Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Euro and Yen Forex Trading / Currencies / Forex Trading
Euro DollarThe Euro moved in both directions, breaking both the support & resistance specified in yesterday's report, without being able to reach the target in both cases. We have witnessed a swift move during yesterday's trading, when the Euro dropped very fast to 1.4879 only to rise with the same light speed to 1.5014. This move has founded an important support at 1.4879, where the rising trendline from November 3rd bottom meets yesterday's low.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
China Currency Manipulation About to Trigger Protectionism Crisis / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
I’ve written several times here in Money and Markets about the geopolitical time bomb surrounding China’s currency manipulation. The most recent was in my October 31 column.
I expect this issue to grow in intensity and become a major point of contention for the global economy in the coming year. In recent days the chatter about China and its artificially weak yuan has been picking up.
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Friday, November 13, 2009
Expansion of Global Fiat Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The expansion of global currencies has exceeded nine percent over the last year.
This essay investigates which currencies are contributing the most to this development. One hundred currencies from 95 sovereign nations and five monetary unions have been examined.
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Friday, November 13, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Might Be At Pivotal Moment / Currencies / Forex Trading
During 2009 the US Dollar Index has enjoyed a deep pullback. Its current position doesn’t exactly excite, but an interesting technical level is being tested and we here highlight what would be taken as the first bull signal.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Currency Trading for 12th November / Currencies / Forex Trading
The U.S Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the monthly Trade Balance index tomorrow (Nov 13).
The Index measures the difference in worth between exported and imported goods (exports minus imports), which make up the largest component of a country's balance of payments.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Euro Breaks Above $1.50 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Based largely on dollar weakness and rising oil prices, the Euro is currently worth $1.5018, after reaching a new 52-week high at $1.5051. The same dollar weakness has pushed the Pound back near $1.67, kept oil near or above the $80 per barrel level, and has sent the spot rate of gold soaring past $1,100 to a current rate of $1,115 per ounce.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Currency Markets Steady Ahead of U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Report / Currencies / Forex Trading
The US Department of Labor will release the weekly Initial Jobless Claims report tomorrow (NOV 12).
The report serves as a measure of the number of people who file for unemployment benefits for the first time during the given week, and gives an indication to the health of the job market, as increases indicates that there are fewer people being hired.
While this measure tends to be volatile, analysts predict no change since last week’s measure of 512.00k.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Don't Forget the Yen, Especially During Risk Aversion / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Much has been said about the US dollar's role as a funding currency for carry trades and its well publicized rebound during the most recent episode of risk aversion (Oct 21-Nov 2). But once again, it was the Japanese yen that outperformed the US dollar as well as all major currencies. This helps explains why the emerging gains in non-USD currencies (EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD etc) remain limited against the JPY when equity markets are on the rise and are quick to lose ground vs. JPY than against USD. Both USD and JPY pay ultra low interest rates, with 3-month LIBOR at 0.27% and 0.32% respectively. But the medium term future prospects remain brighter for JPY relative to USD.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Currency Traders Await Release of Bank of England's (BOE) Quarterly Inflation Report / Currencies / Forex Trading
The report sets out a detailed economic analysis and inflation projection on which the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee bases its interest rate decisions. The Monetary Policy Committee is also expected to present an assessment of the prospects for UK inflation over the next two years.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
U.S. Dollar Meltdown / Currencies / US Dollar
I had the pleasure of reading a final finished copy of The Dollar Meltdown by Charles Goyette this past week.
Congressman Ron Paul offers an opinion on the front cover to which I certainly concur: "Goyette does a great job explaining why America faces a looming financial crisis and outlines commonsense strategies for individuals to protect themselves and their families. This book truly is a must read."
Friday, November 06, 2009
EUR/USD Bulls’ Unease After Key Reversal Week / Currencies / Forex Trading
Bulls are on the alert after a recent potential reversal signal on the Weekly chart. But so far not enough has been done on the downside to fully persuade the bears, and the jury is still out, deliberating.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
The Hated U.S. Dollar Might Rally / Currencies / US Dollar
Few essays I’ve ever written have drawn as much ire as the ones in which I propose that the US Dollar might rally. The US Dollar is indeed hated, so hated that people will hate you just for considering that it might rally.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
Who Cares About the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Who cares about the dollar? It turns out quite a few do, except for those who could put it on a course to long-term recovery. First of all, you should care, as the purchasing power of your dollar savings is at risk when the dollar plunges versus other currencies. Let’s examine a couple of groups, what they have at stake and how influential they may be.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
U.S. Dollar Drifts Ahead of U.S. Unemployment Rate / Currencies / US Dollar
The Unemployment Rate is a measure of the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work in the US. A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market. A low percentage is a positive indicator for the labor market in the US and should be taken as positive for the USD.
Wednesday, November 04, 2009
When the U.S. Dollar Rallies, the Stock Market Will Crash / Currencies / US Dollar
Interest rates. The Fed does not need slinky women in plunging necklines to peddle money. All it needs is low interest rates. When rates are pushed lower than the rate of inflation, the Fed provides a subsidy for borrowing. This is not as hard to grasp as it sounds. If I offered to give you $1.00 for very 90 cents you gave me in return, you would buy as many dollars from me as you could.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
U.S. Dollar Still Looks Weak in the Short-term / Currencies / Forex Trading
With unemployment still at historic highs and the state of the economy still fragile, most top economists expect Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to announce Wednesday (November 4) afternoon that the Central Bank is keep its key interest rate at its current low point.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Dethroning of the U.S. Dollar Will Happen Sooner Than You Think / Currencies / US Dollar
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: By now virtually every investor has heard the argument that the U.S. dollar is slated to lose its status as the global reserve currency. And that’s good – as far as it goes.
What’s bad is that many of these investors have yet to latch onto the fact that this could happen much sooner than many people realize and in a manner that will catch most by surprise.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Currency Markets Wait on Initial Jobless Claims Report / Currencies / Forex Trading
Initial Jobless Claims to Be Published in the US Tomorrow. The Initial Jobless Claims is a measure of the number of people who file for unemployment benefits for the first time during the given week. This data is collected by the Department of Labor, and published as a weekly report. The number of jobless claims is used as a measure of the health of the job market, as a series of increases indicates that there are fewer people being hired.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Upside Alert / Currencies / US Dollar
The Dollar could fool everyone ...
Just as Foreign countries are diversifying out of the Dollar ... just as the Dollar's carry trade is being overdone, the Dollar is poised to make an upside run.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Looks Ahead to the FOMC Interest Rate Decision / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on short term interest rate is due out tomorrow (Nov 4).
The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on growth outlook and inflation. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency.