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Stock Market Reaction to US Fed Interest Rate Cut of 25 Basis Points

Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates Oct 31, 2007 - 03:09 PM GMT

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Stock-Markets For whatever it is worth, the "gurus" on CNBC seem to think that the Fed signaled a pause in its accommodation policy (all of two cuts and 75 bps) because of the statement that "the rate cut taken to forestall harm to the broader economy."


Right now the equity market is gyrating around unchanged after giving up its pre-cut gains-- a sell the news reaction so far...The question is whether or not the reaction turns into an excuse to take some profits at the end of the month of October, or if the trend-followers will continue to throw money at the long side regardless of any innuedos from the Fed?

Interestingly, the XHB (Homebuilding Sector ETF) has reversed strongly to the downside, and has an Key Reversal to the downside in progress, which could be instructive about perceptions of the health or lack of health of that sector 18 months off of its major top?

In the time it has taken me to write the last couple of paragraphs, the equity markets have recovered strongly into positive territory, and are now in the middle of their daily range... in a tug of war, knee-jerk battle...

Let's see what happens into 3 PM ET, and then beginning immediately after 3 PM ET... for clues about who has the upper hand heading into the closing bell....

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By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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