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US and UK Black Lives Matter Protests, Riots and Looting To Trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave Peak?

Politics / Pandemic Jun 12, 2020 - 05:34 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Politics

Briefly, the protesting and rioting of the past week that has shown little signs of social distancing coupled with relaxation of lockdown's is likely to trigger a second wave of sorts that a few weeks down the road could result in a rising death tolls for both the US and UK.

As things stand the Covid-19 deaths trend in the US continues to move the right direction with the 7 day average at 835 and the 14 day at distant 970, though the rate of decline has slowed over the past couple of weeks that implies that the US could be at risk of at least stalling at an average of about 800 deaths per day and worse risk an upwards trend towards a second peak over the coming weeks.


UK deaths 7 day average stands at 196, with the 14 day at 218 as the decline in the daily number of UK deaths just like the US is giving early warning signs of stalling, that could be a prelude to a second peak, though at this point in time is unlikely to be significantly result in more than 500 deaths per day as the UK largely remains under lockdown with for instance schools teaching barely 1/3rd of students for more 1 day a week.

The whole of this extensive analysis that concludes in a detailed 15 year trend forecast for AI Stocks has first been made available to Patrons who support my work - Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035!

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  • Black Lives Matter Protests To trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave?

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Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2020 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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