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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Sunday, November 22, 2015

Pakistan Stands Strong During Emerging Market Uncertainty / Economics / Pakistan

By: Submissions

Dylan Waller writes: China’s currency devaluation in August created an FX turmoil for a large number of countries in Asia, and with a potential Fed rate hike coming this December, it may be befitting to turn to overlooked areas in Asia to achieve a solid portfolio return. Despite the rapid growth of Pakistan’s economy and its stock exchange, it remains a relegated destination for investment, and a country that Asia based hedge funds consider to be too risky.   The Karachi Stock Exchange has had a 1 year return of 13.95%, making it one of the best performing stock markets in Asia.  Pakistan’s currency is another bright spot for the country, as it has only had a 4.9% YTD depreciation against the USD.  With much of Asia suffering from high FX losses and less superior performing stock markets, Pakistan’s recent performance gives it a prestigious standing in Asia.  

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Politics

Sunday, November 22, 2015

Redefining ‘The Human Rights’ In The Context Of The Rise Of Islamism And The Onslaught Of The Western Democracies / Politics / ISIS Islamic State

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

ISLAMISM has emerged as the Greatest Threat to Democracy and Human Rights, besides the very existence of the Progressive Modern Societies shaped by Capitalism, Corporatism and Modern Technologies. It is  thousand times deadly than Fascism for it is taking back the Humanity to the Age of Primitive Desert Tribal Gods, Wars, Culture , Caliphates and Social Order   burying  down   Democracy, Equality, Freedom,  Principles of Human Right, Open Society and Progressive Social Order.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 22, 2015

Long Dollar Trade and Current Copper Price Below Cost of Production / Commodities / Copper

By: EconMatters

Long Dollar Trade

One of the common trades in financial markets these days is going long the US Dollar and shorting Commodities, especially the precious and industrial metals. This has been a bad year for commodities, and this trade has picked up steam with large fund flows the last 6 weeks.
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Commodities

Sunday, November 22, 2015

Gold a Bargain in Real Terms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

For those you who like to break things down to the fundamentals, this chart should serve as an eye-opener.  Why?  Because it tells us gold’s value in real terms when adjusted to depreciation in the purchasing power of the dollar.  Secondly, it tells us where gold stands today with respect to past peaks in the price – once again in real terms – thus providing an indicator whether or not it is a good buy at current prices.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Housing Market House Prices Affordability Crisis - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The UK housing market has been in a perpetual state of crisis for at least a decade in terms of the lack of affordable housing that just tends to get worse with each passing year. Therefore most housing market commentators tend to focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as the fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, see this new video to find out what this means for future UK house prices.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

The Fed Has Set the Stage for a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed has set the stage for a stock market crash.

Ever since 2009, anytime the markets came close to a stock market crash, “someone” (read: the FED) has stepped in a propped the markets up.

In 2010, the S&P 500 staged a death cross, where its 50-DMA broke below its 126-DMA (the half year moving average). Stocks were in a perilous state with the 2008 Crash still in everyone’s short-term memory.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Will the Fed Raise U.S. Interest Rates on Monday, November 23, 2015? - Video / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mario_Innecco

Earlier this morning I spoke about how the Fed will meet on Monday November 2015 even though the next meetings on December 16. They're having an expedited procedure or meeting which means their meeting in no rush and behind closed doors. It will be interesting to see what they do and might even raise rates this coming Monday even though that's very very unusual.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Stock Market Primary V Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2023. After a big gap down Sunday night in index futures trading the market worked its way back up to open at SPX 2019 – the low for the week. After that the market rallied to SPX 2067 by Tuesday, then dipped to SPX 2046 also on Tuesday. Then after a gap up opening on Wednesday and Friday the market hit SPX 2097. Then dipped to end the week at SPX 2089. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.35%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.85%, and the DJ World index gained 2.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: the CPI, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims declined. On the downtick: industrial production, the NY FED, the NAHB, and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by a FED governors meeting, Q3 GDP, the PCE and more Housing.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Gold And Silver - Value Of Knowing The Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Every once in a while, we reiterate the importance of knowing the trend, in fact, calling the trend the number one piece of information. From it, everything else follows, in terms of knowing in which direction to base trade decisions.

2014 and 2015 were viewed as turnaround years for gold and silver, with expectations that price would rally to new, never before seen prices. In a little over a month, 2015 ends and 2016 begins right after. It is possible that 2016 may bring more of the same: disappointing expectations for PMs performance. It is just a possibility, for no one knows for certain how the future will unfold. What we do know for certain is that in order for PMs to rally, they must first stop going down.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Bracing for Another Breakdown in Gold Miners GDXJ and GDX / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The bear market in the gold miners has been one for the record books but it is not over yet. Last week we noted that precious metals were on the cusp of making new lows while the US$ index was very close to another key breakout. This scenario remains well in play and would certainly affect the gold mining sector, which over the past two weeks failed to rebound or build on any strength.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Footsie Bulls Set To Foot The Bill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Austin_Galt

The UK stock index, the Footsie, has been trending down textbook style ever since the all time high set at 7122 in April 2015. This current rally has all the hallmarks of yet another bear market rally with many starting to become bullish.

Let's see what is in store for these bulls if my analysis of the daily and monthly charts is correct.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 21, 2015

GBP Sterling's 180 Turn / Currencies / British Pound

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Is it finally catching up with GBP? The British pound defied gravity during most of the week, shrugging disappointing figures on inflation, retail sales and the CBI trend survey. A somewhat hawkish speech by BoE MPC member Ben Broadbent on Wednesday may have been among the causes behind the gains. The pound even managed to rally against the US dollar on Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of an expectedly hawkish set of FOMC minutes. Eventually, GBP saw the peak on Thursday evening with GBPUSD giving up at the near confluence of the 55-DMA and 200-DMAs at $1.5312 and $1.5336. Unfortunately, our short GBPUSD trade in the Premium Insights (opened on Nov 6) was stopped out at $1.5330, only 6 pips below the high of the week. After that, GBPUSD shed 1.5 cent to settle near $1.5200.

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Politics

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Hang Onto Your Wallets: Negative Interest Rates, the War on Cash and $10 Trillion Bail-in / Politics / War on Cash

By: Ellen_Brown

Remember those old ads showing a senior couple lounging on a warm beach, captioned “Let your money work for you”? Or the scene in Mary Poppins where young Michael is being advised to put his tuppence in the bank, so that it can compound into “all manner of private enterprise,” including “bonds, chattels, dividends, shares, shipyards, amalgamations . . . ”?

That may still work if you’re a Wall Street banker, but if you’re an ordinary saver with your money in the bank, you may soon be paying the bank to hold your funds rather than the reverse.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Housing Market Affordability, House Prices Momentum and Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most academic housing market commentators focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as the fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, and looking at the graph below it really is very easy to be seduced by something that on first glance appears obvious that house prices really did have a long way to fall to reach the affordability levels of the past.

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Politics

Friday, November 20, 2015

European Borders May be Redrawn as Europe Embraces Nationalism / Politics / European Union

By: MISES

Ryan W. McMaken writes: In the wake of the Paris attacks, Europe is being pulled in two directions at once. On the one hand is the rise of localist nationalism in the form of border closings, border fences, and Euroskepticism. On the other hand is the rise of renewed militarism as the French state calls for even more aggressive foreign policy from its European allies in the name of security. In some ways, these two trends appear to be at odds, but they are really just different expressions of nationalism.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

GDX Gold Miners’ Strong Q3 Results / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The beleaguered gold-mining sector continues to be plagued by monumental universal bearishness.  Nearly everyone assumes the gold miners are doomed, that they can’t survive for long in a sub-$1200-gold environment.  But this belief is totally wrong, a consequence of extreme fear’s fog of war.  The gold miners’ underlying earnings fundamentals remain very strong, as evidenced by their recent Q3 results.

In all the stock markets, corporate profits ultimately drive stock prices.  Because a stock simply represents a fractional stake in its underlying company’s future earnings stream, all stock prices eventually revert to some reasonable multiple of those profits.  These earnings are truly the only fundamental driver of stock prices.  All deviations from righteous valuations based on profits are just the temporary products of herd sentiment.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 20, 2015

End of Schengen, Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

EU Seeking End to Passport-Free Travel.
In an unprecedented move following the horrific attacks in Paris last Friday the 13th the European commission is reviewing its founding treaty with a view to strengthening border controls. This development goes to show the change in European conscious brought about by the sheer scale of the Parisian death and injury. The vision of the founding fathers of the EU saw the end-game being a Federal “one nation” Europe and progressive treaties over the last 70 years or so sought to bring this “binding” about. I believe that recent events have put a stop to this goal once and for all. If the European Union cannot protect its citizens (and it is obvious it cannot) then the only fallback is the individual state, ergo this state cannot be abolished in this new world of hyper-terror. It would thus now appear that David Cameron’s desire to see the EU revert back to being a common market of independent Nation States is going to come about after all. What negotiation was not achieving it would appear radical terrorism has. Who would have thought?  Here is how the Associated Press reported this story:

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Gold and the Reverse Goldfinger Effect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

In 1964 Sean Connery starred in the movie “Goldfinger” in which the villain, a wealthy Brit named Goldfinger, attempted to revalue his personal gold hoard higher by a factor of 10.  His plan was to detonate an atomic bomb inside Fort Knox making the US gold radioactive for hundreds of years.  With the Fort Knox gold hoard, the largest in the world at that time, effectively unavailable the global price of gold would increase at least ten times from the 1964 price of approximately $35.00 per ounce.  Bond, James Bond, thwarted the dastardly plot and saved the US gold, the US dollar, and the US government.

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Commodities

Friday, November 20, 2015

Crude Oil Price - Where is it Headed? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

All this talk and turmoil and noise and movement and desire is outside of the veil; within the veil is silence and calm and rest. ~ Bayazid Al-Bistami

On the 19th of this month, two articles were published at the same time, one stating that oil could go to $26 and the other stating that oil is ready to trade to $80. Which one is it going to be, $26 or $80 and how is the average Joe going to be able to discern which one is a depiction of what lies ahead. This is the problem with today's mass media, in their quest to attract eyeballs, bombastic and often conflicting articles are published simultaneously. One almost feels that most of the major sites have only one agenda, quantity over quality.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 20, 2015

Justice for All and The Curious Case of Zambia / Stock-Markets / Africa

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

This chart is driving everything in the financial markets right now.

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