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Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

Be a Precious Metals' Winner with a Mind Like Water

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017 Dec 20, 2017 - 04:07 PM GMT

By: MoneyMetals

Commodities

We're in the midst of a massive, transformational change that will redefine where we are, what we think is true, and where we believe the future is headed.

With sensory input from across the political and economic spectrum of the Internet bombarding us 24/7, it's understandably difficult to follow through on a decision once made, even if you've researched carefully and thought things through beforehand.

Nowhere is this more difficult right now than the decision of whether or not to invest in – or add to – one's position in the physical gold and silver space.


Not only that, but when you add all the noisy arguments from competing investments which seem to be doing much better while the precious metals slumber, it's understandable why some long-term information-overloaded investors have decided to sell their metal.

I'd like to suggest that those who hesitate to buy, or worse, decide to sell what they already have are going to experience considerable remorse – and soon.

A potent way to avoid such a struggle and stick with your original decision is to practice developing mizu no kokoro – Japanese for a "mind like water."

In this state, thinking is minimized, listening/watching emphasized. To get an idea of the clarity that can be achieved, look at the picture below.

I took this photo during a rare moment when all the elements necessary to build such a scene were present. The water is dead calm; the sky is so full of more-or-less stationary cloud formations that it's difficult to see where one begins and the other ends. At the same time, nothing is distorted. The glassy water "mirrors" the clouds exactly as they look in the sky.

Being in the moment mostly involves paying attention.

There's a lot to be said for "planning your work"; then "working your plan." At some point, you've taken your position and set aside money to buy more metal, either at certain intervals or into declining prices.

Then just let things be. Try not to be swayed by counter opinions, even if they seem to make sense. If this is difficult, don't feel so bad about it. Even the investing greats have to remind themselves from time to time.

Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest speculators who ever lived, wrote a book titled Reminiscences of a Stock Market Operator. Still relevant almost a century later, it stands as one of the half dozen titles any serious investor should read. In it, Livermore made a comment about staying the course that is absolutely germane to our discussion. He said,

After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: it never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!

It is no trick at all to be right on the market. I’ve known many [traders] who were right at exactly the right time, and began buying or selling stocks when prices were at the very level that should show the greatest profit. And their experience invariably matched mine; that is, they made no real money out of it. Those who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn. But it is only after a stock operator has firmly grasped this that he can make the big money.

Steve St. Angelo's excellent world physical silver demand chart shows a powerful 4x increase during the last decade. This "trend in motion" will continue.

Realize that the blockchain and gold (+silver) will coexist.

Yes, the current hyperbolic rise in bitcoin may be side-tracking some funds that otherwise would find a home with precious metals (though there has been no major outflow from metals' ETFs). But in this writer's view, an even bigger reason is that some long-term holders have developed a level of fatigue waiting for metals to rise while the stock market and bitcoin seem to be on a never-ending run. This, in spite of the fact that gold is actually up around 10% in 2017.

Stewart Thomson's view, as editor of GU Blockchain, to which I fully subscribe (both literally and figuratively!) is this:

(I will) state adamantly that blockchain will increase demand for gold. Indian investors will seek to put a portion of their huge blockchain profits into physical gold because they are essentially mandated to do so by their Hindu religion. Western investors will do the same when the stock market finally rolls over.

If gold-backed blockchain currency goes mainstream, demand for gold would increase even more significantly, and do so in a sustained way.

When, not if?

How you can apply "Mind like Water"

Step back from the "noise" (charts, talking financial heads and top-callers) that blurs your vision. Work your plan by continually adding – via dollar cost averaging, regular buying or "taking some money off the table" from other winnings and plowing it into precious metals. Let your mind (and emotions) rest on the picture above and you'll achieve a level of clarity most others will not. Be right. Sit tight.

Raise your odds of success by keeping in mind the following words from Rick Rule, a man who over several decades, has made a career out of being consistently right – and making big money in the process. He says, "I prefer to ask myself investment questions where the answer begins with when, not if. If the outcome is certain, but the timing is uncertain, my only risk is patience."

Few eyes are being focused on the powerful base-building action of the metals and miners that has been taking place over the last 18 months. The odds are excellent that we'll soon see much higher prices, just like we did in 2016. So, be a contrarian. Take your position in gold, silver and possibly some palladium. Then let your mind become like water, as you wait for "when, not if."

David Smith is Senior Analyst for TheMorganReport.com and a regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. For the past 15 years, he has investigated precious metals’ mines and exploration sites in Argentina, Chile, Mexico, Bolivia, China, Canada, and the U.S. He shares his resource sector findings with readers, the media, and North American investment conference attendees.

© 2017 David Smith - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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