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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Markets 2021

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2021

Owning Real Assets Amid Surreal Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: MoneyMetals

In the current market environment, little else matters other than momentum. What’s moving up gets chased higher still by investors. And what can be moved up by any means is pursued by speculators who hope to jump-start a momentum trade.

It’s all being fueled by cheap money and government “stimulus.”

The consequences?

The U.S. stock market trades at an historically high premium to GDP (the so-called “Buffett indicator”).

Speculative trading frenzies in stocks such as GameStop defy any kind of fundamental analysis.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 18, 2021

S&P 500 Correction Delayed Again While Silver Runs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Submissions

The window of opportunity for the stock bears is slowly but surely closing down as Friday‘s gentle intraday peek higher turned into a buying spree before the closing bell. The sentiment readings and put/call ratio are at the greed, euphoric and compacent end of the spectrum again.

I asked on Friday:

(…) How long can it last, and what shape the upcoming correction would have? Right now, the warning signs are mounting, yet the bears shouldn‘t put all their eggs into the correction basket really, for it shapes to be a shallow one – one in time, rather than in price.

Today, I‘ll say that waiting for a correction is like waiting for Godot. Trust me, I have come to experience quite some absurd and Kafkaesque drama not too long ago. What an understatement.

One week ago, I called the dollar as making a local top, and look where we are in the process. Coupled with the steepening pace of rising long-dated Treasury yields, that‘s a great environment for financials (XLF ETF) as they benefit from the widening yield curve.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 08, 2021

Prepare for "The Changing World Order in 2021" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Every so often, the financial markets -- and usually, the entire world -- come to important pivot points.

You can think back to the year 2000, or 2007, or 2009 as recent examples.

And now, our friends at Elliott Wave International -- the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm -- say that 2021 may also join that list.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 05, 2021

Stocks Need to Consolidate Now, And Gold Will Anyway / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Submissions

After Monday‘s great rise, stocks continued without much of a pause yesterday too. Did they get ahead of themselves, or not really? And what about those correction calls, is the alarm over now? As said yesterday, the bulk of the correction in stocks, is over.

Is it clear skies ahead now? In my very first 2021 analysis 10 days ago, I‘ve called for a not so rosy February ahead. Last Friday, options expired with stocks taking a plunge, so the current month will get an optical boost. I am looking for higher prices, and no correction around the corner.

Gold is in a different situation, still basing and unable to keep intraday gains. Having predictably given up the silver short squeeze boost, the search for the local bottom in largely sideways price action continues. That‘s likely to be the case given that the dollar has stabilized and is peeking higher (before eventually moving to new lows, is still my call).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 03, 2021

Here’s What’s More Important than the Recent Reddit GameStop Mania / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

GameStop! Reddit! Silver manipulation (that’s been discussed for over two decades)! It’s exciting but pay attention to these more important factors.

Is the above really the key thing that’s happening in the markets right now? No, it’s only the most interesting thing. I admit, what we’re seeing on the Internet right now is truly absorbing, but one should realize that it’s what used to happen multiple times in history. This time it’s simply more visible as the conversations and associated images are publicly available and widely distributed.

In yesterday’s intraday Alert , I commented on the issue of the likely implications of these cumulative purchases on the precious metals market as a whole and what difference they are likely to make over the course of the following months and weeks – next to none.

Well, there is one effect that I’m expecting to see. It’s the increased volatility during the following price declines – likely proportionate to what was so vigorously bought in the last few days.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

How To Find Market Momentum Trades for Explosive Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Every morning before the markets open I share my video chart analysis of the day’s price action in the indexes, metals, bonds, and more for members of the BAN Trader Pro service.  Today we look at the futures of the major indexes, bonds, gold, silver, and miners. I review our open trades and I go through my BAN Hotlist in detail, showing members how to take advantage of the hottest sectors. Learn how we manage risk and implement our BAN (Best Asset Now) strategy to consistently beat the market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 18, 2021

More Stock Market Speculative Signs, Energy Rebound, Commodities Breakout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Troy_Bombardia

More speculative signs

Speculative signs keep piling up. Contrarian investors and traders have focused on surging penny stocks and micro-cap stocks in recent days. The smallest of small cap stocks are now more than 40% above their 200 day moving average! The last time this happened was in February – March 2000, near the peak of the dot-com bubble.

*This is the Dow Jones Micro-Cap Index, which is the smallest 50% of the Wilshire 5000 index:

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Three Financial Markets Price Drivers in a Globalized World / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Do you want to know how gold will be doing soon? Or the USDX? You have to look at the German and French economies. You may ask “What? How can they be tied together?” Well, the globalization of markets is one of the core foundations of the modern world. With everything interrelated, nothing in economics can be examined in a vacuum state. That includes the three precious metals price drivers: stocks, yields and currencies.

The EUR/USD currency pair is a perfect example of this interconnectivity. Being the most popular and most traded currency pair in the world, the EUR/USD is influenced by many factors, including the price action in the USD Index as well as the strength of the European and American economies at any given time. The same level of interconnectedness can be applied to the other price drivers.

Let’s take a fundamental look at stocks, yields and currencies.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 14, 2021

US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Gary_Tanashian

Another week, another yield curve steepener and continuation of the trend that began in August, 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

Stock prices, according to the S&P 500, are up seventy percent from their lows last April. The Nasdaq Composite at its most recent high point was up even more, sporting a ninety-five percent increase from its nadir. A number of individual stocks have done even better.

For the entire year 2020, however, stocks were up a more modest sixteen percent (S&P 500) and only seven percent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

However, the outsized performance of the Nasdaq was even more apparent on a full calendar year basis. For 2020 the Nasdaq was up forty-three percent. Relative to its peers, the average Nasdaq stock was up more than three to four times as much as non-Nasdaq stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Financial Market Forecasts 2021: Navigation in Uncharted Waters / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger lays out the foundation for his investment strategy in the new year, with uranium and copper augmenting his focus on the precious metals.

As I sat down in mid-December to formulate the draft outline for my 2021 Forecast Issue, I was immediately engulfed with a feeling of impending dread, not by way of dissatisfaction with the investments currently being held in my portfolio and trading accounts, but by being confronted with such a vast array of possible outcomes in the upcoming year 2021. Adding insult to injury, it is also the uncertainty of outcomes that places forecasts directly in the crosshairs of failure and embarrassment, resulting in fewer and less happy subscribers.

In contrast, during the same period one year ago, I knew that the single greatest issue facing us was managing the rapidly approaching debt monster, which allowed me to assume that markets would not look kindly upon the U.S. Fed chairman Jerome Powell and his sudden about-face in monetary policy. When the REPO fiasco began in Q3/2019, it was as plain as the nose on his face that Powell looked into the crystal ball and was horrified with what he saw. His vain (and lame) attempt to "normalize" the Fed balance sheet earlier that year had laid to bare a pitifully fragile debt structure teetering on the brink of implosion. He and his global central bank brethren sprang to action, flooding the world with wave after wave of counterfeit cash otherwise known as "liquidity."

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 07, 2021

Inflation the bug-bear looking forward through 2021 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Christopher_Quigley

Since the Covid 19 crisis began in March 2020 just over 10 trillion dollars have been pumped into the World's economies. This is the reason why the stock markets are breaking into new highs despite the fact that most countries are in recession.

"Given the broad global impact of the COVID-19 crisis, few populations, businesses, sectors, or regions have been able to avoid the knock-on economic effects. That means government measures have had to support large parts of the economy in a very short time to maintain financial stability, maintain household economic welfare, and help companies survive the crisis. In addition, countries have tended to escalate their interventions as the crisis increases in severity and lockdowns persist. Nine of ten countries in our data set have already announced at least one additional financial-relief or -stimulus package. Two-thirds of countries have announced three or more packages, while a few countries have announced as many as six or seven packages".

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 07, 2021

5 Financial Market Surprises in 2021 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Jared_Dillian

Plenty of people made predictions for 2020, with hilarious results.

So for 2021, I am going to give you my list of surprises instead.

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