was failing.

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Politics

Sunday, November 26, 2017

The ‘End of Dreams’, and the Saving of Appearances / Politics / Social Issues

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Once again, to my delight, we’re back with former British diplomat and MI6 ‘ranking figure’ Alastair Crooke and his Conflicts Forum organization. We posted a few of his articles this year and last. This time, Alastair writes a reaction to one of his own articles posted at Consortium News, which I included in the November 18 Debt Rattle at the Automatic Earth. My short comment then: “Former (and current?!) TAE contributor Alastair Crooke draws his conclusions.” This morning, the Conflicts Forum reached out again:

Dear Raul, We took the hint on a recent posting your site that referred to one of Alastair’s articles! …. and below is a comment piece he has done. It is an attempt to be strategic at where we’re going.

Anytime, guys! My first reaction to that piece was that Alastair makes Donald Trump and Jared Kushner’s role in the Saudi crackdown seem very large, which makes the role played by deep state America look small in comparison. And I’m not so sure about that. The riddle of ‘who’s playing who?’ is not a straightforward one. But that’s by no means a criticism (I ain’t criticizing no MI6!). It’s a question.

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ConsumerWatch

Sunday, November 26, 2017

Sky Box Planner Rebuild Fix Technical Fault 7 (33) To Try and Fix Hard Drive Error / ConsumerWatch / How to Guides

By: HGR

If you suddenly get the technical fault 7 (33) or (30) error messages on your recordings, usually listed as partially recorded, which basically means the hard drive in your sky box is dieing that manifests itself in stuttering, freezing recordings that are near impossible to lost. However all is not lost because you can buy yourself some time to decide what to do next, upgrade or buy a replacement box as this video illustrates.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Cryptocurrencies Continue To Break All-Time Highs / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the last 24 hours, cryptocurrencies have risen $12 billion in value to $264 billion.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Taxes, Macro Signals, Market Seasonality, US Stocks and Gold Miners / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

While politicians hammer out the details it is generally accepted that corporations and by extension the investor and asset owner classes are targeted for benefits under the coming Republican tax plan. The logical implication of that beneficial treatment is that barring a market meltdown in the interim, people looking to unload stock positions and take profits would tend to wait until January in hopes of gaining the 2018 tax benefit vs. 2017’s tax code.

Among the under performing sectors subject to tax loss selling in late 2017 I have selected the gold miners for this post because they tend to be counter-cyclical and “in the mirror” to the broad risk ‘on’ asset party currently ongoing. We have noted again and again that with the asset party in full swing the miners’ fundamentals cannot possibly look good, and at face value they don’t. Sector fundamentals like gold/oil and gold/materials ratios are not good and macro fundamentals like gold vs. stock markets, the economy (which is relatively strong) and the yield curve are not at all supportive either… as they currently stand.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Silver Mining Stocks Q3’17 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The silver miners’ stocks have really languished this year, grinding sideways to lower for months on end.  This vexing consolidation has fueled near-universal bearishness, leaving silver stocks deeply out of favor.  But once a quarter when earnings season arrives, hard fundamentals pierce the obscuring veil of popular sentiment.  The silver miners’ recently-reported Q3’17 results reveal today’s silver prices remain profitable.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  These are generally due by 45 days after quarter-ends in the US and Canada.  They offer true and clear snapshots of what’s really going on operationally, shattering the misconceptions bred by the ever-shifting winds of sentiment.  There’s no silver-miner data that is more highly anticipated than quarterlies.

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