Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
FREETRADE - Stock Investing Platform, the Good, Bad and Ugly Review, Free Shares, Cancelled Orders - 15th Jan 22
WD 14tb My Book External Drive Unboxing, Testing and Benchmark Performance Amazon Buy Review - 15th Jan 22
Toyland Ferris Wheel Birthday Fun at Gulliver's Rother Valley UK Theme Park 2022 - 15th Jan 22
What You Should Know About a TailoredPay High Risk Merchant Account - 15th Jan 22
Best Metaverse Tech Stocks Investing for 2022 and Beyond - 14th Jan 22
Gold Price Lagging Inflation - 14th Jan 22
Get Your Startup Idea Up And Running With These 7 Tips - 14th Jan 22
What Happens When Your Flight Gets Cancelled in the UK? - 14th Jan 22
How to Profit from 2022’s Biggest Trend Reversal - 11th Jan 22
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Ready To Drop To 4400SPX? - 11th Jan 22
What's the Role of an Affiliate Marketer? - 11th Jan 22
Essential Things To Know Before You Set Up A Limited Liability Company - 11th Jan 22
NVIDIA THE KING OF THE METAVERSE! - 10th Jan 22
Fiscal and Monetary Cliffs Have Arrived - 10th Jan 22
The Meteoric Rise of Investing in Trading Cards - 10th Jan 22
IBM The REAL Quantum Metaverse STOCK! - 9th Jan 22
WARNING Failing NVME2 M2 SSD Drives Can Prevent Systems From Booting - Corsair MP600 - 9th Jan 22
The Fed’s inflated cake and a ‘quant’ of history - 9th Jan 22
NVME M2 SSD FAILURE WARNING Signs - Corsair MP600 1tb Drive - 9th Jan 22
Meadowhall Sheffield Christmas Lights 2021 Shopping - Before the Switch on - 9th Jan 22
How Does Insurance Work In Europe? Find Out Here - 9th Jan 22
MATTERPORT (MTTR) - DIGITIZING THE REAL WORLD - METAVERSE INVESTING 2022 - 7th Jan 22
Effect of Deflation On The Gold Price - 7th Jan 22
Stock Market 2022 Requires Different Strategies For Traders/Investors - 7th Jan 22
Old Man Winter Will Stimulate Natural Gas and Heating Oil Demand - 7th Jan 22
Is The Lazy Stock Market Bull Strategy Worth Considering? - 7th Jan 22
METAVERSE - NEW LIFE FOR SONY AGEING GAMING GIANT? - 6th Jan 2022
What Elliott Waves Show for Asia Pacific Stock and Financial Markets 2022 - 6th Jan 2022
Why You Should Register Your Company - 6th Jan 2022
4 Ways to Invest in Silver for 2022 - 6th Jan 2022
UNITY (U) - Metaverse Stock Analysis Investing for 2022 and Beyond - 5th Jan 2022
Stock Market Staving Off Risk-Off - 5th Jan 2022
Gold and Silver Still Hungover After New Year’s Eve - 5th Jan 2022
S&P 500 In an Uncharted Territory, But Is Sky the Limit? - 5th Jan 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current State - 4th Jan 2022
The Alibaba Stock Market - 4th Jan 2022
Will Gold & Silver Be Investment Outcasts in 2022 Again? - 4th Jan 2022
Stock Market Happy 2022 Entry - 4th Jan 2022
Complete paradigm shift will make Gold the generational trade - 4th Jan 2022
Corsair MP600 NVME2 1tb Drive Sudden DEATH Failures - Back Up NOW! - 4th Jan 2022
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Updated Buying Levels and Zones Part 2 of 2 - 3rd Jan 2022
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: 2022 Can Be Your Best Year Ever - 3rd Jan 2022
2020-22 - Soaring costs of the West's Pandemic failure - 3rd Jan 2022
AUTODESK (ADSK) - CAD - Metaverse Stock Analysis Investing for 2022 and Beyond - 2nd Jan 2022
Stock Market Sector Themes In Play For 2022 - 2nd Jan 2022
Excuse Me Mr Gold. What Year Is It? - 2nd Jan 2022
Stock Market Early 2022 Should Continue Melt-Up Trend In January / February - 2nd Jan 2022
UK Energy Crisis WARNING 2022 - How to Avoid Huge Increase in Gas and Electric Fuel Bills Right Now! - 1st Jan 2022
Why You Need A PR Expert For Your Financial Startup - 1st Jan 2022
TENCENT- Chinese High Risk GAMING Metaverse Stock Analysus for Investing 2022 and Beyond - 31st Dec 21
Gold Price Forecast 2022 - The Golden Year - 31st Dec 21
Will 2022 Be Better for Gold Than 2021? - 31st Dec 21
Gold Stocks – Wishing And Hoping (And Losing) - 31st Dec 21
Sheffield Christmas Market 2021 SANTAS GROTTO at Peace Gardens, City Centre Sights and Sounds - 31st Dec 21
Nvidia Leaves planet Earth - AI Tech Stocks Analysis - 30th Dec 21
Google (Alphabet) AI Tech Stocks Analysis - 30th Dec 21
Stock Market Santa Rally Challenge - 30th Dec 21
Sheffield Christmas Market Stalls, Sights and Sounds 2021 - 30th Dec 21
Investment Roadmap for 2022 - 30th Dec 21
2022 – The Year of (Gold) Inflation? - 30th Dec 21
Overvalued Stocks and Housing Perfect Storm for Gold - 30th Dec 21
My Most surprising Crypto call to date - 30th Dec 21
What is a Rehab Clinic and How It Is Beneficial for People? - 30th Dec 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Drop Darkens the Outlook for an Already Bleak Month For Investors

Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading Sep 02, 2009 - 09:42 AM GMT

By: Money_Morning

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen it comes to U.S. stocks, the first trading day of September typically sets the tone for the rest of the month.

And with share prices having hit a sour note yesterday (Tuesday), investors probably shouldn't anticipate a positive showing for the rest of September.


U.S. stocks nose-dived yesterday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging 185.68 points, or 2%, to close at 9,310.60 - the biggest hit that blue-chip index has taken in two weeks. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 22.58 points, or 2.2%, to end the day at 998.04 - the first time since Aug. 20 the S&P has closed below the 1,000 level.

The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite Index shed 40.17 points, or 2%, to 1,968.89.

Financial shares led the sell-off, which was sparked in part by growing investor concerns that stock prices have gotten pretty pricey - not surprising since U.S. stocks had rallied 53% from the 12-year lows they'd hit in early March.

More than 80% of stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange are trading at prices that are above their 50-day moving average. What's more, in its weekly look at sentiment among the editors of investment newsletters, Investors Intelligence says that its survey shows the widest gap between bulls and bears since the start of last year, Reuters reported.

"People in the market-traders, advisers and individual investors-went from extremely bearish to quite optimistic," Robert Prechter, founder and president of research company Elliot Wave International, told Reuters.

(Prechter was recently interviewed by Money Morning Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson. To read that report, please click here.)

But here's the real question: Where do stock prices go from here?

Unfortunately, the odds are that share prices are in for a tough month.

As most investors know - and as Money Morning chronicled in a special report yesterday - September is a poor month for U.S. stocks anyway, with an average decline of 1.3% (compared to an overall average monthly advance of 0.5%).

But when stocks are down on Sept. 1, the performance gets much worse, Bespoke Investment Group researchers said in a report they released yesterday.

When the S&P 500 is down the first day of the month, the index declines an average of 1.94% for the rest of the month. But when the index is up on Sept. 1, that rest-of-the-month decline averages only 1.14%, Bespoke researchers concluded.

However, the depth of that first-day carnage matters, too, Bespoke said. Whenever the S&P 500 has posted a Sept. 1 decline of 1% or more, the average decline for the rest of the month jumps to 2.27%, and the index has been positive for the rest of September only 38.5% of the time.

The last time that the index posted a Sept. 1 drop of 2% or better - roughly what the S&P did yesterday - was in 1974, when it dropped 2.26% on the month's opening day. It followed that up by dropping an additional 9.9% for the month. The index also dropped more than 2% (specifically 2.68%) on Sept. 1, 1937 - after which it tacked on an additional loss of 11.85%.

The most recent Sept. 1 decline before yesterday's was in 2002, when in the waning days of a bear market, the S&P 500 posted a one-day drop of 4.15%. It declined an additional 7.15% over the remainder of the month.

But there is some cause for optimism, for there's a difference between then and now - and the difference is a big one, Bespoke researchers found.

After all, the 2002 loss took place "in the waning days of the 2000-2002 bear market, and this September we're in the middle of a multi-month rally."

The $300 Trillion �Recovery� No One�s Talking About The biggest mega trend in 100 years is already taking over half the world. Early investors could stand to make initial gains of 237%, 139%, 163%, 356%, 341%, and 600% on six companies driving this trend. Click here for details.

Money Morning/The Money Map Report

©2009 Monument Street Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), of content from this website, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Street Publishing. 105 West Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201, Email: customerservice@moneymorning.com

Disclaimer: Nothing published by Money Morning should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication, or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by Money Morning should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Money Morning Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in