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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Ultra-Short Treasury Bond ETF Heading Sharply Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBelow is what I wrote about the ProShares UltraShort 20-year T-Bond ETF (AMEX: TBT) exactly 24 hours ago, which appears to have unfolded pretty close to expectations. If the pattern continues to unfold as I expect, the TBT should hold between 39.00 and 38.50 ahead of a potent upleg that continues the advance off of the 12/18 low at 35.51.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 12, 2009

Bond Market Plunges as Yields Move Sharply Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market traded off for 2 weeks after 8 consecutive weeks of substantial gains. The pullback was sharp, but insignificant relative to the magnitude of the unprecedented move that the long bond futures made over the past 2 months. As expected, once the yearend buying demand was out of the way, the bong bond cracked in a significant fashion. Last week the market faced the same tug of war that is likely to dominate the market going forward: supportive fundamental news countered by increasing supply concerns. During the first full trading week of the year, the bears won the battle in spite of relatively successful Treasury Note auctions.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 09, 2009

The Fed’s U.S. Treasuries Bubble Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA few weeks ago when the Fed announced a strategy designed to bring down long-term interest and home mortgage rates through unlimited Treasury bond purchases, government debt staged a spectacular rally. To the unschooled market observer, the spike may be difficult to understand. After all, why would the value of Treasury bonds rise while their underlying credit quality is deteriorating faster than Bernie Madoff’s social schedule? The move is actually a perfect illustration of the tried and true Wall Street strategy of “buy the rumor and sell the fact”.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 08, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bills, Can you hear the Bond Market POP!? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Daniel_Smolski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeynesian capitalism continues to bring with it a saga of never ending bubbles. In just the past decade, we have been faced with the internet bubble bursting of 2000 and a massive real estate bubble that has brought the American economy to its knees. All are examples of a gross misallocation of resources caused by an excess money supply searching for home. The recent credit crunch has provided us with an opportunity to deflate and wipe away all unnecessary liquidity but the Federal Reserve, along with their posy of world bankers, have chosen instead to attempt to reflate a balloon that has already burst. Turning on all the world's liquidity taps has thus far proven to be working. We have beaten down the “evil” that is deflation and we look forward to an era of continued inflation. Inflation that will, undoubtedly, spiral out of control and potentially lead to a period of hyper-inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Your Country Needs You to Buy Government Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Are you 100% American? Prove it! Buy US government bonds..." - Poster from the US Treasury promoting the Third Liberty Loan, 1918

THE BRITISH PRIME MINISTER, David Lloyd George, joked in 1915 that it was Britain's political and financial stability which would always enable it to raise "the last million".

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

U.S. Dollar Dead Bounce Ends, Treasury Bond Bubble Begins to Dissipate / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe marquee line best describing the past two to three months has been that the Dollar Death Dance has been fueled by failure of US banks & corporations, along with sponsored assaults against speculative hedge funds. The climate has changed from liquidation and bankruptcies, obviously steered and exploited by the Powerz, toward more legitimate attempts to have a recovery initiative take root across the landscape, It is fast approaching a wasteland. The most vivid signal of market manipulation, intended to benefit the USGovt borrowing costs, and designed to promote the totally false notion of a Flight to Safety, has been the USTreasury bubble.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been bearish on long term Treasury bonds long before it was fashionable, and this past week, Barron's has a cover story on Treasuries entitled, "Get Out Now!" It is their belief that "the bubble in Treasuries looks ready to pop, sending prices on government debt sharply lower."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Bursting?  / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThey've done it now. The Fed has revealed the level of panic they are in behind the scenes by cutting rates to zero and promising unbounded quantitative easing . Here, it should be noted that based on remarks from the Fed Policy Statement Tuesday, quantitative easing is now set to go beyond the bailout style monetiziations of financials that have primarily characterized re-inflation efforts under the gaze of Bernanke and Paulson so far to include just about anybody who needs ‘social assistance', which apparently includes all degrees of bad investors / speculators these days. Make a bad investment. No worries if you're an American apparently as ‘the check is in the mail'.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 05, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Primed for Inevitable Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Paul_Lamont

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs Treasury Bill yields fell during the early 1930's, Treasury Bonds moved in the opposite direction . As you can see from Table 48 (also from A History of Interest Rates ), Bonds rose in yield (fell in price) during the banking crises of 1930-32.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 02, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Ripe for Explosion / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBonds in 2009: A Tough Call - The second half of 2008 will be remembered as the era in which justifiably panicked investors fled the global equity markets and flooded into the bond markets, particularly the U.S. Treasury market. As I write this, the migration largely continues.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 29, 2008

Investment Opportunity in Municipal Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Derrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all know that 2008 has been a rough year for virtually all investors, and the municipal market has not been immune. Municipals, however, have weathered the storm better than most asset classes.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 29, 2008

Grossly Overbought Bond Markets Continue Chugging Higher into New Year / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market just keeps on chugging higher. Yields on the 30 year Treasury Bond decreased for an 8th consecutive week as the Long Bond future continues its unstoppable march higher. There are a couple of undercurrents that I would like to discuss heading into the New Year.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 28, 2008

ETF Bond Yields Confirm Deflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe table below presents the SEC 30-day yield and the portfolio yield-to-maturity reported for most of the Barclay's iShares bond ETFs.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 22, 2008

U.S. Treasury Bond Steamroller Keeps Chugging Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market just keeps on chugging higher. Yields on the 30 year Treasury Bond decreased for a 7th consecutive weeks as the Long Bond future rallied an unprecedented 29 points since the end of October. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it must be just another blow-off top. It is really no big deal, blow-offs have been a dime a dozen this year, so there is no reason to get too excited. I apologize for plagiarizing my own work from last week, but I just could not think of presenting it in a more appropriate manner. Heading into the year end, the signs of extreme distress remain evident in the bond market.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Bond Investors Turn Bullish on U.S. Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere is a headline I am laughing at: Bond Investors Turn Most Bullish on Treasuries Since February

Treasuries will appreciate over the next six months as the U.S. economy reels from its worst recession in a quarter-century, a monthly survey of Bloomberg users showed.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

U.S. Fed Opts to Inflate Treasury Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBeware - “Quantitative Easing” is Hallucinogenic - American bankers are so fearful of a replay of the 1930's Great Depression, they've finally reached the point of "No-return," – lending $30-billion to Uncle Sam at a rock-bottom interest rate of zero-percent. Demand was so great at the last auction, the Treasury could have sold four-times as many T-bills. If short-term T-bill rates go negative, frightened bankers would effectively be paying the US Treasury for the privilege of lending money to it! But remember, "The Fed can guarantee cash benefits as far out, and at whatever size you like, but we cannot guarantee their purchasing power," former Fed chief, "Easy" Al Greenspan told Congress on Feb 15, 2005.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

U.S. Treasury Bonds Soar Following Zero Interest Rates Policy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe extraordinary near-vertical advance in the Lehman 20 Year T-bond ETF (AMEX: TLT) continues, as yield on both the 10 and 30 year Treasuries plummets. Let's notice that for the first time in what I consider to be the "blow-off" stage (since 12./12), the TLTs have gapped up, which technically suggests strongly that the price structure has entered the final phase of the incredible "parabolic" move.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

U.S. Treasury Bonds Blow-off Top? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market just keeps on chugging higher. Yields on the 30 year Treasury Bond decreased for a 6 th consecutive weeks as the Long Bond future rallied an unprecedented 23 points since the end of October. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it must be just another blow-off top. It is really no big deal, blow-offs have been a dime a dozen this year, so there is no reason to get too excited.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 15, 2008

Any Confidence in Corporate America could send Corporate Bond Prices Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Cars – from the musical group to songs about various models (Little Deuce Coupe, Pink Cadillac) to songs about the road (Route 66, King of the Road) it is little wonder the market was captivated by the death dance in Washington regarding the auto companies. When it looked as though they would crash and burn, the markets indicated a 4-5% decline coming into Friday, only a willingness by the White House and the Treasury to use money earmarked for the financial sector, did the markets turn slightly higher on the week.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 12, 2008

U.S. Bond Markets on the Edge of Collapse / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I thought I had witnessed a lot of craziness in the bond market over the past year:

• The utter obliteration of subprime mortgage bonds …

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