Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

A Simple Solution to Fixing the World's Capital Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Banks need fixing and capital markets need fixing. There's no debate about that.

Still, there's plenty of debate about what to do about it and too little agreement on exactly what to do about systemic issues, both in domestic and global markets.

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

S&P 500 Warnings Excuse For Some Selling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

The Dow and S&P 500 were up against their near-term down trend lines at 12,200 on the Dow and 1265 on the S&P 500. The market was churning there for hours, but not falling very much. Yes, the 60-minute short-term charts were a bit overbought, but the market was hanging tough. The bears needed an excuse to get the bulls to calm down a bit. It came in the form of the S&P 500 warning they would downgrade some Eurozone countries below the top rating of AAA. Later in the day they expanded it to a more specific seventeen countries under that watch away from AAA. The total result was a drop of roughly 150 points on the Dow from the highs to the lows.

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Global Economy and Financial Markets 2012 Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Bloomberg

Kenneth Jacobs, chief executive officer of Lazard Ltd., spoke about the global economy, the European debt crisis and banking regulations during an interview with Judy Woodruff on Bloomberg Television.

On the global economic outlook for next year:

"Assuming we get through this crisis without a discontinuity, a break in the markets, a catastrophe, then next year probably looks a lot like this year did: modest economic growth in the United States, tough economic climate in Europe, and probably a decent story continuing in the emerging markets."

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

Cyclical Sell Signal for Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX nudged up against the intersection of the smaller hourly Broadening Wedge and the larger daily Broadening Wedge first violated in early August. They both have a downside target of 980.00. It has just fallen beneath mid cycle trend resistance at 1257.70, giving it a cyclical sell signal. Crossing below intermediate-term trend support at 1233.46 will confirm that sell signal. Welcome to wave 3.

Monday, December 05, 2011

Risky Moves Spark Quick Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: John_Browne

Last week, with liquidity concerns reaching a crisis point for Europe, central banks around the world, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, stepped in to provide emergency measures to insure that the financial gears continue to turn. At the same time, the European Central Bank (ECB) yielded to political pressure to rescue the world's second currency by using an IMF smokescreen to circumvent its own prohibition against making loans directly to member countries. Lastly, Germany indicated possible agreement to provide more bailout funds if Eurozone countries would agree to yield more fiscal sovereignty to German control. Taken together these measures have certainly provided some relief to markets, as the current rally attests, but the long term ramifications are harder to assess.  

Monday, December 05, 2011

Stock Market Wave2 Complete Giving a Pre Crash Formation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

-- The VIX deepened its retracement to test daily mid-cycle support at 26.11, then closed above monthly mid-cycle support at 27.30. Short-term, it has lost its daily buy signal as long as it stays below intermediate-term trend support/resistance at 31.25. However, longer-term the VIX remains above critical support and maintains its buy signal on a weekly and monthly basis. It appears that the diamond formation that I had been pointing out the last several weeks has had a false breakout. The cycles, however, point to a higher year-end for the VIX. Perhaps the VIX will meet or exceed the target suggested by the Diamond pattern by year-end.

Monday, December 05, 2011

Stock Market Microwavable Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Question: How do you cook a stock rally?

Directions: Empty wallet into a microwavable bowl. Mix in any stock index of choice. Add a cup of central bank intervention and a cup of PPT spice. Microwave on high for five minutes. Eat immediately as spoiling will occur quickly as reality sets in.

Monday, December 05, 2011

Stock Market Wave C Due for a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Last week's action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway.

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Gold, Eurodollars, and the Black Swan That Will Devour the US Futures and Derivatives Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Jesse

The Eurodollars estimate in the chart below is based on the BIS Banking Statistics from Commercial Banks and may not include official reserves held by Central Banks.

As you know the Federal Reserve stopped reporting Eurodollars some years ago, with the consequence that it also stopped reporting M3 money supply.

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Stock Market New Uptrend Nearly Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Markets, worldwide, surged this week on new optimism to a resolution of the European sovereign debt crisis. See the beginning of wednesday’s update for further details. European markets rose 9.6%, US markets +7.2%, Asian markets +5.9%, and the DJ World index +8.4%. Bond prices and the USD weakened, while Crude, Gold and the Euro rallied. Positive economic reports outnumbered negative reports by a ratio of 2:1. On the downtick: new homes sales, Case-Shiller, the WLEI and monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: pending home sales, FHFA housing prices, construction spending, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, ISM, auto sales, the ADP and monthly Payrolls, plus the unemployment rate dropped. Next week ISM services, Consumer credit and the Trade deficit highlight a light economic agenda.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Investor Realities, Opportunities & Threats Preview 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: DeepCaster_LLC

 “The E.C.B. has a fire hose — its ability to print money. But the bank is refusing to train it on the euro zone’s debt crisis.”

Wrote Jack Ewing, New York Times, November, 2011

“Why not?  According to the November 28^th Wall Street Journal, ‘The ECB has long worried that buying government bonds in big enough amounts to bring down countries' borrowing costs would make it easier for national politicians to delay the budget austerity and economic overhauls that are needed.’

Friday, December 02, 2011

New Stock Markert Cycle is Bearish for the Year-End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The up sloping Head and Shoulders pattern had successfully decline to its target of 1160.00. Normally head and shoulders neckline's are not recrossed once they are violated. However, up sloping Broadening Wedge formations have a 7% probability of an incursion back into the formation. This is one of those rare incursions.

Friday, December 02, 2011

French Fried Banks Puts Central Banks in Panic Mode / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Gary_North

Ben Bernanke is in panic mode. The November 30 coordinated announcements of six central banks regarding their intervention into the currency markets was exactly that – coordinated. If you think it was coordinated by anyone other than Bernanke, you are out of touch with reality. (Test: name the heads of at least two of the other five central banks.)

Friday, December 02, 2011

Manufactured Metrics and the Great Liquidity Pump / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Andy_Sutton

Just When You Thought You’d Seen it All - As I wrote in the last installment regarding the situation in Europe, matters are progressing there much more quickly now as the continent sways back and forth between financial oblivion and a nervous peace brought about by paper promises (yes, paper promises) by central banks around the world. The purpose of this article is not to focus on the behind the scenes of these actions – we’ve already done that, but to examine some of the other outlying issues that are rarely mentioned.

Friday, December 02, 2011

Stock Market and AMEX Gold BUGS Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: David_Petch

Christmas is in the air, with festivities of Ramadan and the Festival of Lights all culturally intertwining to form a more current version of celebration, as all traditions of the past have formed. Here in Winnipeg, the housing prices finally appear to have topped out, with no visible cutbacks on spending. There is a lot of money in this city...but on the other side, there are those that are barely getting by. This is the most rapidly growing economic group by far. In the past, there was religious discrimination, racial discrimination, sexual orientation and now the latest, economic discrimination.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Stock Market Money Printing Thrill Gone Already? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: PhilStockWorld

David Fry summed up yesterday’s action perfectly, saying "Wednesday’s massive rally was prompted by sudden global central bank intervention adding (printing money) liquidity (reducing the lending rate overseas to zero basically) to shore up sovereign debt in the eurozone. They basically set up a swap facility to do the job in the future. Is it a cure or a bailout? No, this is a handout. And it doesn’t solve the problems the eurozone is facing."  

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Why the Fed's Latest Rescue Effort is Doomed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: World markets got a nice tailwind yesterday (Wednesday) on news that the U.S. Federal Reserve is stepping into the fray along with other central banks to boost liquidity and support the global economy.

Of course it's nice to see stocks get a hefty boost, but to be honest I'd rather see them rising on real news.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

ECB Gift Wrapped Liquidity Christmas Present / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Ben_Traynor

Is the ECB about to give Europe's governments and banks the biggest Christmas present of their lives...?

WITH CHRISTMAS a little over three weeks away, the European Central Bank may be about to hand indebted European governments – not to mention its banking sector – the biggest gift they ever received: an unlimited credit backstop.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

The Currency War Big Picture Analysis for Gold, Silver & Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I think you will admit that we are in the middle of one major crazy financial mess. The part that makes things really crazy is that it’s not just in the United States anymore but rather serious global problem which if not handled properly could change the way we live our lives going forward or possibly even spark some type of war, hopefully things don’t get that crazy… But I do know one thing. Fear is the most powerful force on the planet and people do some crazy things when they are backed into a corner.

Thursday, December 01, 2011

Fed Does It Again...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

This should not have come as a surprise to anyone. We've talked many times about the fed and the role of playing the savior. Not on my watch approach. He knew that if the Eurozone fell apart, so would our markets, and thus, the concerted effort with the world central banks to supply massive quantities of liquidity to help Europe out and keep the financial system humming along for at least a little while longer. Outside of our own back yard, the fed convinced England, Switzerland, Japan and Canada to join in and save the day. They agreed when they were made to realize that if the rest of the world goes down, so do each and every one of them. No one would be safe from the financial carnage that would take place. Not too tough a sell.