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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Politics

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Grey Champion Assumes Command of America's Fourth Turning Crisis - Part 1 / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

At each of these great gates of history, eighty to a hundred years apart, a similar generational drama unfolded. Four archetypes, aligned in the same order - elder Prophet, midlife Nomad, young adult Hero, child Artist - together produced the most enduring legends in our history. Each time the Grey Champion appeared marked the arrival of a moment of "darkness, and adversity, and peril," the climax of the Fourth Turning of the saeculum. - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe

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Commodities

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Gold's 2016 Bull Market Moving Off Course / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

While we expected additional weakness in Gold and gold stocks (weeks ago) we did not quite expect the kind of selling the sector experienced in the wake of Donald Trump's election victory. The market reacted by sending bond yields dramatically higher which resulted in stronger real interest rates, which is fundamentally negative for precious metals. This has created significant technical damage in the sector and has potentially thrown the 2016 bull off course.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Santa Trump US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2164. After a bounce to SPX 2171 on Monday the market pulled back to 2156. On Tuesday the SPX hit 2181, but this was followed by a pullback to 2171 on Wednesday. On Thursday/Friday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 2190, then dipped to end the week at 2182. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: import prices, capacity utilization and the WLEI. On the uptick: retail sales, export prices, NY/Philly FED, business inventories, the CPI, housing starts, building permits, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, more housing reports and the Thanksgiving holiday.

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Politics

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Fear and the ‘Good American’ / Politics / US Politics

By: Michael_T_Bucci

There is no one I know or meet whose life hasn’t been noticeably affected – even interrupted and disrupted – by Donald J. Trump. Many have been thrust into fear by his election.

As a warning signal, fear can prompt vigilance, alertness, caution and preparedness, as it is now doing in many. In this respect, fear is a healthy response to a perceived or potential threat. But, if allowed it can be a self-defeating mechanism that scrambles rational thinking, weakens defenses and disorients reality.

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Politics

Sunday, November 20, 2016

Donald Trump, Hollywood Films and End of Liberalism, Globalization and Americans’ Alienation - Global Impacts / Politics / US Politics

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

Men live, work, fight and flourish always under fear and threats.  Fear is one of the central themes of so many fictions and other literacy and artistic works, including performing arts and computer games. Hundreds of films, including box office Hollywood Films, and Computer Games have been made on projecting the fear of aliens or beasts, the attack or invasion of aliens from unknown planets or regions with their peculiar faith, dress, culture, practices and languages and finally the emergence of a savior or liberator, sometimes a super human hero, who saves the Humanity and its culture from the inhuman and alien savages.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Trump Delirium Triggers Stock Market Brexit Upwards Crash Towards Dow 20,000! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

There were two consensus views heading into the US Presidential Election count night. Firstly that Hillary Clinton would win the election, after all Nate Silver had her penned at a 71% probability whilst the New York Times was touting 85% and so were the betting markets discounting a Hillary win with Trump trading on Betfair at 6.6 whilst Hillary stood at just 1.17 an hour before the polls closed. Then there were Hillary's wall street backers who had all but discounted their candidate winning.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Trump Prepares to Takeover Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Mike_Whitney

In Donald Trump’s first four years as president, he will not only choose three judges for the Supreme Court, he’ll also pick five of the seven members on the Fed Board of Governors. It would be impossible to overstate the effect this is going to have on the nation’s economic future. With both houses of Congress firmly in the GOP’s grip, we could see the most powerful central bank in the world transformed into a purely political institution that follows the diktats of one man.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Speculators Are Finally Bailing Out Of Gold – And That’s A Good Thing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Rubino

All this talk of massive new infrastructure spending financed with a tsunami of freshly-minted currency should be lighting a fire under gold. That it hasn’t is a testament to how out-of-whack the precious metals market had gotten during the first six months of this year.

As gold rose, the futures contract traders whose games tend to dictate near-term price action had set the metal up for a fall. Specifically, the speculators (who are always wrong at the extremes) were ridiculously long. With the suckers all-in, a big correction was needed to restore balance.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 19, 2016

So Much For America Electing A Wall Street Outsider / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

During his run for the presidency, Donald Trump took the occasional break from insulting women and minorities to toss off some decent – even exciting – policy ideas. Term limits for congressmen and a ban on politicians becoming lobbyists, for instance, were straight from the Libertarian good-government Christmas list.

But best of all was the effective break-up of the big banks through the re-imposition of Glass-Steagall, a law passed during the Great Depression to separate taxpayer-protected commercial banks from free-to-fail investment banks.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Basing Just Under The Breakout... Stock Market Bubble Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

he market is getting closer and close to that 2194 breakout the bulls have been waiting for since the double top in August. The market has been meandering around offering hope to the bears from time to time, but that hope gets squashed quickly. Every time we get a move lower that looks to head lower still the bulls find a way, no matter the news, to fire the market back up.

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

Gold Mining Stocks Screaming Buy! Q3’16 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners just finished reporting their third-quarter results, which proved very impressive.  While this small contrarian sector is now languishing in the doghouse following a brutal post-election selloff, the gold miners’ fundamentals are strengthening.  Lower costs and higher gold prices led to surging operating cash flows and profits.  The major gold miners are great fundamental bargains for contrarians today.

Gold-stock bulls are among the largest ever seen in all the markets.  The flagship HUI gold-stock index skyrocketed 1664% higher over 10.8 years ending in September 2011, trouncing general-stock-market losses of 14% per the S&P 500.  Even this year between mid-January and early August, the HUI soared 182% in just 6.5 months!  Radical wealth-multiplying upside like that is well worth any psychological price.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 18, 2016

Stock Market SPX Trendline Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the SPX reversed at the Diagonal trendline in the first hour of the day. The initial impulse may go as low as 2171.00 to 2175.00 before a bounce. If it follows Cycles timing guidelines, we may see the top of the bounce between 2:00 and 3:00 pm.

Using that bounce to go short would be a highly aggressive play, so you may consider only a partial position.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 18, 2016

Investment Survivor / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

My favorite reality TV show, Survivor, was created by the energetic and entirely self-made Mark Burnett.

A British expat with zero experience in show business, Burnett managed to go from selling T-shirts on a rented fence in Venice Beach, California, to heading up MGM Television.

I’m not alone in enjoying Survivor, as it ranks as the #1 summer TV show of all time.

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

Trump’s Agenda Stacks the Odds in Gold’s Favor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Mauldin

"It's the economy, stupid."

This was the catch-phrase Bill Clinton’s campaign used in 1992 to help defeat George H.W. Bush. In this year’s presidential race, the slogan “Make America Great Again” branded the Trump campaign as a referendum against the economic policies of the current administration.

No matter the race—be it in local or national politics—the economy plays a crucial role in determining whether the incumbent party will retain office or relinquish it to another group.

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

Crude Oil Bears State Prices Headed Lower - Bulls-Eye or Rubbish? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

"Anxiety is a thin stream of fear trickling through the mind. If encouraged, it cuts a channel into which all other thoughts are drained." ~ Arthur Somers Roche

2015 was a terrible year for oil and it looked like 2106 would even worse; oil dipped below $30.00 and all cockroaches (oops we mean analysts) started to state $10.00 oil was next. When we heard this nonsense, we penned an article titled will the crude oil price crash become even worse in 2016?

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Politics

Friday, November 18, 2016

UK Might Be on the Verge of Another Political Crisis / Politics / UK Politics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : It’s the season for amazing electoral events.

On November 3, the High Court of England and Wales ruled the Brexit vote does not let the prime minister officially notify the EU of the UK's intent to withdraw. Rather, Parliament must authorize the prime minister’s actions.

This raises the possibility that Parliament might refuse to authorize notification. More likely, Parliament could choose to oversee the terms the UK offers and agrees to.

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

Gold Sell Off On Fed Noise – “Interesting Times” To “Support Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold prices in dollar terms came under renewed pressure today testing strong support at the $1,200/oz level. Gold dropped another 1% to near a 6 month low and is set for a second week of falls after the dollar soared again after Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen suggested a U.S. interest-rate hike could come “relatively soon.”

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

May Never Get Another Opportunity to Buy Gold at this Level Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

America has chosen Donald Trump to be its next President and the world markets, whether metals, gold, bonds, equities or Forex are all highly volatile. In fact, I got long GDX and NUGT last week for a quick 5% and 11% gain with gold miners, a get-in and get-out type of trade to take advantage of these extreme volatility levels.

While the initial projections were for a Brexit type turmoil in most markets, those predictions did not prove to be correct. The markets quickly reversed course and gave a strong Thumbs up to Trump’s policies.

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Commodities

Friday, November 18, 2016

Are The Saudis About To Reveal The Best Kept Secret In Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

One of the oil world’s longest and best kept secrets may finally be revealed. Saudi Arabia is preparing to unveil how much oil it holds, a closely guarded state secret that has been kept quiet for decades.

The decision to bring such important data to light comes as Saudi Aramco is preparing to partially privatize its assets, an IPO that could bring in some $100 billion. The IPO will be a monumental event, one that the Wall Street Journal says could offer Wall Street some of the largest fees in history.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 18, 2016

5 Reasons You Should Buy Trump Insurance—And It’s Not Trump’s Fault / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Olivier Garret writes: As the US licks its wounds after one of the most divisive elections in history, the markets appear to anticipate a positive economic outcome.

On the election night, the overnight futures markets plummeted with the expectations of a Clinton victory. But it didn’t take long for a rebound. By morning, the markets returned back to normal.

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