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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Subprime Mortgage Risks

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

The Everything Bubble, Return Of The Subprime Mortgage / Interest-Rates / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Rubino

This cycle’s main bubble is in government bonds and fiat currencies, with a dash of large-cap tech thrown in for variety. But like a hurricane spawning tornadoes at its periphery, this Money Bubble is creating secondary bubbles like student debt and subprime auto loans that are impressively destructive in their own right.

An example of how extreme things have gotten is US housing, which — as the previous decade’s main bubble — wasn’t supposed to be a problem this time around. But apparently no sector is immune from all that excess central bank liquidity. As today’s Wall Street Journal notes, the subprime mortgage is now being resurrected:

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, November 01, 2011

U.S. Mortgage Crisis Goes Primetime / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Downs writes: A near-death experience often provides needed perspective to effectuate real change. But no matter how often the over-regulated and over-subsidized US banking sector flirts with disaster, it never seems to change its ways.

Three years have gone by since subprime mortgage exposure threw the financial system into cardiac arrest. Experienced analysts are under no illusions about the progress since then: the banks are still not eating right and they're certainly not slimming down. It seems these institutions feel trapped by their situation and are just waiting for the inevitable. This month, the PrimeX group of indices, a measure that quantifies the likelihood of default in prime residential and commercial mortgages, began flashing red.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, October 24, 2010

U.S. Housing Subprime Mortgage Market Securitization Debacle, They Knew What They Were Selling / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Subprime Debacle: Act 2, Part 2
They Knew What They Were Selling
Warning to Mr. Robert Rubin and Management
Popping Through
It's Time for Some Putback Payback
The Worst Deal of the Decade?

At the end of last week's letter on the whole mortgage foreclosure mess, I wrote:
"All those subprime and Alt-A mortgages written in the middle of the last decade? They were packaged and sold in securities. They have had huge losses. But those securities had representations and warranties about what was in them. And guess what, the investment banks may have stretched credibility about those warranties. There is the real probability that the investment banks that sold them are going to have to buy them back. We are talking the potential for multiple hundreds of billions of dollars in losses that will have to be eaten by the large investment banks. We will get into details, but it could create the potential for some banks to have real problems."

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Government is Setting Us Up for a Second Subprime Mortgage Financial Crisis / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Is the government creating another subprime-mortgage bubble?

The first time around, the three-headed federal serpent - the Bush administration, the Treasury Department and the U.S. Federal Reserve - used Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to "legitimize" trillions of dollars worth of toxic financial waste known as subprime mortgages.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

U.S. Mortgage Bonds Crash to New Low / Economics / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg is reporting Non-Agency Mortgage Bonds Fall Amid Selling Concern .
Subprime, Alt-A and prime-jumbo mortgage securities reached or approached record lows this month as forced asset sales contributed to the decline in values.

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Economics

Thursday, February 07, 2008

Response to Subprime Article by Nobel Prize Winner Joseph Stiglitz / Economics / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMr. Joseph E Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize winner in 2001 for his work on the economics of information, recently attended the World Economic Forum in Davos and wrote an article published on February 5th, 2008 titled:

Sub-prime crisis has led to the humbling of America.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Subprime Mortgage Bailout - Paulson Vs the Free Market / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Michael_Pento

Joining the Fed's effort to meddle with the free market is Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and his plan to rescue the housing market. The essence of his plan is to convince the owners of sub- prime adjustable mortgage debt to freeze the interest rate resets for a period of about five years, a proposal which is supposedly only to be available to those who will become indigent once the higher rates become effective. Ostensibly, this will ameliorate the anticipated surge in mortgage foreclosures and prevent a further decline in home prices.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 03, 2007

Popeye Paulson To Bailout SIV's and Subprime Mortgages But Without Constructive Workable Policies / Interest-Rates / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Brady_Willett

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson was trying to strong-arm the supposedly free markets again last week, this time catching headlines for his fronting of the government's proposal to temporarily freeze interest rates on some troubled subprime mortgages. You have to give Mr. Paulson credit for having the bluster to constantly make media appearances – first to dispel contagion fears, then to announce that he was helping banks set-up an SIV bailout, and now to provide an update on his subprime bailout plans. At the same time, you have to give the media very little credit* for questioning both his tactics and his apparent lack of results. Of course juggling two Treasury coordinated bailouts at the same time is no simple task. Most immediately there are the tactical concerns associated with directing Citigroup representatives to the right conference room – we can only imagine the reception desk querying new arrivals as if they were diners at a low-end stake-house: ‘are you here for the SIV or subprime bailout?'

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Companies

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Freddie Mac Facing Insolvency and Gold's Immediate Outlook / Companies / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Lee

This is a follow up to my last article: ‘ Subprime Mortgages Lead to Subprime Currency' (available here ) in which I wrote:

“The curious mind asks, who holds those $trillions worth of mortgages? Thanks to the genius of the American banking and marketing machine, just about every sizable institution underneath the sun with a fixed income portfolio. From Europeans to Asians, from Banks to Brokerages, from Hedge Funds to Pension Funds, Institution to Retail, Trusts to Endowments.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

US Subprime Mortgages Lead to a Subprime US Dollar / Interest-Rates / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Lee

Last Thursday, according to Financial Times, Mr Bernanke told Congress he would support raising the limit on the size of the individual loans eligible for securitisation by the government-sponsored mortgage finance entities from $417,000 to $1m (€680,000, £475,000) on a temporary basis.

He suggested that Fannie and Freddie could pay insurance premiums on these loans to the federal government, which would "act as guarantor" by taking on some of the credit risk.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Quant Hedge Funds and the August Subprime Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat really happened last August? There was blood in the street for many hedge funds, while others did ok. But in this week's Outside the Box, Jon Sundt from Altegris Investments (and my US partner) dives you the behind the scenes details of what was going on inside the trading rooms of various quantitative hedge funds. It makes for interesting, if not sobering, reading.

I think you will find this analysis helpful in your own efforts to analyze your investment managers. How much real risk are your managers taking? Can you tell just by the performance numbers? Jon suggest different ways to look at the risk in your portfolio.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Stock Market Subprime Mayhem and Bush's Moral Swamp / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Wednesday, the Federal Reserve dropped its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% citing ongoing weakness in the housing sector. As expected, the stock market rallied and the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 137 points. Unfortunately, Bernanke's “low interest” stardust wasn't enough to buoy the markets through the rest of the week.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Britain's Subprime Mortgage Lending Industry Revealed - BBC Panorama Online Video Documentary / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Sarah_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe BBC's flagship documentary programme, Panorama investigates the blatant abuses and fraud that has taken place in the Britain's own Subprime mortgage market, which is primed for a crash US style. Watch the programme now online.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Greenspan on Questionable Subprime Lending Tactics: Mr Bubble Writes a Book / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Brady_Willett

"While I was aware a lot of these [questionable lending] practices were going on, I had no notion of how significant they had become until very late...I really didn't get it until very late in 2005 and 2006".
Greenspan Defends Low Interest Rates
~ 60 Minutes

After Greenspan 'got it', and before the toxic paper started to blowup, what did he think about the U.S. housing market? That the worst was over, of course:

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Housing-Market

Friday, September 07, 2007

US Housing Market Subprime Crash Too Big To Be Bailed Out / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Peter_Schiff

Now that home mortgage defaults are spreading like wildfire from coast to coast, there is a growing sense of certainty that the government will attempt to bail out homeowners and lenders. The ideas put forward last week by President Bush may be the camel's nose pushing under the bottom of the tent. However, just as some things are too big to fail, this problem is far too big to fix.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 06, 2007

Gold and Subprime US Dollar Backlash / Interest-Rates / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA certain nerve has been struck a few times in recent reading on my part by the description of the USDollar as a subprime currency. How true!!! When a debtor has poor credit history, inadequate income, and shoddy assets, the borrower is deemed to be subprime, which means less than good, not up to snuff, of second rate standard. The entire world is growing in its disgust for having been defrauded. While US banking and economic leaders are smugly claiming containment of the problem, foreign officials are acting according to the opposite conclusion. Every single denial of the problem, whether from press pundits, corporate titans, banking officials, government ministers, agency heads, trade representatives, and central bankers, has been incorrect.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, September 06, 2007

What Lies Beneath the Subprime Mortgage Credit Crunch / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Doug_Wakefield

On September 2 nd , at the 2004 Republican National Convention, President Bush's remarked : “Thanks to our policies, homeownership in America is at an all-time high. (Applause) Tonight we set a new goal: seven million more affordable homes in the next 10 years so more American families will be able to open the door and say: Welcome to my home. (Applause)” [Italics Mine]

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, September 05, 2007

If You Want a Subprime Mortgage Bailout, do it Properly! / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Axel_Merk

The administration's plan to bail out homeowners with adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) may make them slaves of their homes. We propose an alternative that we believe better serves both homeowners and the marketplace.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Sub-prime Mortgage Credit Crunch From Bad to Worse / Stock-Markets / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: David_Vaughn

Well, that poor bull seems to be tiring. Uh, oh! No! Wait! I believe there's life in that ole' gold bull yet. Anyway, there is life for those with enough sense to observe its strength and consistency.

Well, I spent an entire article last week about this subprime mess and scandal and I still do not feel I said enough on the topic. The damage this will cause our country and the rest of the world really is enormous. I really don't like to come across as a doom and gloomer, but I would be a coward to run from the subject and choose to ignore it.

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Housing-Market

Friday, August 31, 2007

Subprime Mortgage Mess - Whose Fault Is it Anyway? / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Andy_Sutton

A few weeks back I did a special edition of my radio program 'Beat the Street' during which I discussed the recent problems in the subprime mortgage markets and the credit arena in general. The broadcast lasted nearly 30 minutes and covered maybe half of what I wanted to talk about, and left unanswered was my opinion of the culprit in the subprime mortgage mess.

To really get at the answer, we have to look at, challenge and either uphold or repudiate some of our assumptions about the roles of the various players and where their motivation comes from.

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