Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Complacency Morphs into a Bull Trap – It’s that time again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Apple (AAPL) Reverses Hard... Stock Market Still In Good Shape...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes. It's not healthy. The rubber band, eventually, snaps, and down you go. Nothing was more overbought than both the daily, and 60-minute, charts of Apple. Scary overbought to be blunt. Apple's daily charts reaching 90-RSI, with the 60-minute chart reaching the unheard of mid-90's. I have warned when something becomes extreme--the price one pays can be devastating. Once again, that became a reality, with Apple snapping down nearly thirty dollars off the top. Look again. I said thirty (30$) off the top in, basically, an hour's time, if not less. That's a rubber-band snapping in two. The type of pain the average retail player felt on that stock today is unbelievable. The largest volume of the year on the reversal means the stock will struggle for consistent upside for a while to come.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Next Stock Market Top Target Date 22nd February 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: John_Hampson

Looking at the S&P500 on short term view with updated actual and forecast geomagnetism, this is what we see:

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Financial Markets, Why We Are Headed to Where We Are Headed... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: David_Petch

...(More on the Theory and Reasoning of the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral)

My old history teacher in high school once said that "It is amazing that we live in a period of time where access to historical records have been thoroughly documented so that humankind can learn from mistakes of former civilizations. Instead we as a society tend to choose the easy way out, make the same mistakes and never learn from history". Governments throughout history have attempted to manipulate the masses so that the upper elite can have access to greater control. This has been done through propaganda etc. with no consideration for the future or examination of historical consequences.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Stock Market Staying Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

That's not necessarily good news as it's the second move back above 70 RSI on all the major index daily charts. It would have been, and would still be, a good thing if we sold harder in order to fully unwind those nasty overbought momentum oscillators. but for the moment, the bulls refuse to give in. The RSI's, all back over 70, with the Nasdaq heading towards 80, where it fell hard last time. The risk for new plays doing well is poor here, even if we stay overbought a bit longer. You have to be very nimble, if you're going to put new money to work here. At any moment in time, the market could snap lower.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

S&P500 Above 1350 Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 surged at the open, presumably in celebration of the Greek parliament’s voting in favor of an additional package of austerity measures. The opening advance took the index above the 1350, a level it couldn’t maintain during the morning hours, but after an early lunch, the 1350 level held, and the index closed at 1351.77 for a 0.68% gain. Last Thursday the index had its first close above 1350 since the selloff from its interim high last spring. The index is up 7.49% year-to-date and is a mere 0.97% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

There's Value Investing in Russia's Future / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: Frank_Holmes

As Americans ponder the merits of Obama vs. Gingrich, Paul, Romney or Santorum, Russia will be electing its own president on March 4.

Perhaps we should say "re-electing" since it's almost certain former president and current prime minster Vladimir Putin will be elected. While protests and vocal opposition likely won't prevent Putin's presidential return, they have forced some interesting changes to the political climate and we've observed some positive changes in Russia's investment landscape.

Monday, February 13, 2012

What’s Wrong With China’s Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Sy_Harding

It wasn't just the U.S. and Europe that took on massive debt loads to provide the extraordinary global stimulus efforts that prevented the 2008 financial meltdown from morphing into the next 'Great Depression'. China also provided massive stimulus to its economy, and in the process is thought to have taken on much more debt than it has revealed.

Monday, February 13, 2012

The ECB's Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) is Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Jack Barnes writes: If you listen to the talking heads, there is no end in sight to the Euro crisis.

Even with the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO), Greece is still making all the headlines.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Four Signs of a Short-Term Drop in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: DailyWealth

Jeff Clark writes: The stock market is showing multiple signs of a short-term top.

That doesn't mean stocks have to go down right away. Topping is a process – not a one-day event.

Monday, February 13, 2012

SP500 Deflated by Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jesse

Much of the recent rally, that nominally looks like a straight shot higher is really due to the monetization going on in the US and Europe.

Such distribution of money through asset bubbles can provide the appearance of vitality, but it is not self-sustaining.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Stock Market Top Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top imminent.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Why Does The Stock Market Keep Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: LongWave

This gigantic flood of extremely inexpensive high-powered money does have a major impact, not in the real economy, but in the liquid investment markets. 

Free money sets a very low hurdle for a short-term investment and as long as the transaction has decent liquidity, why not do the trade.  As a result, almost every equity, commodity, and credit market is moving higher. 

High beta currencies are moving higher as well, as risk is clearly on the front foot.  This positive mood began at the start of October, a bit more than a week after Bernanke announced the start of ‘Operation Twist,’ a subtle way to improve the profits of the banks and increase the risk of the Fed without expanding its balance sheet.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

The Return of Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Clif_Droke

To say that complacency has reigned in the last few months is an understatement. Volatility as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has fallen 60% since October and 20% since the start of 2012.

To put into context just how much volatility has fallen since the latest rally kicked off in October, the 10-year chart of the S&P 100 Volatility Index (VXO) is shown below. The VXO is an excellent frame of reference for the absence of widespread fear in this market in recent months. As you can see, volatility is approaching historically low levels not seen since before the credit crisis began.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Stock Market Uptrend Nearing a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

The US market was fairly quiet this week while trading in a narrow SPX 1336-1354 range. It did manage to reach marginal new uptrend highs on three of the days, but ended the week mixed. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.35%, and the NDX/NAZ were mixed. Asian markets gained 0.3%, European markets lost 0.9%, and the DJ World index was -0.3%. Economic reports for the week were light, with results mixed. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the monetary base, the WLEI, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer credit, the M1 multiplier, the trade deficit, and consumer sentiment. Next week, options expiration week, we’ll get reports on retail sales, industrial production, the CPI/PPI and the FOMC minutes.

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Stock Market Locked and Loaded / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Once again the freight train that is the US stock markets continues to push on higher, although there were some potential vital clues on Friday and something's that we are watching closely.

The risk FX pairs I like to follow showed some important price action that could be a vital clue for a reversal.

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Finally Some Selling From Extremes Of Overbought..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Not a single soul should be shocked by the fact that we sold off some today. The market had been extremely overbought for quite some time. The Nasdaq, and small caps, had gotten absurdly overbought on their daily RSI's, with readings at 80 plus. That's basically unheard of, folks. It's been a long time between visits to this territory for any part of the market. It makes sense that it would happen in froth-land, otherwise known as the technology world of the Nasdaq. Froth leads when things get silly to the upside for our stock market. People want to participate in those rapid moving high beta stocks when the market is rising, because they want to capture as much upside as humanly possible. Get me those points. Don't give me those slower moving safer stocks. Give me beta or give me.....!

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Stock Market Friday Profit Taking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 dropped at the open and hit a mid-morning low of -1.08%. The index then oscillated across a six-point range and closed the day near the range high for loss of 0.69% and a fractional loss of 0.17% for the week. It was, in fact, the first negative weekly close of 2012 after five consecutive weekly gains. The index is up 6.76% year-to-date and is 1.56% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Should Stock Market Investors Worry About February’s Reputation? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Sy_Harding

Most investors are aware of the market’s various seasonal patterns.

In the Four-Year Presidential Cycle the market has a strong tendency to be positive in the last two years of each Presidential term. Within each year it tends to make most of its gains in its annual favorable season between October and May. Shorter term, it tends to be positive in the few days surrounding the end of each month.

Friday, February 10, 2012

Stock Market Upleg Has Room to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets have been on fire lately, still marching higher even after the S&P 500 powered to its best January in 15 years.  Doubted from its very birth, this latest stock-market upleg continues to inexorably climb the proverbial Wall of Worry.  But while bears keep on arguing for its imminent demise, today’s upleg actually still has plenty of room to run higher.  Despite the naysayers, it isn’t too late to buy in yet.