Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone - Richard_Mills
2.A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! - Peter_Degraaf
3.Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 - F_F_Wiley
4.America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - Raymond_Matison
5.Gold Price Summer Doldrums - Zeal_LLC
6.Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - Richard_Mills
8.Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - Jeb_Handwerger
9.Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - Troy_Bombardia
10.G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
What Did Crude Oil - Platinum Link Tell Us Last Week? - 17th Jul 18
Gold And The Elusive Chase For Profits - 17th Jul 18
Crude Oil May Not Find Support Above $60 This Time - 17th Jul 18
How Crazy It Is to Short Gold with RSI Close to 30 - 16th Jul 18
Markets Pay Attention Moment - China’s Bubble Economy Ripe for Bursting - 16th Jul 18
Stock Market Uptrend Continues, But... - 16th Jul 18
Emerging Markets Could Be Starting A Relief Rally - 16th Jul 18
(Only) a Near-term Stock Market Top? - 16th Jul 18
Trump Fee-Fi-Foe-Fum Declares European Union America's Enemy! - 16th Jul 18
US Stocks Set For Further Advances As Q2 Earnings Start - 15th Jul 18
Stock Market vs. Gold, Long-term Treasury Yields, 10yr-2yr Yield Curve 3 Amigo's Update - 15th Jul 18
China vs the US - The Road to War - 14th Jul 18
Uncle Sam’s Debt-Money System Is Immoral, Tantamount to Theft - 14th Jul 18
Staying in a Caravan - UK Summer Holidays 2018 - Cayton Bay Hoseasons Holiday Park - 14th Jul 18
Gold Stocks Summer Lows - 14th Jul 18
Trump US Trade War With China, Europe Consequences, Implications and Forecasts - 13th Jul 18
Gold Standard Requirements & Currency Crisis - 13th Jul 18
Focus on the Greenback, Will USD Fall Below Euro 1.6? - 13th Jul 18
Stock Market Outlook 2018 - Bullish or Bearish - 13th Jul 18
Rising Inflation is Not Bearish for Stocks - 13th Jul 18
Bitcoin Picture Less Than Pretty - 13th Jul 18
How International Observers Undervalue the Chinese Bond Market - 13th Jul 18
Stocks Trying to Break Higher Again, Will They? - 12th Jul 18
The Rise and Fall of Global Trade – Redux - 12th Jul 18
Corporate Earnings Q2 2018 Will Probably be Strong. What This Means for Stocks - 12th Jul 18
Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners to Gold Price Significant? - 12th Jul 18
Live Cattle Commodity Trading Analysis - 12th Jul 18
Gold’s & Silver’s Reversals’ Reversal - 12th Jul 18
The Value of Bitcoin - 11th Jul 18
America a Nation Built on Lies - 11th Jul 18
China, Asia and Emerging Markets Could Result In Chaos - 11th Jul 18
Bullish Gold Markets in the Big Picture? - 11th Jul 18
A Public Bank for Los Angeles? City Council Puts It to the Voters - 11th Jul 18
Yield Curve Inversion a Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril - 11th Jul 18
Argentina Should Scrap the Peso and Dollarize - 11th Jul 18
Can the Stock Market Close Higher For a Record 10th Year in a Row? - 11th Jul 18
Why Life Insurance Is A Must In Financial Planning - 9th Jul 18
Crude Oil Possibly Setting Up For A Big Downside Move - 9th Jul 18
BREAKING: New Tech Just Unlocked A Trillion Barrels Of Oil - 9th Jul 18
How Trade Wars Penalize Asian Currencies - 9th Jul 18
Another Stock Market Drop Next Week? - 9th Jul 18
Are the Stock Market Bulls Starting to Run? - 9th Jul 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Soybean Price Hits 9 Year Low Due to Trade War

Commodities / Agricultural Commodities Jun 24, 2018 - 04:50 PM GMT

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Commodities

Early this week the price of Soybean futures (ZS_F) plunged to a new low in more than 9 years due to the tit-for-tat trade war between U.S. and China. Soybean Futures started to drop on Friday last week after Trump administration decided to go ahead with 25% tariff on $50 billion worth of goods from China. The list of targeted goods includes technology products which are part of Beijing’s Made in China 2025 initiative.

China quickly retaliated with its own 25% tariff on 545 U.S. goods worth equal value, including agricultural products such as soybeans, corn, and wheat. Soybean futures for July delivery dropped more than 7% to $8.415 a bushel, the lowest since March 2009. The price is now 10% down for the year, and more than 17% down for the quarter.


According to the study by Purdue University, if Beijing applies 10% tariff on U.S. Soybeans, total soybean exports could drop by 18%. China still buys more soybeans from the U.S. than any other agricultural commodity. Last year, China bought $14 billion worth of soybean. China is the world’s biggest importer of soybean and America’s largest buyer.

In the short term, as the world’s top importer, China can not fulfill its soybean needs without importing massive quantities of the U.S. product. China still needs U.S soybean in a few months, even next year. However, if the trade war drags on for a long time, China can look for an option which could have irreversible effects on U.S. markets.

Due to the tariff, short term China will feel the pain of having to purchase U.S. soybean at higher cost in the next couple of months. The higher price that China needs to pay however is somewhat offset by the declining Soybean Futures price. U.S farmers on the other hand are also feeling the pain with soybean futures price near 10 year low. In the long run, depending on how long the conflict persists, the unintentional result can be that China can adapt without U.S soybean.

Soybean Daily Elliott Wave Analysis

Daily chart of Soybean Futures (ZS_F) shows a 5 swing incomplete sequence from 6.10.2016 high, favoring further downside. Please note that this 5 swing does not refer to well-known 5 waves impulse in Elliott Wave Theory. Rather, it’s part of a 7 swing structure, which is also known by the name of double three Elliott Wave structure (WXY). You can learn more about this special structure by watching the video “How to trade WXY Elliottwave Structure.” Soybean Futures is expected to bounce in swing #6 and as long as the rally fails below swing #4 (1085.7), then it’s expected to extend lower towards 702.1 – 774.7. So the price per bushel target is $7.02 – $7.75 approximately.

If you are interested to see Elliott Wave analysis on Soybean or other commodities, forex, and Indices, you are welcome to take 14 days FREE Trial, You can check our service and get Elliott Wave chart updates in 4 time frames, live session, and signal service (live trading room).

By Ayoub Ben Rejeb

https://elliottwave-forecast.com

ElliottWave-Forecast has built its reputation on accurate technical analysis and a winning attitude. By successfully incorporating the Elliott Wave Theory with Market Correlation, Cycles, Proprietary Pivot System, we provide precise forecasts with up-to-date analysis for 78 instruments including Forex, Commodities, Indices and a number of Stocks & ETFs from around the World. Our clients also have immediate access to our proprietary Actionable Trade Setups, Market Overview, 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily & Weekly Wave Counts. Live Screen Sharing Sessions, Daily Technical Videos, Elliott Wave Setup and Weekend videos .

Copyright © 2018 ElliottWave-Forecast - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules