Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Stock Market Election Year Cycles – What to Expect? - 4th Jun 20
Why Solar Stocks Are Rallying Against All Odds - 4th Jun 20
East Asia Will Be a Post-Pandemic Success - 4th Jun 20
Comparing Bitcoin to Other Market Sectors – Risk vs. Value - 4th Jun 20
Covid, Debt and Precious Metals - 3rd Jun 20
Gold-Silver Ratio And Correlation - 3rd Jun 20
The Corona Riots Begin, US Covid-19 Catastrophe Trend Analysis - 3rd Jun 20 -
Stock Market Short-term Top? - 3rd Jun 20
Deflation: Why the "Japanification" of the U.S. Looms Large - 3rd Jun 20
US Stock Market Sets Up Technical Patterns – Pay Attention - 3rd Jun 20
UK Corona Catastrophe Trend Analysis - 2nd Jun 20
US Real Estate Stats Show Big Wave Of Refinancing Is Coming - 2nd Jun 20
Let’s Make Sure This Crisis Doesn’t Go to Waste - 2nd Jun 20
Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse - 2nd Jun 20
The importance of effective website design in a business marketing strategy - 2nd Jun 20
AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Buying Levels Q2 2020 - 1st Jun 20
M2 Velocity Collapses – Could A Bottom In Capital Velocity Be Setting Up? - 1st Jun 20
The Inflation–Deflation Conundrum - 1st Jun 20
AMD 3900XT, 3800XT, 3600XT Refresh Means Zen 3 4000 AMD CPU's Delayed for 5nm Until 2021? - 1st Jun 20
Why Multi-Asset Brokers Like TRADE.com are the Future of Trading - 1st Jun 20
Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally? - 30th May
Is Stock Market Setting Up for a Blow-Off Top? - 29th May 20
Strong Signs In The Mobile Gaming Market - 29th May 20
Last Clap for NHS and Carers, Sheffield UK - 29th May 20
The AI Mega-trend Stocks Investing - When to Sell? - 28th May 20
Trump vs. Biden: What’s at Stake for Precious Metals Investors? - 28th May 20
Stocks: What to Make of the Day-Trading Frenzy - 28th May 20
Why You’ll Never Get Another Stimulus Check - 28th May 20
Implications for Gold – 2007-9 Great Recession vs. 2020 Coronavirus Crisis - 28th May 20
Ray Dalio Suggests USA Is Entering A Period Of Economic Decline And New World Order - 28th May 20
Europe’s Coronavirus Pandemic Dilemma - 28th May 20
I Can't Pay My Payday Loans What Will Happen - 28th May 20
Predictive Modeling Suggests US Stock Markets 12% Over Valued - 27th May 20
Why Stocks Bear Market Rallies Are So Tricky - 27th May 20
Precious Metals Hit Resistance - 27th May 20
Crude Oil Cuts Get Another Saudi Boost as Oil Demand Begins to Show Signs of Life - 27th May 20
Where the Markets are heading after COVID-19? - 27th May 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Coronavirus-stocks-bear-market-2020-analysis

Not Just Speculators and Paranoid Conspiracy Theorists Who Are Buying Gold

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011 Aug 12, 2011 - 12:27 PM GMT

By: Ben_Traynor

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleZoe Tustain writes: Squirreling away a gold reserve no longer seems nuts…

THERE ARE some who seem to think only western speculators buy gold – either that or paranoid conspiracy theorists preparing for Armageddon.


This couldn't be further from the truth. In fact, China and India alone account for more than half of the world's gold demand, while central banks – not exactly known for being gung ho – are increasingly using their reserves to buy gold. 

In fact, the world's central banks bought more gold in the first half of this year than they did in the whole of 2010, according to figures published by the World Gold Council.

Away from the debt-laden economies of Europe and the US, both advanced and developing nations have added to their official gold bullion reserves:

  • South Korea almost tripled its gold reserves by buying 25 tonnes of gold in the last two months.
  • The Bank of Thailand bought 30 tonnes of the metal over the same period.
  • Mexico bought over $4 billion worth of Gold (about 90 tonnes) in the first quarter of 2011.

And it's not just central banks. All across the world, private individuals are choosing to store more of their wealth as gold. 

Take India. The world's largest gold market last year spent a staggering 2.5% of its GDP on gold. Four years ago the figure was only 1.5%. The implication is clear – as India's economy grows, Indians are putting a bigger slice of their income into gold.

In economic terms, Indians' marginal propensity to buy gold – the share of additional income allocated to the metal – has gone up.

In 2006, Indians on average spent around $1.40 of every extra $100 they earned on gold. By 2010, this had jumped to over $7. 

We find the same story in China – source of the world's second-largest private gold bullion demand.

In 2010, the percentage of GDP spent on gold in China was a mere 0.4%, a figure dwarfed not only by India, but also neighboring Vietnam – where the equivalent of 3.1% of GDP was used to buy gold in 2010. 

But if we look at China's marginal propensity to buy gold we see the same sort of growth.

Four years ago, for every extra $100 of income in China, less than one third of a Dollar went on gold. By last year it had jumped to $1 – lagging behind India, but still a remarkable rate of growth.

Individuals in these emerging powerhouses have increasing confidence in gold and are willing to invest more of their money in it.

"Paper money is increasingly worthless and they are worried about inflation" explains Shi Heqing, an analyst at state-backed metals consultancy Antaike in Beijing. 

Hardly surprising – China's consumer price inflation rose to 6.5% in July – up from 3.3% a year earlier.

But why are people choosing to buy gold? Of all things, why an industrially useless piece of shiny metal? 

Because, in a sense, it's uselessness is what makes it so valuable. Because it has no industrial use – and because, unlike paper money, it cannot be produced from thin air via "quantitative easing" – its stock is stable over time.

Thanks to these properties, gold has proven itself as a store of value over thousands of years. And with returns elsewhere so difficult to attain – thanks to low interest rates and stock market weakness – investors are now more interested in preserving capital than chasing return.

So it is not a random choice that has led so many to buy gold. They're choosing gold because it works.

They may be squirreling away a winter reserve, but these days, that's not nuts.

Zoe Tustain
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Zoe Tustain is working as a research assistant at BullionVault, the No.1 gold and silver ownership service for private investors.

(c) BullionVault 2011

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules