Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.UK House Prices BrExit Crash NOT Likely Despite London Property Market Weakness - Nadeem_Walayat
2.BrExit Morning - New Dawn for Britain, Independence Day! - Nadeem_Walayat
3.LEAVE Wins EU Referendum - Sterling and FTSE Hit Hard, Pollsters, Bookies and Markets All WRONG! - Nadeem_Walayat
4.BrExit Implications for UK Stock Market, Sterling GBP, House Prices and UK Politics... - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Trading BrExit - Stocks, Bonds, Sterling, Opinion Polls, Bookmaker Odds and My Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
6.FTSE and Sterling Brexit Trading, Deconstruction of the EU Referendum Result - Nadeem_Walayat
7.UK Interest Rate Cut to 0.25% Imminent and More QE Money Printing - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Trading BrExit - British Pound Plunges, FTSE Stock Futures Slump on LEAVE Shock Referendum Win - Nadeem_Walayat
9.The Stock Market is Reading it Wrong! - Chris_Vermeulen
10.Breakouts Galore in Gold and Silver - Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Free Silver
Last 7 days
Silver Market COT Stuns: What's Going On Here? - 24th July 16
Gold Demand Remains Stable During Sector Weakness - 24th July 16
Sernova, Diabetes and Haemophilia - 24th July 16
Russia: Tensions, Turmoil, and Western Hubris - 24th July 16
Soybean Commodity Price to Soar Again - 23rd July 16
SPX Stock Market Uptrend Continues - 23rd July 16
Gold And Silver – Debt Addiction Will Carry Precious Metals Higher, Guaranteed - 23rd July 16
Pokemon Go - How to Play, First Use, Balls, Stops, Catching Pokemon's... Great Excercise! - 23rd July 16
7 Signs That the Gold Market Remains Resilient - 23rd July 16
Basic Income in The Time of Crisis - 23rd July 16
Silver Bull Faces Correction - 22nd July 16
The Serious Warning No One’s Talking About - 22nd July 16
Stock Market Insight from Greed, Volatility, and Put/Call Ratio - 22nd July 16
What Will Happen To the Stock Market When Interest Rates Rise? - 22nd July 16
How to Escape the World’s Biggest Ponzi Scheme - 22nd July 16
Addicted to Debt - We Can’t Borrow from the Future Anymore - 21st July 16
Not Everything Is Bullish for Gold - 21st July 16
Don’t Get Sucked Back Into the Stock Market - The Big Picture Hasn’t Changed - 21st July 16
Silver – Caught Inside - 21st July 16
Forex: "The Markets Are Getting Exciting!" - 20th July 16
China Economic Troubles - Is Kyle Bass Finally Getting His Revenge? - 20th July 16
Why Lithium Will See Another Price Spike This Fall - 20th July 16
The Peak Oil Paradox Revisited - 19th July 16
SPX Challenges the Upper Trendline - 19th July 16
Missing ’28 Pages’ of the 9/11 Report Released into Blitzkrieg of World Events - 19th July 16
Likelihood of Organized Disruption at GOP Convention - 19th July 16
More on the ‘Breadth Thrust’ and Stock Market Internals - 19th July 16
FX Traders: Get a Free Week of Forecasts (Details inside) - 19th July 16
Ups and Downs in Gold and Crude Oil Price - 19th July 16
Keep an Eye on ‘Bitcoin’ as the Next ‘Financial Crisis’ Starts! - 18th July 16
Erdogan Might Have Known about the Coup but Didn’t Prevent It on Purpose - 18th July 16
More Deflation Ahead: Silver, Gold And Their Mining Stocks A Must-Have - 18th July 16
Stock Market Minor Top? - 18th July 16
5 Best Gold and Silver Junior Mining Stocks in 2016 - 17th July 16
Gold And Silver – NWO-Created Tragedies Will Never End, Seek Truth - 16th July 16
How Long Can Buybacks Continue To Support A Market Which Is Standing On A Fundamentally Flawed Premise? - 16th July 16
Will They Come For Your IRA? - 15th July 16
Gold’s Record Selling Overhang - 15th July 16
Capitalism Has Entered a New Era—and Historic Stock Market Investing Returns Are Gone Forever - 15th July 16
Gold Price Could Hit $5,000 or Even $10,000 in a Few Years - 15th July 16
Junior Gold and Silver Mining Funds or Individual Gold and Silver Mining Stocks - 15th July 16
The Soaring Risk of Flying in Bernanke's Helicopter - 15th July 16
The Broad Stock Market, Helicopters and Gold - 15th July 16
The Curious Case of Vanishing Lady Liberty; Only Gold and Silver Remember Her - 15th July 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Forex Forecasts

Stock Market Refusing To Sell At Overbought...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Mar 22, 2016 - 06:21 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market was overbought on many of the index charts going in to the weekend. One would expect the market to pull back from overbought, especially when the overbought conditions were on both the short-term, sixty-minute charts and the daily charts. When that happens it's usually a short-term top and down we go. Not today. The market is refusing to fall with any force. The bulls are back and back in full force, and dare I say, full froth. Markets are all about emotion as we all know by now. It's not about truth or reality. It's about the flavor of the day, regardless of what may be happening in the real world. The flavor of every day seems to be BUY!!! No matter what, BUY!!!!!


Good news is good news. Bad news is good news. Really bad news is good news. It doesn't matter. It's all good for now. Goldman Sachs (GS) is under investigation for manipulating markets today. The result? Down a drop. Chart is still very decent. In normal times it would be the type of news that could really hurt a stock.

Now, there's basically nothing that can hurt anyone. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) warned last week. It was down four dollars pre-market, and finished up over a dollar. Nothing can hurt anyone it seems. It's all about emotion. It is what it is. It's all about the fed. It's all about low rates and lots of stimulus from the global central bankers. That's all anything is about. The bulls love fed protection, so again, everything is good news. No end on the horizon on that level as far as I can tell. It'll end someday, but no sign whatsoever at this point. That can drive a bear nuts. I actually feel sorry for them. They have to feel so whipped. They get all the news they would need under normal circumstances, yet they still can't get any love. Hug a bear, if you see one. Send them your condolences. There's nothing more you can do for the poor souls. So today was yet another day of defying logic and anything else you can think of. The bulls win, but there will have to be some selling soon. I think!

The short-term, sixty-minute charts are flashing some small negative divergences. Will they matter? They should. They don't have to. It can be worked off laterally, but we shall see tomorrow. Those divergences are fairly immediate ones, thus, we should get some selling now, but again, in this market who knows. Sixty-minute divergences are not bearish bigger picture, but they can bring a small amount of pain in the immediate future. There's some support at the 2044 gap breakout, and again at 2020. Can we, dare I say, sell 1-2%? Oh no, not 1-2%! Well, maybe we can, and we should, but we shall see. Another gap up wouldn't shock me, but if we do, we'll get even more overbought and create and even bigger negative divergence. But that shouldn't stop the bulls from trying anyway.

Even though the bull/bear spread is only about 20-22%, it's as if it's 45% as the bulls are as frothy as they could ever hope to be. Tomorrow is important. In the real world we should be ready to sell a bit. If we go lateral and work off the divergence, we'll go higher still as the week moves along. 2080 is big resistance. You learn a lot about the future by watching how the markets pulls back its oscillators, along with price once negative divergences exist. The next day or two will tell us a great deal. For now, we play this market for what it is and what it is is bullish. The bears have to prove it's not. Simple as that.

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2016 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife