The Latvian secret police arrested a university professor for delivering gloomy forecasts on the prospects for the Latvian economy and the state of the Latvian banking system, which as with the western banks have been riddled with over leveraged loans made during the easy credit boom times, but now have to contend with the impact of deleveraging and increasing rates of default that is plunging many eastern european countries into crisis.

The latvian police arrested the 32 year economist, Dmitrijs Smirnovs for his public analysis of the state of the country's 26 banks and implications for the Latvian currency LAT which he expected to be devalued. The fallout of end of the credit boom has resulted in economic meltdown for Latvia which saw GDP contract by 4.2% in the third quarter and appears destined to follow a similar fate to Iceland which went bankrupt in October following the crash of its banking system, Latvia also seeks help from the IMF in the form of an estimated $4 billion loan. The Latvian government is attempting to hold to its currency peg against the Euro, however given the economic meltdown a devaluation appears to be inevitable where the longer the country delays the more foreign currency reserves will be spent in the LAT's defence.

The response of Latvia's state police is reminiscent of the dark days of the USSR when the truth was only uttered in the confines of ones homes and any public announcements that did not tow the state line were met by arrest and a summary one way trips to the goolag.

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 150 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

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