Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 - 4th Dec 21
INVESTING LESSON - Give your Portfolio Some Breathing Space - 4th Dec 21
Don’t Get Yourself Into a Bull Trap With Gold - 4th Dec 21
GOLD HAS LOTS OF POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE - 4th Dec 21
4 Tips To Help You Take Better Care Of Your Personal Finances- 4th Dec 21
What Is A Golden Cross Pattern In Trading? - 4th Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - Part 2 - 3rd Dec 21
Stock Market Major Turning Point Taking Place - 3rd Dec 21
The Masters of the Universe and Gold - 3rd Dec 21
This simple Stock Market mindset shift could help you make millions - 3rd Dec 21
Will the Glasgow Summit (COP26) Affect Energy Prices? - 3rd Dec 21
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock - 1st Dec 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I Fear For Retirees For The Next 20 Years - 1st Dec 21 t
Will the Anointed Finanical Experts Get It Wrong Again? - 1st Dec 21
Main Differences Between the UK and Canadian Gaming Markets - 1st Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - 30th Nov 21
Omicron Covid Wave 4 Impact on Financial Markets - 30th Nov 21
Can You Hear It? That’s the Crowd Booing Gold’s Downturn - 30th Nov 21
Economic and Market Impacts of Omicron Strain Covid 4th Wave - 30th Nov 21
Stock Market Historical Trends Suggest A Strengthening Bullish Trend In December - 30th Nov 21
Crypto Market Analysis: What Trading Will Look Like in 2022 for Novice and Veteran Traders? - 30th Nov 21
Best Stocks for Investing to Profit form the Metaverse and Get Rich - 29th Nov 21
Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? - 29th Nov 21
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Why Isn’t Retail Demand for Silver Pushing Up Prices?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021 Feb 24, 2021 - 01:59 PM GMT

By: MoneyMetals

Commodities

Metals markets continue to diverge this week, with copper and platinum adding to recent breakout gains while gold struggles to find footing.

During this week’s selloff, gold revisited its lows from last November. A support level exists at $1,750, but momentum selling could take prices down a bit further before technical gauges flash deeply oversold signals.

Turning to silver, the white metal continues to show relative strength versus gold, although prices haven’t actually moved much over the past few trading days.

Despite lackluster returns in most of the precious metals so far in 2021, inflation pressures are pointing upward.  On Wednesday, the Labor Department reported that U.S. wholesale prices surged by 1.3% in January.  


Rising costs for health care and energy led the bigger-than-expected increase.  It was the largest single month rise in producer prices in more than a decade.

That made inflation a hot topic on CNBC.

CNBC Anchor #1:                        This morning, we got a major warning sign    about inflation. Producer price is climbing more than expected in January.

CNBC Anchor #2:                        That question of, could there really one day actually be a return of inflation? Are we already pouring fuel on a pretty hot fire to begin with? Given people are getting back to sort of life, a lot of the country already is, but that return to normalcy, the spending that will come along with that, and then $1.9 trillion on top of that. And by the way, potentially an infrastructure bill following on that.

CNBC Market Commentator:        And the Fed, of course, is trying to engineer inflation, and has been trying to prepare investors for the idea that they are going to be tolerant of significantly higher inflation, for some time to come, to essentially counterbalance all this time we've spent under their target of 2%.

For now, Federal Reserve officials and most mainstream economists are brushing off the recent spike in prices as transitory. Some rebound was inevitable off the virus lockdown lows of last year.

But there is good reason to believe the inflation upswing has further to run. Another round of government stimulus may soon hit the economy. And of course, the recent rise in inflation will do nothing to deter the Fed from its easing agenda.

The question many investors may be rightly asking is why gold prices are sagging. After all, isn’t the monetary metal supposed to be an inflation hedge?

Of course, in the very long term, gold prices do reflect the inverse of currency depreciation. But gold also functions as a safe haven during times of stress in financial markets. Lately, markets have been fueled by extreme optimism toward an economic recovery – helping lift most industrial commodities in the process.

So far, the rise in inflation has been greeted enthusiastically by equity investors. It means deflation is no longer a threat.  

The gold trade tends to take off during times of fear. When investors begin to fear an overshoot of inflation, rising interest rates, or other threats to stock valuations, they will find precious metals more attractive to hold.

During the severe inflation and economic stagnation of the late 1970s, gold and silver vastly outperformed the stock market.

Of course, every economic cycle is different and unique. Today, gold and silver also face enormous price suppression campaigns by institutional short sellers. The concentrated short position in silver in particular exceeds that of just about any other commodity on the planet.

Yet we know the manipulated paper markets for precious metals don’t fully reflect the dynamics of physical supply and demand. Despite the spot price of silver being contained, demand for bullion products in recent weeks has gone through the roof.

It's been a mad scramble to keep inventory on the shelf – and the silver supply situation is highly tenuous. On top of that, recent weather issues in many areas of the country have slowed the transportation of metal.

Silver Eagles are currently scarce and carry elevated premiums. We are also now beginning to see some supply issues emerge in gold products, particularly fractional coins and bars.

Most other dealers are already wiped out of silver bars and rounds – or they are quoting ridiculously long lead times for fulfilling customer orders. But Money Metals Exchange has so far been able to keep all popular silver items in stock while shortening or eliminating delivery delays.

Meanwhile, we aren't seeing overall tightness on 1,000 oz silver bars so far – mainly some logistical issues involving the location of available supply. But again, the silver supply situation is tenuous.

If the outflow of silver through the retail minting channel continues at this rate for a few more weeks, that is likely to put real pressure on the availability of commercial bars as well as silver grain for minting.

We know that ultimately mints, jewelers, and industrial users of gold and silver require physical metal. Cash-settled futures contracts and shares of exchange-traded funds are no substitute for the real thing.

Time will tell whether furious retail buying of physical precious metals can help lift the lid on spot prices.

By Mike Gleason

MoneyMetals.com

Mike Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 "Dealer of the Year" in the United States by an independent global ratings group. A graduate of the University of Florida, Gleason is a seasoned business leader, investor, political strategist, and grassroots activist. Gleason has frequently appeared on national television networks such as CNN, FoxNews, and CNBC, and his writings have appeared in hundreds of publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Detroit News, Washington Times, and National Review.

© 2021 Mike Gleason - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in