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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, November 11, 2011

Charting Euro Macro, Yields and LIBOR Interest Rate Spreads / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWednesday's 2% decline in EURUSD was the only 3rd of such magnitude over the past 3 years. There have been five of + or 2% in the last 3 years, 2 of which occurred last month; (-2% Oct 31 after referendum announcement and +2% on Oct 27 after the EFSF/Troika/recap deal). Yesterdays 13% surge in EURUSD 1-month volatility typified the broadening rise in the currency's volatility as of late.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 11, 2011

World has Major Funding Gap, IMF Begs Russia and China for Money / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSaxo bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen pinged me with an interesting set of comments regarding Italian interest rates....

World has Major Funding Gap

Our estimation shows that on the 2012 interest payment alone Italy now needs to find additional 10 billion EUR to pay for the rise in interest rates.
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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Italy the One Country That Could Destroy the Eurozone / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: It's been a rough few weeks for the Eurozone.

Portugal is still in trouble, Spain will be back on the coals after its Nov. 20 election, and if I were a bond trader, I would be shorting Belgium, which has serious deficit and debt problems, runs for months at a time without a government and is in some danger of splitting apart into its French and Flemish bits.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Too-Big-To-Save Italy Totters on Debt Crisis Cliff / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: With its 10-year bond yields nearing 7%, Italy's debt is becoming a burden it will no longer be able to handle as it follows the same path as Portugal, Ireland and Greece.

However, Italy's economy - seven times larger than Greece's, nine times larger than Portugal's and 10 times larger than Ireland's - is too big for the Eurozone to rescue.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Taxpayers in Revolt, State Bankster System in Europe is Collapsing, Next Stop USA / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThink of Europe's finances as a gigantic liquor supply system. There is a system of profit-seeking taverns (commercial banks). There is a clientele (sovereign states). Finally, there is a distiller (the European Central Bank).

The governments have been on a bender like none seen in modern times, especially those governments in sunny climates, plus Ireland, which has always known how to have a party. They all ran up their tab with their bartenders at pubs throughout the continent. It looked like the party would go on forever. It didn't.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Italy Enters Debt Crisis High Bond Yield Danger Zone? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1. Equity markets euphoria notwithstanding, Italy could yet drag the Eurozone and world financial markets into a new and formidable out-of-control crisis;

2. Even if Berlusconi goes, it is unlikely that any parliamentary consensus will emerge in the short term to cut Italy's massive debt and boost growth;

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

Greek Half Debt Default Leaves Trillion Dollar Market in Limbo / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The European Debt Crisis seems to have found resolution.  Those holding Greek securities will have to tolerate a one-half reduction in the value of their securities, essentially allowing Greece to halve its current debt overnight.  Questions linger about Greece’s ability to pay, and some are suggesting that the change might not produce immediate benefits; a write down will just encourage investors to demand greater returns when new securities come on the market.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

The Banks That Swallowed Europe, Western Civilization Built on Debt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-time readers will be familiar with Michael Lewitt, one of my favorite thinkers and analysts. He has gone off on his own to write his letter, and I am encouraging him to write even more. I call Michael a thinker because he really does. He reads a lot of thought-provoking tomes and then thinks about them. And then writes, making his readers think. The world needs more Michael Lewitts.

Today, he roams the world, commenting as he goes, starting of course with Europe. I have permission to use the first half of this most recent letter as today’s Outside the Box, leaving off the investment recommendations that he shares with his subscribers. If you are interested you can subscribe at www.thecreditstrategist.com.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

U.S. Bank Lending Remains Restrictive / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed’s Senior Loan Officer Survey shows that fewer banks eased standards on lending to large and middle-market firms (Made up of firms reporting $50 million and over in annual sales) during the third quarter compared with prior surveys (see Chart 1).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

What Does Wave Theory Say About U.S. Treasuries? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Glenn_Neely

This article is Part 3 of a 3-part interview series with Glenn Neely, founder and president of NEoWave Institute.  In these 3 interviews, conducted by blogger Bud Fox, Glenn Neely looks ahead at 3 specific trading markets (Euro, Gold, and Treasuries) through the lens of Wave structure and explores what Wave theory tells us about the next 5-10 years.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 07, 2011

Intermarket Bond Analysis, Why E.U. is Now a Full Blown Crisis / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Capital3X

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeying in on our earlier analysis on “Return of fear in Nov

We look at key bond market spreads to understand ground trends on the Euro and risk rally which we have already termed it as a major fake.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 07, 2011

Sovereign Debt Crisis Canaries In The Mineshaft: Should Markets Be Apprehensi​ve? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: DK_Matai

1. The G20 summit in Cannes has not been able to deliver any meaningful solution to the Eurozone crisis.  As the Breton prayer goes, "O Lord, thy sea is so great and my boat is so small!"  The summit has confirmed that China, India and other emerging countries will neither be able and nor will they be willing to rescue the richer Eurozone nations.  Also, the US is in no mood to roll out a second Marshall Plan on this occasion.  The world has moved on since 1948.  As one distinguished G20 summit attendee from the US told ATCA 5000, "if the Europeans are not going to take their fire engine out to put out their fires why should we lend them our fire engine? What happens if we have a mini-fire of our own in the meantime?"  The much vaunted IMF solution also appears to have fizzled out, at least for the time being;

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Laissez-faire: The Best Fed Policy Is To Stand Pat / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EconMatters

Operation Twist through 2012, and keeping the benchmark interest rate near zero to at least mid-2013.

Nevertheless, the more important (albeit coded) message is how much more pessimistic the Fed has gotten just within the past five months.  Below are the table from the Fed latest November economic forecast with the prior projection issued in June.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Jim Grant’s Best Moments on Money, Banking & The Federal Reserve / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Aftab_Singh

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many of you may already know, the other day Ron Paul expressly mentioned that he would pick James Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer as chairman of the Fed if elected. We cannot conceive of a better candidate for that unfortunately frightful job! Jim Grant is just fantastically insightful when it comes to monetary matters and particularly knowledgeable on the history of money. So, for anyone that might be interested, here I present a short video of his best moments on money, banking and the Federal Reserve over the past few years. See below for the video:

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Greece isn't the problem, Italy is! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Kirtley

Despite surviving a confidence vote (153-145)on Saturday which helped calm a revolt in his Socialist party, this is a hollow victory for the Greek prime Minister, George Papandreou

However the opposition leader, Antonis Samaras, who had demanded Papandreou resign to make way for a new government which would include members of any political party is non to pleased, as his proposals were rejected. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Italy Moves One Step Closer to the Debt Crisis Endgame / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ben_Traynor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs there an alternative to monetizing Italy's debt…?

SO THE Italian government today asked the International Monetary Fund to monitor its reform program.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 04, 2011

Wondering About the Size of Greece Debt Exposure? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Asha_Bangalore

Greek drama is now no longer confined to the literature class. The current Greek economic drama will be enshrined in economic history books and economic/financial policy studies. As the crisis has unfolded, it has been frequently challenging to find a succinct representation of the exposure to Greek debt. Thanks to the folks at the BBC, here is that picture.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 04, 2011

The Fed’s Forecast Begs for Action, Bernanke Hints at QE3 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The main conclusion from Bernanke’s press conference on November 2 is that the Fed has two choices. QE3 (quantitative easing) is one option given the Fed’s gloomy forecast (see Table 1). The precise timing, magnitude and composition of QE3 are unknown but Bernanke’s responses suggest that there is a willingness to engage, if essential. Large asset purchases are likely to be a combination of Treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities. The second alternative is its communication strategy much like the August announcement that the federal funds rate would be held at the current rate at the least until mid-2013. In other words, it would entail tying interest rate decisions to economic conditions in policy communications.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 03, 2011

The Fed is Less Optimistic about Growth and Employment, But Stands Pat / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed left current policies intact and opted not to take any action today after implementing far reaching policy changes at the August and September FOMC meetings. Fed President Evans of the Chicago Fed cast the dissenting vote and would have preferred to provide more monetary policy accommodation. This is in stark contrast to the three dissents in August and September when Fed Presidents of Dallas, Minneapolis, and Philadelphia voted against the decision to hold the policy rate unchanged until mid-2013 and to undertake the maturity extension program of $400 billion dollars. Fed President Rosengren of Boston had cast a similar dissent in December 2007 arguing for a larger cut of the federal funds rate when the Fed lowered the policy rate by 25 bps to 4.25%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 01, 2011

The Debt Burden Zombie Club of Nations / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Michael_Pento

Greece has supposedly received a bailout and markets across the globe are soaring. In fact, they are rising in the same manner they did a few months after the bailout of the U.S. financial system, now known as the Emergency Economic Stabilization act of 2008. However, the truth is there is no such thing as a complete and genuine bailout; there is only a transfer of burden from the government and banks to the middle class.

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