Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Risks to Global Economy is Balanced: Stock Market upside limited short term - 20th Jan 20
How Digital Technology is Changing the Sports Betting Industry - 20th Jan 20
Is CEOs Reputation Management Essential? All You Must Know - 20th Jan 20
APPLE (AAPL) AI Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 20th Jan 20
FOMO or FOPA or Au? - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review - 20th Jan 20
Why Intel i7-4790k Devils Canyon CPU is STILL GOOD in 2020! - 20th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust Review - 19th Jan 20
Gold Trade Usage & Price Effect - 19th Jan 20
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - Trend Analysis - Video - 19th Jan 20
Stock Trade-of-the-Week: Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) - 19th Jan 20
INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 18th Jan 20
Gold Stocks Wavering - 18th Jan 20
Best Amazon iPhone Case Fits 6s, 7, 8 by Toovren Review - 18th Jan 20
1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing 2020 - 17th Jan 20
ERY Energy Bear Continues Basing Setup – Breakout Expected Near January 24th - 17th Jan 20
What Expiring Stock and Commodity Market Bubbles Look Like - 17th Jan 20
Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally - What's Next Forecast - 17th Jan 20
Precious Metals Set to Keep Powering Ahead - 17th Jan 20
Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  - 16th Jan 20
Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market - 16th Jan 20
America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) - 16th Jan 20
Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator - 16th Jan 20
MICROSOFT Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 15th Jan 20
Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part II - 15th Jan 20
Silver Short-Term Pullback Before Acceleration Higher - 15th Jan 20
Gold Overall Outlook Is 'Strongly Bullish' - 15th Jan 20
AMD is Killing Intel - Best CPU's For 2020! Ryzen 3900x, 3950x, 3960x Budget, to High End Systems - 15th Jan 20
The Importance Of Keeping Invoices Up To Date - 15th Jan 20
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis 2020 - 14th Jan 20
Walmart Has Made a Genius Move to Beat Amazon - 14th Jan 20
Deep State 2020 – A Year Of Living Dangerously! - 14th Jan 20
The End of College Is Near - 14th Jan 20
AI Stocks Investing 2020 to Profit from the Machine Intelligence Mega-trend - Video - 14th Jan 20
Stock Market Final Thrust - 14th Jan 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review - 13th Jan 20
Trumpism Stock Market and the crisis in American social equality - 13th Jan 20
Silver Investors Big Trend Analysis for – Part I - 13th Jan 20
Craig Hemke Gold & Silver 2020 Prediction, Slams Biased Gold Naysayers - 13th Jan 20
AMAZON Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond - 11th Jan 20
Gold Price Reacting to Global Flash Points - 11th Jan 20
Land Rover Discovery Sport 2020 - What You Need to Know Before Buying - 11th Jan 20
Gold Buying Precarious - 11th Jan 20
The Crazy Stock Market Train to Bull Eternity - 11th Jan 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

George Osbourne's Full Reply to Mervyn King's UK Inflation Letter

Economics / Inflation May 19, 2010 - 02:21 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Economics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following is the full text of George Osbourne's letter to Mervyn King in response to his Inflation excuses letter on the failure of the Bank of England to target CPI inflation at 2% and keep it below the 3% limit in yesterdays released data which saw UK inflation rise from 3.4% to 3.7% with the more publically recognised RPI inflation measure literally soaring to a 19 year high of 5.3% from 4.4% as detailed in yesterdays analysis (18 May 2010 - UK Inflation Hits New High of CPI 3.7%, RPI 5.3%).


Dear Mervyn,

CPI INFLATION

Thank you for your letter of 17 May on behalf of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) regarding today's CPI inflation figure, written under the terms of the MPC's remit.

I am grateful for your explanation of the current elevated rate of inflation, at 3.7 percent for April. A number of temporary factors have contributed to this elevated rate of inflation, including the VAT rate rise in January 2010 and high fuel prices. Clothing and footwear prices and duty increases for fuel, alcohol and tobacco have also contributed to the increase in inflation between March and April this year. The MPC's remit allows it to look through short-term movements in inflation and I note the Committee's view that the current elevated rate of inflation is expected to be temporary. I am sure that you will remain vigilant towards any upside risks to inflation, including the risks to inflation expectations, of any prolonged period of above target inflation.

I note that the MPC expects CPI inflation will fall back to target within a year. Thereafter, your letter states that downward pressure from the persistent margin of spare capacity will probably cause inflation to fall below the target for a period. The latest Treasury-compiled Comparison of Independent Forecasts is broadly in line with this view and shows the average forecast for CPI inflation at 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2010 and 1.7 in the fourth quarter of 2011.

I welcome this opportunity in our exchange of letters to state clearly the Government's absolute commitment to maintaining price stability, and as Chancellor I will support the MPC's decisions and actions to meet the 2 percent inflation target as measured by the 12-month increase in the Consumer Prices Index (CPI).

As we have discussed, over the longer term I would welcome your views on how we might accelerate the process of including housing costs in the CPI inflation target.

For its part, the Government sees the reduction of the fiscal deficit and ensuring economic recovery as the most urgent issues facing the UK. It will be a priority for the Government to deliver a significantly accelerated reduction in the structural deficit over the course of this Parliament.

The Government has announced that it is committed to making savings

of £6 billion in non-front line services in 2010-11. As I announced yesterday, the great majority of these savings will be used to reduce the record deficit. I am grateful for your positive assessment of the advisability of these plans, which you provided at the Inflation Report press conference.

Yesterday, I announced that Sir Alan Budd will chair a new Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), established on an interim basis, to make an independent assessment of prospects for the public finances and the economy before the emergency Budget due on Tuesday 22rd June. The Government's new macroeconomic framework will therefore combine the independent and transparent approach to monetary policy with a similarly independent and transparent assessment of the fiscal position.

By establishing fiscal credibility through an improved fiscal framework and early action to tackle the deficit, the Government's fiscal policy will therefore support the recovery and the goal of price stability. My aim is that fiscal policy will allow monetary conditions to remain supportive while maintaining low and stable inflation.

I am depositing this letter immediately in the libraries of both Houses and on the Treasury website.

Best Wishes

George Osbourne.

The letter clearly shows that the new Chancellor is still floating high at just being in the job! Instead of admonishing Mervyn King for his failure, Perhaps in 12 months time is inflation is still high he will have changed his tune, that is if the coalition remains in tact.

The Inflation Mega-Trend

The full implications of the unfolding inflation mega-trend including how to protect your wealth are contained within the Inflation Mega-trend ebook (FREE DOWNLOAD), which includes analysis and precise forecasts for:

  • Interest Rates
  • Economy
  • Inflation
  • Gold & Silver
  • Emerging Markets
  • Stock Markets
  • Stock Market Sectors and Stocks, including ETF's
  • Natural Gas
  • Agricultural Commodities
  • House Prices
  • Currencies
  • Crude Oil

The 109 page ebook is being made available for FREE, the only requirement for which is a valid email address.

Source: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article19597.html

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-10 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and the housing market and he is the author of the NEW Inflation Mega-Trend ebook that can be downloaded for Free. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 500 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules